George Mason University Patriot Open 2024

Senior Mixed Épée

Saturday, March 23, 2024 at 9:00 AM

George Mason Recreational Athletics Complex (RAC) - Silver Spring, MD, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 TAMULONIS Fen C. - - - 6% 33% 60%
2 KIM kihyeon - - - 5% 21% 43% 31%
3 LAM Alan - - 1% 7% 29% 44% 20%
3 WOODLEY Colin - - - - 2% 19% 79%
5 RAPALSKI Thomas - 7% 28% 38% 22% 4% < 1%
6 ABBOUD Michael - - 2% 17% 62% 20%
7 WALLACE George - 2% 11% 28% 35% 20% 4%
8 CARTER Austin L. - - 1% 6% 24% 43% 28%
9 PETERS Nathan M. - - - 5% 29% 66%
10 CHEMEZOV Trent 1% 9% 25% 35% 23% 6% 1%
11 YOO Dong Hun - - 1% 6% 26% 45% 22%
12 BUI Ryan 6% 26% 38% 23% 6% 1% -
13 PERILLO Edoardo Filippo Mihai 1% 11% 31% 35% 18% 4% -
14 MANSKE Niul S. - - 1% 15% 48% 37%
15 SNIDER Jeffrey H. - - 4% 18% 37% 32% 8%
16 SZIEDE Kieran 2% 15% 40% 37% 6% -
17 WOZNIAK Fryderyk - - 3% 15% 34% 34% 12%
18 CHENH Justin 1% 6% 23% 39% 27% 5%
19 LAM Bill - 1% 8% 26% 39% 24% 2%
20 ZOOK Evan D. - 3% 17% 35% 32% 11% 1%
21 HELMINTOLLER Christian 3% 21% 45% 25% 5% - -
22 YU Jason - 3% 17% 39% 31% 9% 1%
23 MEGGERS Samuel 3% 19% 36% 29% 11% 2% -
24 WOODLEY George - 4% 17% 33% 31% 13% 2%
25 WHITE Myles - - 1% 9% 31% 43% 16%
26 SEID Zachary W. 2% 13% 30% 33% 18% 4% -
27 CAMPBELL Paul 2% 15% 38% 34% 11% 1%
28 PENNER Kyle D. - 4% 21% 41% 30% 4%
29 WU Shaochi - 6% 27% 43% 21% 2%
30 SUNKARA Vishnu 21% 41% 29% 8% 1% -
31 WHITE Zara 26% 49% 21% 3% - -
32 WATSON Taylor 23% 40% 27% 9% 1% - -
33 PETRUNKO Kyrylo 9% 36% 39% 15% 1% -
34 TANG Justin 14% 42% 33% 10% 1% -
35 STULAK Brendan - 2% 11% 28% 35% 20% 4%
36 JAROSZ Joshua - 1% 8% 28% 41% 19% 2%
37 BARTLETT Lauren 2% 17% 39% 32% 9% -
38 LEE Aiden 1% 9% 30% 40% 19% 2%
39 SCHICKEL Juliana 3% 21% 42% 29% 6% -
40 GIAMPETRO Nicholas 13% 35% 34% 15% 3% - -
41 KEIM Spencer 4% 19% 34% 29% 12% 2% -
42 BADLANI Neel 5% 21% 35% 27% 10% 2% -
43 DIAZ Brenna 5% 26% 40% 22% 6% 1% -
44 GROSCLAUDE-EVANS Antonin 1% 8% 25% 36% 24% 6% -
45 KELLOFF Michael 22% 42% 27% 8% 1% - -
46 KARASICK Andrew 42% 42% 14% 2% - -
47 EARLY Isabel 15% 41% 33% 9% 1% - -
48 LUNDEN Espen 18% 40% 31% 10% 1% - -
49 HOLM Paul 4% 21% 37% 28% 9% 1% -
50 STEVENS Mike 5% 22% 34% 27% 10% 2% -
51 SOUTHWORTH Connor 25% 44% 25% 6% 1% - -
52 DIX Philip-Alexander 44% 41% 13% 1% - -
53 LUCOT Benjamin 4% 22% 37% 27% 9% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.