George Mason University Patriot Open 2024

Senior Mixed Épée

Saturday, March 23, 2024 at 9:00 AM

George Mason Recreational Athletics Complex (RAC) - Silver Spring, MD, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 TAMULONIS Fen C. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 60%
2 KIM kihyeon 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 74% 31%
3 LAM Alan 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 63% 20%
3 WOODLEY Colin 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 79%
5 RAPALSKI Thomas 100% 100% 93% 64% 26% 4% < 1%
6 ABBOUD Michael 100% 100% 100% 98% 81% 20%
7 WALLACE George 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 24% 4%
8 CARTER Austin L. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 28%
9 PETERS Nathan M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 66%
10 CHEMEZOV Trent 100% 99% 90% 65% 30% 7% 1%
11 YOO Dong Hun 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 22%
12 BUI Ryan 100% 94% 68% 29% 7% 1% -
13 PERILLO Edoardo Filippo Mihai 100% 99% 88% 57% 22% 4% -
14 MANSKE Niul S. 100% 100% 100% 99% 84% 37%
15 SNIDER Jeffrey H. 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 40% 8%
16 SZIEDE Kieran 100% 98% 84% 43% 6% -
17 WOZNIAK Fryderyk 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 47% 12%
18 CHENH Justin 100% 99% 94% 70% 31% 5%
19 LAM Bill 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 26% 2%
20 ZOOK Evan D. 100% 100% 97% 80% 44% 12% 1%
21 HELMINTOLLER Christian 100% 97% 76% 31% 6% - -
22 YU Jason 100% 100% 97% 81% 41% 10% 1%
23 MEGGERS Samuel 100% 97% 77% 41% 12% 2% -
24 WOODLEY George 100% 100% 96% 79% 46% 16% 2%
25 WHITE Myles 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 16%
26 SEID Zachary W. 100% 98% 85% 55% 22% 4% -
27 CAMPBELL Paul 100% 98% 83% 45% 12% 1%
28 PENNER Kyle D. 100% 100% 96% 75% 34% 4%
29 WU Shaochi 100% 100% 94% 66% 24% 2%
30 SUNKARA Vishnu 100% 79% 38% 9% 1% -
31 WHITE Zara 100% 74% 25% 3% - -
32 WATSON Taylor 100% 77% 37% 10% 2% - -
33 PETRUNKO Kyrylo 100% 91% 55% 16% 1% -
34 TANG Justin 100% 86% 45% 12% 1% -
35 STULAK Brendan 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 24% 4%
36 JAROSZ Joshua 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 21% 2%
37 BARTLETT Lauren 100% 98% 81% 42% 10% -
38 LEE Aiden 100% 99% 91% 60% 20% 2%
39 SCHICKEL Juliana 100% 97% 76% 35% 6% -
40 GIAMPETRO Nicholas 100% 87% 52% 18% 3% - -
41 KEIM Spencer 100% 96% 76% 43% 14% 2% -
42 BADLANI Neel 100% 95% 74% 39% 12% 2% -
43 DIAZ Brenna 100% 95% 69% 29% 6% 1% -
44 GROSCLAUDE-EVANS Antonin 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 7% -
45 KELLOFF Michael 100% 78% 35% 9% 1% - -
46 KARASICK Andrew 100% 58% 16% 2% - -
47 EARLY Isabel 100% 85% 44% 11% 1% - -
48 LUNDEN Espen 100% 82% 42% 11% 1% - -
49 HOLM Paul 100% 96% 76% 38% 10% 1% -
50 STEVENS Mike 100% 95% 73% 39% 12% 2% -
51 SOUTHWORTH Connor 100% 75% 32% 7% 1% - -
52 DIX Philip-Alexander 100% 56% 15% 2% - -
53 LUCOT Benjamin 100% 96% 74% 37% 10% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.