Challenge by the Bay RYC/RCC

Y-12 Men's Épée

Sunday, March 31, 2024 at 8:00 AM

University of California - Davis - Davis, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 TANG Michael 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 30%
2 REICHMANN Theo 100% 100% 99% 93% 60%
3 WONG Aaron 100% 96% 72% 30% 4%
3 XIE HanZhang (Elon) 100% 95% 70% 32% 8% 1%
5 SU Samuel 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 19%
6 YU Brandon 100% 99% 88% 58% 22% 3%
7 GORDON David 100% 98% 82% 48% 15% 2%
8 ZHU Owen 100% 99% 92% 68% 30% 5%
9 TUBALTSEV Evan 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 56%
10 BALUCAN Caelus 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 6%
11 LIU Max 100% 96% 71% 28% 3%
12 HUANG Terrence 100% 96% 74% 36% 9% 1%
13 LIU Xuyao 100% 98% 82% 48% 15% 2%
14 WU Nathan 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 16%
15 JU Shang 100% 98% 82% 47% 15% 2%
16 KLINKNER Charlie 100% 88% 54% 19% 3% -
17 WANG Devin 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 42%
18 GUO Luke 100% 98% 82% 45% 12% 1%
19 SRIKANTH Hariharan 100% 100% 97% 80% 45% 12%
20 LIN Daniel 100% 73% 32% 8% 1% -
21 YU Alex 100% 57% 15% 2% -
22 MANA Sameer 100% 100% 94% 73% 37% 8%
23 LI Grayson 100% 97% 78% 43% 13% 2%
24 HIGGINS Karl 100% 99% 90% 62% 26% 4%
25 SCHIPPER Johann 100% 99% 87% 57% 22% 3%
26 BALUCAN Gabriel 100% 100% 95% 74% 35% 5%
27 LIU Daniel 100% 94% 68% 30% 6% -
28 YU Haoyun 100% 94% 69% 32% 8% 1%
29 JAMES Kaden 100% 93% 60% 19% 2%
30 XU Isaac 100% 96% 74% 36% 9% 1%
31 KROTZ Nicolas 100% 84% 46% 15% 2% -
32 NARAYANUN Advay 100% 59% 18% 3% - -
33 REN Mark 100% 97% 81% 47% 15% 2%
34 TEJADA-ANDERSON Emmanuel 100% 66% 23% 4% - -
35 ZHANG William 100% 52% 13% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.