2024 Winter Thrust RYC/RJCC

Junior Men's Foil

Saturday, February 3, 2024 at 12:00 PM

Rockland Community College (Eugene Levy Fieldhouse) - None

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LEE Jonah - - 4% 22% 44% 31%
2 LEE Brendan - 1% 6% 26% 43% 24%
3 TAN Aidan - 1% 8% 26% 41% 24%
3 GAO Payton - 1% 5% 19% 36% 30% 9%
5 XU Andy P. - - 2% 11% 30% 39% 19%
6 BADLANI Dev - - - 3% 17% 44% 37%
7 WANG Mason - - 3% 16% 35% 34% 12%
8 TANG August L. - - 1% 8% 29% 43% 18%
9 SHAPIRO Leon - - 4% 19% 36% 30% 9%
10 GUO Justin - - 3% 14% 34% 36% 14%
11 BLEIL Tyler 13% 34% 34% 16% 3% < 1%
12 NICOLL William - 2% 13% 31% 34% 17% 3%
13 PITERBARG Maxim 1% 9% 30% 38% 20% 4%
14 ZHEN Ethan - 2% 20% 41% 30% 7%
15 ARCE Andrew W. 1% 9% 31% 36% 19% 4% -
16 GULCHIN Mark (Yerma) 1% 7% 26% 39% 23% 4%
17 YOON Dylan - 1% 6% 25% 42% 25%
18 VISHAWADIA Jaimin 1% 7% 22% 33% 26% 10% 1%
19 LI Ayren 3% 20% 39% 28% 8% 1%
20 YAO Bradley - - 4% 19% 36% 31% 9%
21 LEE Eugene - 1% 6% 20% 34% 29% 10%
22 CHEN Kyle P. - - 4% 17% 35% 32% 11%
23 SHAO Eric - 2% 12% 32% 36% 15% 2%
24 LIGOS alex M. - 2% 24% 42% 27% 5%
25 KOVACS Wyatt - 1% 5% 17% 33% 32% 12%
26 FENG Michael - 2% 11% 29% 35% 19% 4%
27 LIU Derek - 1% 15% 39% 35% 10%
28 AKYAMAC Bora - 1% 9% 30% 41% 19%
29 CHENG Ethan - 6% 26% 39% 23% 5%
30 HOLCOMB Cedric 4% 20% 37% 28% 10% 2% -
31 YANG Dylan 2% 16% 35% 32% 12% 2% -
32 LI Aaron - 2% 16% 37% 34% 11%
33 WANG Brian - - 4% 18% 35% 32% 10%
34 XU Ethan 1% 6% 22% 36% 28% 7%
35 TJON Calum 6% 37% 38% 16% 3% -
36 TANG Terry - 2% 13% 32% 34% 16% 3%
37 NICOLL James 4% 18% 32% 29% 14% 3% -
37 GE Daniel 1% 5% 18% 32% 29% 13% 2%
39 JURMAN Therin 3% 16% 35% 32% 12% 2% -
40 MATTOS Luis Felipe 1% 19% 40% 29% 10% 2% -
41 SHANNON Jack 7% 25% 36% 24% 7% 1%
42 ZHUANG Chuanxuan 20% 43% 28% 8% 1% -
43 CHANDRAMOHAN Aran 17% 36% 31% 13% 3% - -
44 MUNDY Ezra 10% 44% 34% 10% 1% - -
45 PEDERSEN Charles 26% 43% 24% 6% 1% -
46 NICOLSON William 11% 32% 35% 18% 4% -
47 CHENG Austyn 10% 65% 22% 3% - -
48 SABATINO Patrick 83% 16% - - - -
49 HOLLIS Sean 1% 21% 40% 28% 9% 1% -
50 LI Tristan 11% 34% 35% 16% 3% - -
51 CHEN Ethan - 3% 17% 36% 31% 12% 2%
52 GECKELER James 27% 42% 24% 6% 1% - -
53 NADOL Sam 39% 42% 17% 3% - - -
54 KALIPERSAD Neil A. 1% 10% 28% 36% 20% 4%
55 TAM Kyle 5% 22% 34% 26% 10% 2% -
56 PERLMAN Taiyo 66% 29% 4% - - -
57 BAKSHI Aman 8% 32% 37% 18% 4% - -
58 CHA James 66% 30% 4% - - - -
59 EZPELETA Gaelan 93% 7% - - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.