Challenge by the Bay RYC/RCC

Y-12 Men's Épée

Sunday, March 31, 2024 at 8:00 AM

University of California - Davis - Davis, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 TANG Michael - 1% 6% 22% 42% 30%
2 REICHMANN Theo - 1% 7% 33% 60%
3 WONG Aaron 4% 24% 42% 26% 4%
3 XIE HanZhang (Elon) 5% 25% 38% 24% 7% 1%
5 SU Samuel - 2% 10% 30% 39% 19%
6 YU Brandon 1% 11% 30% 37% 19% 3%
7 GORDON David 2% 16% 34% 32% 13% 2%
8 ZHU Owen 1% 7% 24% 38% 25% 5%
9 TUBALTSEV Evan - - 1% 8% 35% 56%
10 BALUCAN Caelus 1% 6% 23% 37% 27% 6%
11 LIU Max 4% 25% 42% 25% 3%
12 HUANG Terrence 4% 22% 37% 27% 8% 1%
13 LIU Xuyao 2% 16% 35% 32% 13% 2%
14 WU Nathan - 2% 12% 32% 38% 16%
15 JU Shang 2% 16% 35% 32% 13% 2%
16 KLINKNER Charlie 12% 34% 35% 16% 3% -
17 WANG Devin - - 3% 15% 41% 42%
18 GUO Luke 2% 16% 37% 33% 11% 1%
19 SRIKANTH Hariharan - 3% 16% 35% 34% 12%
20 LIN Daniel 27% 41% 24% 7% 1% -
21 YU Alex 43% 41% 14% 2% -
22 MANA Sameer - 5% 21% 37% 29% 8%
23 LI Grayson 3% 19% 35% 30% 11% 2%
24 HIGGINS Karl 1% 9% 28% 37% 21% 4%
25 SCHIPPER Johann 1% 11% 31% 35% 18% 3%
26 BALUCAN Gabriel - 5% 21% 39% 29% 5%
27 LIU Daniel 6% 26% 39% 24% 6% -
28 YU Haoyun 6% 25% 37% 25% 7% 1%
29 JAMES Kaden 7% 33% 41% 18% 2%
30 XU Isaac 4% 22% 38% 27% 8% 1%
31 KROTZ Nicolas 16% 37% 32% 12% 2% -
32 NARAYANUN Advay 41% 41% 15% 3% - -
33 REN Mark 3% 16% 34% 32% 13% 2%
34 TEJADA-ANDERSON Emmanuel 34% 43% 19% 4% - -
35 ZHANG William 48% 38% 12% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.