Premier Challenge ROC(D1A, DV2, VET), RJCC & PARA

Div II Men's Épée

Saturday, March 30, 2024 at 2:00 PM

Rockland Community College, Eugene Levy Field House - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WU Marcus 100% 100% 98% 88% 63% 29% 6%
2 HOWARD Michael 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 14%
3 LONGSTREET Jeffrey 100% 100% 100% 96% 66% 19%
3 GOON Tristan Yang 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 34% 7%
5 JIANG Matthew 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 20% 3%
6 YI Nathan 100% 100% 97% 86% 59% 27% 5%
7 ABDELGAWAD Abdelrahman 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 48%
8 AGGELER Donovan 100% 97% 83% 52% 20% 3% -
9 LIN Kason 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 37% 8%
10 NORMILE Nicholas 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 60% 20%
11 GOODWIN Graham 100% 96% 79% 45% 15% 2% -
12 ZHAO kuncheng 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 16% 2%
13 WANG Charles 100% 88% 56% 22% 5% 1% -
14 LEE DoWon 100% 100% 96% 78% 44% 13% 1%
15 NABAVI Matthew R. 100% 100% 100% 97% 67% 18%
16 BUSH Thomas 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 48%
17 PACYNA ATILLA 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 89%
18 ANDERSON Riley 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 35%
19 YU Samuel 100% 99% 91% 68% 34% 9% 1%
20 YIN Chujun 100% 97% 81% 49% 20% 4% -
21 KARIMOV Amir 100% 99% 89% 64% 31% 9% 1%
22 ZHAO Pierce 100% 97% 80% 48% 18% 4% -
22 GARCIA-CABRERA Jeffrey 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 38% 9%
24 XU Che 100% 100% 97% 84% 55% 22% 4%
25 CHU Brandon A. 100% 99% 93% 73% 41% 13% 2%
26 AGROMAYOR Benjamin 100% 99% 90% 66% 33% 10% 1%
27 TSE Maxwell 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 28% 4%
28 HAIRABEDIAN Loic 100% 89% 58% 24% 5% 1% -
29 BHARGAVA Vivaan 100% 91% 62% 26% 6% 1% -
30 ZHANG Roland 100% 98% 83% 51% 19% 4% -
31 WONG King-Yee 100% 99% 91% 68% 33% 9% 1%
32 REPIC Oliver 100% 98% 85% 56% 24% 6% 1%
33 CHALLAGULLA Manu 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 37% 8%
34 MA YIXING (Tiger) 100% 98% 84% 52% 20% 4% -
34 LEBLANC Samuel 100% 100% 95% 77% 44% 14% 2%
36 ANAFI Ari 100% 98% 86% 58% 25% 6% -
37 HU Anton 100% 100% 95% 78% 46% 16% 2%
38 LI Jade 100% 94% 70% 34% 9% 1% -
39 AHMED Mohsen 100% 97% 79% 46% 17% 3% -
40 PAQUET Mathieu 100% 99% 94% 75% 43% 15% 2%
41 COETZEE Frans M. 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 45% 8%
42 XIAN Andy 100% 97% 82% 51% 20% 4% -
43 ZHENG Alan 100% 100% 99% 93% 65% 21%
44 GANESAN Mathavan 100% 100% 98% 85% 55% 20% 3%
45 SHONEMAN Sam 100% 99% 89% 62% 29% 8% 1%
46 GOON Sin Tong 100% 97% 80% 49% 19% 4% -
47 NILSEN Mark 100% 99% 89% 63% 30% 8% 1%
47 KIM Joshua 100% 98% 87% 58% 25% 6% 1%
49 ZHANG Lucas 100% 99% 91% 68% 34% 10% 1%
50 DUKO Phillip 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 25% 5%
51 BLAKESLEE Ian 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 20%
52 DORASZELSKI Mark 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 34% 6%
53 SO Lorenzo 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 38% 9%
54 TORRES Gianni 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 20% 2%
55 RIVERA Louis 100% 99% 89% 62% 28% 7% 1%
56 LI Morgan 100% 94% 70% 34% 9% 1% -
57 ZHANG Sen 100% 99% 93% 71% 37% 11% 1%
58 ROBICHAUD Michael 100% 87% 55% 21% 5% 1% -
59 HAIRABEDIAN Colin 100% 93% 67% 33% 10% 1% -
60 MARTINEZ Joshua 100% 99% 94% 74% 40% 11% -
61 LI Ray 100% 80% 40% 11% 2% - -
62 DOWD Peter L. 100% 98% 79% 25% 3% -
63 DEITZ Ethan 100% 97% 79% 47% 17% 3% -
64 ZOGRAFOS Nicholas 100% 93% 68% 34% 10% 2% -
65 WU Chi Kuan 100% 99% 87% 59% 27% 7% 1%
66 PENG Yue 100% 100% 94% 69% 32% 8% 1%
67 FREY Wayne N. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 32%
68 BELCHAMBER Eric 100% 99% 89% 61% 26% 5% -
69 LIN Nathan 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 41% 11%
70 HU Robert J. 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 63% 24%
71 ALAM Rajan 100% 80% 42% 13% 2% - -
72 YAMAGUCHI Yuzuki 100% 100% 95% 78% 47% 18% 3%
72 LEE Wyatt 100% 92% 60% 22% 4% - -
74 HEKMAT Sina R. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 26%
74 ALEXANDER Jacksen 100% 95% 73% 38% 12% 2% -
76 XIAO Yichen 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 24%
77 HE Bronto 100% 69% 18% 1% - -
78 GAO "George" Xiaojiang 100% 98% 87% 60% 26% 6% 1%
79 OKUN Benjamin 100% 93% 69% 35% 11% 2% -
79 HOWARD Jackson 100% 99% 87% 57% 23% 5% -
81 ZUKOFSKY Zachary 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 15%
82 HIGGASON Hugh 100% 98% 87% 60% 27% 7% 1%
83 LIN Zizhen 100% 99% 88% 59% 24% 5% -
84 NALLICHERI Ayaan 100% 92% 64% 29% 8% 1% -
85 SCHAUER Oliver 100% 80% 41% 13% 2% - -
86 YANG Alex 100% 94% 71% 36% 11% 2% -
87 ZENG Andrew 100% 96% 77% 44% 15% 2% -
88 GAO Victor 100% 87% 53% 20% 4% - -
89 MANITT Philip 100% 87% 53% 20% 4% - -
90 TOMASZEWSKI Benjamin 100% 77% 33% 7% 1% - -
91 WILLIAMS Logan 100% 100% 98% 86% 60% 27% 5%
92 LEE Henry 100% 59% 19% 3% - - -
93 BUIKEVICH Ihnat 100% 72% 32% 9% 1% - -
94 CHAO Warren 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 27% 5%
94 WHITELOCK James R. 100% 81% 44% 15% 3% - -
94 JIANG Alex 100% 97% 79% 44% 14% 2% -
97 PAYNE Massimo 100% 100% 99% 92% 71% 37% 9%
97 CHEN Edward 100% 58% 18% 3% - - -
99 RIM Eugene 100% 98% 88% 61% 28% 7% 1%
100 O'BRIEN Timothy S. 100% 99% 90% 65% 30% 6% -
101 JOEL Irenov 100% 55% 9% - - -
102 LIN ZICHEN 100% 97% 80% 46% 16% 3% -
103 CHANG Ian 100% 95% 70% 28% 5% - -
104 CRESPO Nathaniel Justus 100% 87% 54% 21% 5% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.