March NAC

Y-10 Men's Foil

Friday, March 1, 2024 at 8:00 AM

Oregon Convention Center - Portland, OR, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ZHAO Nathan 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 64%
2 WU Wallace 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 74% 32%
3 DESERANNO Leander 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 72%
3 WANG Tiger 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 42%
5 LIU Alex 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 22%
6 PARK Andrew 100% 100% 98% 86% 52% 14%
7 CHEN Ryker 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 11%
8 ZHENG Lerui 100% 100% 95% 70% 29% 5%
9 KUANG Cyrus 100% 100% 97% 82% 46% 10%
10 CHANG Parker 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 56% 16%
11 XIE Jayden 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 21%
12 VENAFRO Tristan 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 23%
13 DIFRANK Avery 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 15% 1%
14 JIN Xueyuan George 100% 97% 83% 51% 19% 3%
15 SLAIN Owen 100% 97% 80% 45% 13% 1%
16 ALVAREZ Francisco Janusz 100% 100% 99% 86% 50% 15% 2%
17 SUN Roy 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 46% 10%
18 RAU Shogun 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 27%
19 WANG Mendy 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 35%
20 ZHAI Alex 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 50% 13%
21 MURDOCK Koichi 100% 100% 98% 84% 50% 16% 1%
22 XIAN kevin 100% 100% 100% 97% 76% 20%
23 WANG Caleb 100% 99% 90% 60% 21% 3%
24 WU Gengze (Daniel) 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 25% 4%
25 GUGALA Frank 100% 100% 94% 74% 39% 11% 1%
26 PESKIN Kepler 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 37% 7%
27 LU Brandon 100% 100% 98% 83% 47% 13% 1%
28 CHENG Alvin 100% 88% 53% 19% 3% - -
29 SUAREZ Lucas 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 19% 2%
30 JUE Lucas 100% 98% 77% 32% 7% 1% -
31 CHEN Steven 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 18%
32 SHARMA Ari 100% 96% 72% 33% 7% 1%
33 QU Zhida (richard) 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 36%
34 QIAN Henry 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 33%
35 PAN Howard Haoran 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 31% 6%
36 LIN George 100% 100% 97% 80% 45% 13% 1%
37 YANG Steve 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 37% 8%
38 WANG Waylon 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 32% 6%
39 LI Ryan 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 22%
40 YU Jinyuan 100% 94% 61% 22% 4% -
41 HUYNH Matthew 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 39%
42 XU Ethan 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 20% 1%
43 PARK Avan 100% 98% 82% 47% 16% 3% -
44 SHENOY sean 100% 98% 83% 51% 19% 4% -
45 CHEN Kyle 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 37%
46 HO Cameron 100% 81% 40% 10% 1% -
47 JEON Joohun 100% 99% 87% 56% 20% 3%
48 DANTON Ryan 100% 100% 95% 75% 36% 5%
49 WU Silin 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 23% 2%
50 MAZAHERI Theodore 100% 100% 97% 77% 38% 9% 1%
51 MAZAHERI John 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 24% 4%
52 LEE Conrad 100% 100% 94% 71% 36% 10% 1%
53 DING Sam 100% 100% 97% 82% 51% 19% 3%
54 EVANS Desmond 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 58% 15%
55 SONG Enoch 100% 100% 97% 81% 47% 14% 1%
56 SINGH Reyaansh 100% 85% 46% 14% 2% - -
57 WU Vincent Moxiao 100% 97% 76% 40% 12% 2% -
58 WANG Eason 100% 88% 55% 21% 4% -
59 CAO Joshua 100% 98% 85% 52% 18% 2%
60 LI Aaron 100% 98% 85% 55% 22% 5% -
61 SHENOY Neil 100% 88% 52% 16% 2% - -
62 ZHANG Derek 100% 100% 94% 72% 35% 9% 1%
63 ZHOU Ezra 100% 99% 90% 63% 27% 5%
64 TROUSDALE Brody 100% 99% 88% 56% 19% 2%
65 KAJITA Grayson 100% 95% 64% 25% 5% - -
66 ZHANG William 100% 100% 93% 63% 24% 4% -
67 LAM Lazarus 100% 95% 72% 31% 6% -
68 FOO Kingston 100% 91% 59% 21% 3% -
69 TROYANKER Makar 100% 98% 86% 54% 20% 4% -
70 HUYNH Kaleb 100% 97% 76% 39% 11% 1% -
71 LIU Michael 100% 93% 65% 28% 7% 1% -
72 ZHANG Aiden 100% 99% 88% 60% 26% 5% -
73 ALVAREZ Evan 100% 100% 98% 84% 51% 17% 2%
74 LIN Dylan 100% 72% 20% 2% - - -
75 GOLDSTEIN Benjamin 100% 96% 72% 34% 8% 1% -
76 LIN Stewart 100% 80% 40% 11% 1% - -
77 HOARE Gabriel 100% 85% 47% 14% 2% -
78 TAN benjamin 100% 97% 76% 35% 8% 1%
79 CREMEL Remi 100% 97% 74% 34% 8% 1%
80 LIU Aiden 100% 65% 24% 5% - - -
81 ROPER Griffin 100% 75% 34% 9% 1% - -
82 ZHANG Bosen 100% 91% 47% 11% 1% - -
83 MENG Andy 100% 97% 78% 39% 10% 1% -
84 CHONG Cooper 100% 48% 11% 1% - - -
85 MORALES Tycho 100% 98% 86% 55% 21% 4% -
86 YU Ethan 100% 90% 55% 19% 3% - -
87 SUN Oliver 100% 99% 87% 57% 22% 4% -
88 CHEN Solomon 100% 71% 28% 6% 1% -
89 SAVAGE Angus 100% 94% 71% 35% 9% 1%
90 TEOH Liam 100% 47% 10% 1% - -
91 VASANTH Arjun 100% 68% 24% 4% - - -
92 NGO Lincoln 100% 39% 6% - - -
93 DENG Augustine 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 26% 5%
94 LI Jonathan 100% 94% 68% 31% 7% 1% -
94 MA Madrid 100% 47% 10% 1% - - -
96 CREMEL Louis 100% 40% 7% 1% - - -
97 ANDERSON Stellan 100% 31% 3% - - - -
98 MCBRIDE Sam 100% 94% 70% 35% 10% 2% -
99 LI William 100% 57% 13% 1% - - -
100 KOMAROV Jacob 100% 75% 31% 6% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.