George Mason University Patriot Open 2024

Div III Mixed Saber

Saturday, March 23, 2024 at 4:00 PM

George Mason Recreational Athletics Complex (RAC) - Silver Spring, MD, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 PARCELL Colby 100% 100% 95% 70% 30% 6% -
2 MOYD Aaron 100% 99% 94% 74% 40% 12% 2%
3 HUA Catherine W. 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 41% 9%
3 XU Michael 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 35%
5 JENSBY Jason 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 30%
6 SEMP Brannon A. 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 22%
7 BARBORIAK Emily 100% 83% 46% 16% 3% - -
8 WEST-BEY Ahmad 100% 98% 85% 53% 18% 3% -
9 HO Alex 100% 98% 79% 42% 11% 1% -
10 VLASENKO Bohdan 100% 95% 72% 34% 8% 1%
11 LEMERY Marc 100% 100% 99% 89% 53% 4%
12 PAGAN Andrew 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 53%
13 ROSE Colin 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 28%
14 MITCHELL Matthew 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 36% 6%
15 ELIAN David 100% 100% 94% 72% 33% 6%
16 SULLIVAN Anna 100% 82% 44% 14% 2% -
17 CATLETT III Robert 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 40%
18 LEE Thomas 100% 100% 92% 60% 21% 3% -
19 NGUYEN Anna 100% 100% 98% 80% 33% 5%
20 RACHAPROLU Divyagnyaan Siddartha 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 61% 15%
21 GOOTY Shravan 100% 99% 93% 71% 36% 10% 1%
22 PIHLSTROM Richie 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 39% 8%
23 BAIN Tiernan 100% 100% 96% 75% 34% 7% -
24 OLMEN Kelsey 100% 86% 42% 11% 1% -
25 CURRY Robin 100% 99% 93% 72% 37% 10% 1%
26 CEDENO Andres 100% 100% 96% 79% 48% 17% 2%
27 MICHALSKI Brandon 100% 74% 27% 5% - - -
28 SCHICKEL Juliana 100% 98% 80% 43% 13% 2% -
29 PHAM Matthew 100% 93% 66% 27% 5% -
30 PIRAINO Kevin 100% 98% 84% 49% 15% 2%
31 SMITH ` Tyler M. 100% 99% 89% 55% 18% 3% -
32 TERRELL Mason 100% 99% 92% 66% 28% 5% -
33 URIBE David 100% 98% 83% 49% 16% 2% -
34 PRICE Jesse 100% 67% 22% 3% - -
35 PETERS Ella 100% 53% 15% 2% - - -
36 HALL Nathan 100% 96% 73% 36% 10% 2% -
37 TIONGSON Nicole 100% 93% 57% 11% 1% -
38 NESTERUK Hope 100% 80% 39% 11% 2% - -
39 JIN Adam 100% 60% 14% 1% - - -
40 MYERS Kenneth 100% 98% 82% 46% 14% 2% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.