Premier Challenge ROC(D1A, DV2, VET), RJCC & PARA

Div II Men's Épée

Saturday, March 30, 2024 at 2:00 PM

Rockland Community College, Eugene Levy Field House - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WU Marcus - 2% 10% 25% 34% 23% 6%
2 HOWARD Michael - - 4% 15% 32% 34% 14%
3 LONGSTREET Jeffrey - - 4% 30% 46% 19%
3 GOON Tristan Yang - 1% 7% 22% 36% 27% 7%
5 JIANG Matthew - 2% 12% 30% 35% 17% 3%
6 YI Nathan - 3% 12% 26% 33% 21% 5%
7 ABDELGAWAD Abdelrahman - - - 2% 12% 39% 48%
8 AGGELER Donovan 3% 15% 31% 32% 16% 3% -
9 LIN Kason - 1% 6% 20% 36% 29% 8%
10 NORMILE Nicholas - - 1% 10% 29% 40% 20%
11 GOODWIN Graham 4% 18% 33% 30% 13% 2% -
12 ZHAO kuncheng - 3% 16% 33% 32% 14% 2%
13 WANG Charles 12% 32% 33% 17% 5% 1% -
14 LEE DoWon - 4% 17% 34% 31% 12% 1%
15 NABAVI Matthew R. - - 3% 30% 49% 18%
16 BUSH Thomas - - - 2% 12% 39% 48%
17 PACYNA ATILLA - - - - - 10% 89%
18 ANDERSON Riley - - 1% 4% 19% 41% 35%
19 YU Samuel 1% 8% 23% 34% 24% 8% 1%
20 YIN Chujun 3% 16% 31% 30% 15% 4% -
21 KARIMOV Amir 1% 10% 25% 33% 22% 8% 1%
22 ZHAO Pierce 3% 17% 32% 30% 15% 3% -
22 GARCIA-CABRERA Jeffrey - 1% 5% 20% 36% 30% 9%
24 XU Che - 3% 13% 29% 33% 18% 4%
25 CHU Brandon A. 1% 6% 20% 32% 27% 11% 2%
26 AGROMAYOR Benjamin 1% 9% 24% 33% 23% 9% 1%
27 TSE Maxwell - 1% 8% 25% 37% 24% 4%
28 HAIRABEDIAN Loic 11% 31% 34% 18% 5% 1% -
29 BHARGAVA Vivaan 9% 29% 36% 20% 6% 1% -
30 ZHANG Roland 2% 15% 32% 31% 15% 4% -
31 WONG King-Yee 1% 8% 24% 34% 25% 8% 1%
32 REPIC Oliver 2% 13% 29% 32% 19% 5% 1%
33 CHALLAGULLA Manu - 1% 6% 21% 36% 29% 8%
34 MA YIXING (Tiger) 2% 14% 32% 33% 16% 3% -
34 LEBLANC Samuel - 4% 18% 33% 30% 12% 2%
36 ANAFI Ari 2% 12% 29% 33% 19% 5% -
37 HU Anton - 4% 17% 32% 30% 14% 2%
38 LI Jade 6% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1% -
39 AHMED Mohsen 3% 18% 33% 29% 14% 3% -
40 PAQUET Mathieu 1% 6% 19% 32% 28% 13% 2%
41 COETZEE Frans M. - - 3% 15% 36% 37% 8%
42 XIAN Andy 3% 15% 31% 31% 16% 4% -
43 ZHENG Alan - 1% 6% 28% 44% 21%
44 GANESAN Mathavan - 2% 13% 31% 35% 17% 3%
45 SHONEMAN Sam 1% 10% 26% 33% 22% 7% 1%
46 GOON Sin Tong 3% 16% 31% 30% 15% 4% -
47 NILSEN Mark 1% 10% 26% 33% 22% 7% 1%
47 KIM Joshua 2% 11% 29% 33% 19% 5% 1%
49 ZHANG Lucas 1% 8% 23% 34% 24% 9% 1%
50 DUKO Phillip - 2% 10% 28% 35% 21% 5%
51 BLAKESLEE Ian - - 2% 11% 28% 38% 20%
52 DORASZELSKI Mark - 1% 6% 21% 38% 28% 6%
53 SO Lorenzo - 1% 6% 20% 34% 29% 9%
54 TORRES Gianni - 2% 12% 30% 36% 17% 2%
55 RIVERA Louis 1% 10% 27% 34% 21% 6% 1%
56 LI Morgan 6% 24% 36% 24% 8% 1% -
57 ZHANG Sen 1% 6% 22% 34% 26% 9% 1%
58 ROBICHAUD Michael 13% 33% 33% 17% 4% 1% -
59 HAIRABEDIAN Colin 7% 25% 34% 23% 8% 1% -
60 MARTINEZ Joshua 1% 6% 20% 34% 29% 10% -
61 LI Ray 20% 40% 29% 9% 1% - -
62 DOWD Peter L. 2% 19% 54% 22% 3% -
63 DEITZ Ethan 3% 17% 33% 30% 14% 3% -
64 ZOGRAFOS Nicholas 7% 25% 34% 24% 9% 2% -
65 WU Chi Kuan 1% 11% 28% 33% 20% 6% 1%
66 PENG Yue - 6% 25% 37% 24% 7% 1%
67 FREY Wayne N. - - 1% 5% 21% 41% 32%
68 BELCHAMBER Eric 1% 10% 28% 36% 21% 5% -
69 LIN Nathan - 1% 6% 19% 34% 30% 11%
70 HU Robert J. - - 2% 9% 26% 40% 24%
71 ALAM Rajan 20% 39% 29% 11% 2% - -
72 YAMAGUCHI Yuzuki - 5% 17% 31% 30% 15% 3%
72 LEE Wyatt 8% 32% 38% 18% 4% - -
74 HEKMAT Sina R. - - 1% 7% 25% 41% 26%
74 ALEXANDER Jacksen 5% 22% 34% 26% 10% 2% -
76 XIAO Yichen - - 2% 9% 26% 39% 24%
77 HE Bronto 31% 51% 16% 1% - -
78 GAO "George" Xiaojiang 2% 11% 27% 33% 20% 6% 1%
79 OKUN Benjamin 7% 24% 34% 24% 9% 2% -
79 HOWARD Jackson 1% 12% 30% 34% 19% 4% -
81 ZUKOFSKY Zachary - - 3% 13% 32% 36% 15%
82 HIGGASON Hugh 2% 11% 27% 33% 20% 6% 1%
83 LIN Zizhen 1% 11% 29% 35% 19% 4% -
84 NALLICHERI Ayaan 8% 28% 35% 21% 7% 1% -
85 SCHAUER Oliver 20% 38% 28% 11% 2% - -
86 YANG Alex 6% 23% 35% 25% 9% 2% -
87 ZENG Andrew 4% 19% 34% 29% 12% 2% -
88 GAO Victor 13% 34% 34% 16% 4% - -
89 MANITT Philip 13% 34% 33% 16% 4% - -
90 TOMASZEWSKI Benjamin 23% 44% 26% 6% 1% - -
91 WILLIAMS Logan - 2% 11% 26% 33% 21% 5%
92 LEE Henry 41% 40% 16% 3% - - -
93 BUIKEVICH Ihnat 28% 40% 23% 7% 1% - -
94 CHAO Warren - 2% 10% 26% 35% 22% 5%
94 WHITELOCK James R. 19% 37% 29% 12% 3% - -
94 JIANG Alex 3% 18% 35% 30% 12% 2% -
97 PAYNE Massimo - 1% 7% 21% 34% 28% 9%
97 CHEN Edward 42% 40% 15% 3% - - -
99 RIM Eugene 2% 11% 27% 33% 21% 6% 1%
100 O'BRIEN Timothy S. 1% 9% 25% 35% 24% 6% -
101 JOEL Irenov 45% 46% 9% - - -
102 LIN ZICHEN 3% 17% 34% 30% 13% 3% -
103 CHANG Ian 5% 26% 42% 23% 4% - -
104 CRESPO Nathaniel Justus 13% 33% 33% 16% 4% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.