2024 Winter Thrust RYC/RJCC

Y-14 Men's Saber

Sunday, February 4, 2024 at 4:00 PM

Rockland Community College (Eugene Levy Fieldhouse) - None

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MEHAN Nicholas 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 77%
2 WAXLER Ryan 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 21%
3 GONG zihao 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 39%
3 BIVIJI Ali 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 30%
5 SUN Andrew 100% 100% 97% 83% 55% 23% 4%
6 SARWAHI Viraat 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 16%
7 CHENG Sawyer 100% 99% 94% 73% 39% 12% 2%
8 BALE ATMAN 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 20%
9 CLARK Aram 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 32%
10 HENDERSON Lucas 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 27%
11 SADHU Neiyam 100% 100% 99% 94% 76% 43% 12%
12 GOMEZ Emilio 100% 99% 87% 57% 24% 5% -
13 WONG Max 100% 99% 92% 66% 27% 5%
14 DOMINIQUE Remson 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 30%
15 KHANNA Adamantis 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 31%
16 PORTER Dupree 100% 100% 95% 78% 45% 15% 2%
17 BROENING-CHAI Jonas 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 20%
18 CIEMINS Henry 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 21%
19 KENNEDY Tomás 100% 99% 93% 69% 31% 6%
20 DE SIENA Salvatore 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 41% 10%
21 SASSI Ilyas 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 35% 8%
22 BONETTI Brayden 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 48%
23 LOO Jason 100% 99% 90% 60% 21% 3%
24 LIN Brendan 100% 98% 86% 55% 21% 3%
25 LIEBOWITZ Carson 100% 100% 98% 90% 66% 30% 6%
26 SHAH Sohan 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 31% 5%
27 PEREIRA Beckham 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 50% 15%
28 BARENBOYM Michael 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 17% 2%
29 LAMTAN Christoffer 100% 100% 94% 73% 36% 8%
30 HU Jayden 100% 96% 77% 42% 13% 1%
31 KOZLOV Lucas 100% 100% 99% 89% 56% 15%
32 WASCO Andrew 100% 96% 78% 43% 14% 2% -
33 YOOK Isaac 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 18%
34 LORENZ Evan 100% 100% 98% 87% 53% 15% 1%
35 ZHANG Ray 100% 100% 95% 78% 45% 15% 2%
36 DAI Zihou 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 7%
37 SHARMA Colin 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 20% 3%
38 KIARA Kinoti 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 26% 4%
39 DEELY Hartigan 100% 100% 98% 89% 59% 20%
40 AVERY Marcus 100% 94% 66% 26% 5% -
41 LEE Damian 100% 70% 27% 6% 1% -
42 SHINCHUK Jacob 100% 97% 76% 37% 9% 1%
43 BELAND Riley James "RJ" 100% 100% 95% 78% 45% 15% 2%
44 LOSQUADRO Joseph 100% 94% 60% 21% 4% - -
44 FIROOZI Sam 100% 78% 36% 9% 1% - -
46 GERTSBERG Eli 100% 99% 94% 74% 40% 12% 1%
47 OREN Daniel 100% 99% 90% 58% 20% 3% -
48 MIAO Heqi 100% 100% 98% 90% 66% 30% 6%
49 LEVIN Jacob 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 23% 4%
50 DOSTAL Maximilian 100% 100% 95% 76% 37% 6% -
51 TAYCHER Aaron 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 20% 3%
52 BENNETT Lachlan 100% 99% 88% 52% 15% 2% -
53 KARAVAS Nicholas 100% 100% 92% 66% 28% 5%
54 NAYAGAM Nishant 100% 94% 67% 28% 6% -
55 LUCAS William 100% 96% 75% 40% 12% 1%
56 FADEL alexander 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 67% 10%
56 WONG Mac 100% 97% 81% 47% 15% 2% -
58 FORSTED Ian 100% 99% 92% 72% 40% 13% 2%
59 MATTOO Dhruv 100% 97% 84% 54% 23% 5% 1%
60 HAYTER Henry 100% 65% 21% 3% - - -
61 MAGITSKY Isaac 100% 91% 60% 23% 5% - -
62 WU Vincent 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 18% 3%
63 SO Morgan 100% 99% 88% 59% 23% 4%
64 BROOKS Drake 100% 93% 61% 21% 3% -
65 REILLY Xavier 100% 86% 51% 19% 4% - -
66 SHEYNZON Benjamin 100% 90% 58% 24% 5% 1% -
67 LAU Kyrus 100% 99% 90% 61% 22% 3% -
68 ZWAKA Jonas 100% 90% 59% 24% 5% 1% -
69 BIVIJI Adam 100% 99% 94% 75% 44% 15% 2%
70 CHANG Timothy 100% 96% 72% 32% 7% -
71 O’LOUGHLIN Jacob 100% 79% 39% 11% 1% - -
72 SAYAR Luke 100% 99% 92% 68% 34% 9% 1%
73 PATEL Arush 100% 80% 43% 14% 3% - -
74 KAPOOR Krish 100% 86% 48% 14% 2% - -
75 TUNIK Joshuah 100% 93% 66% 27% 5% - -
75 BURENKOV Matthew 100% 93% 67% 31% 8% 1% -
77 SHAPIRO Simon 100% 98% 83% 51% 18% 2%
78 LIEU Nicholas 100% 81% 42% 13% 2% -
79 ZHENG Lucas 100% 96% 70% 31% 7% 1%
80 HAIRABEDIAN Ellis 100% 51% 12% 1% - -
81 LIN Jacob 100% 86% 48% 15% 2% -
82 FOUX Jonathan 100% 98% 79% 40% 11% 2% -
83 HELD Lev 100% 98% 84% 54% 22% 5% -
84 EARLEY Jack 100% 84% 46% 15% 3% - -
85 VISH Manyu 100% 71% 29% 7% 1% - -
86 HAUSLER Jayden 100% 91% 63% 27% 7% 1% -
87 LEE Korbon 100% 45% 9% 1% - -
88 MENZIES Liam 100% 58% 17% 2% - -
89 BURG Whit 100% 70% 27% 6% 1% - -
90 SAUVE Quinn 100% 37% 6% - - - -
91 SUH Leo 100% 87% 50% 17% 3% - -
92 CHEN Kevin 100% 78% 30% 5% - - -
93 MENCIN Thomas 100% 98% 85% 56% 24% 6% 1%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.