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For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

Motor City SYC

Y-12 Men's Foil

Sunday, April 7, 2024 at 8:00 AM

UWM Sports Complex - Pontiac, MI, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 RODRIGUEZ Tyler - - - - 5% 30% 65%
2 DESERANNO Leander - - - - 3% 26% 71%
3 FEDELI Francesco - - - - 5% 30% 64%
3 LU Alex - - - 1% 9% 36% 53%
5 MAZAHERI Fletcher - - - 1% 8% 34% 57%
6 PAN Ethan - - - 2% 14% 41% 42%
7 ZHENG Marcus - - - 2% 13% 39% 46%
8 OZAWA Taishi - - 2% 11% 30% 38% 19%
9 GE Felix Fei - - 2% 10% 29% 39% 20%
10 QU Zhida (richard) - - 2% 10% 29% 40% 19%
11 WEI Winston - - 4% 24% 41% 26% 5%
12 FAN Ze Lin - - 1% 6% 25% 43% 26%
13 WEI JR Shan - 3% 14% 30% 33% 17% 3%
14 HUYNH Matthew - 4% 20% 38% 29% 8%
15 CHANG Parker - 2% 10% 28% 35% 21% 4%
16 CHAU Ivan 21% 43% 27% 8% 1% - -
17 SLAIN Owen - - 5% 22% 41% 28% 4%
18 LI Lucas - - 1% 8% 29% 43% 19%
19 TAN Charlie - - 2% 10% 29% 40% 19%
20 KIAYIAS Alexander 1% 10% 28% 35% 20% 5% -
21 KUANG Cyrus - - 1% 9% 35% 46% 8%
22 ZHAI Derrick - 1% 6% 20% 35% 30% 9%
22 GREULICH Nikolas 6% 27% 40% 21% 4% - -
24 ZHAI Alex - 3% 15% 33% 33% 14% 2%
25 WU Rayson siyu 1% 11% 29% 34% 19% 5% -
26 NG Kai - 4% 17% 34% 31% 12% 1%
27 GUO Austin - 1% 6% 25% 41% 24% 3%
28 LATORRE Leonardo - 8% 28% 38% 22% 5%
29 WANG Mendy - 3% 18% 37% 32% 10%
30 WANG Caleb - 4% 17% 33% 31% 13% 2%
31 PAN Howard Haoran - 3% 16% 33% 33% 13% 1%
32 KIAYIAS Anthony 1% 7% 26% 39% 22% 5% -
33 MAZAHERI John - - 6% 28% 45% 19% 1%
34 KIM Andrew 1% 6% 20% 34% 28% 10% 1%
35 SUSANTO William 1% 6% 22% 35% 26% 9% 1%
36 JIN Xueyuan George - 1% 6% 26% 40% 23% 4%
37 LEE Joshua - 5% 22% 37% 27% 8% 1%
38 MYERS Julian - 3% 16% 35% 34% 12%
39 CZARNECKI Thomas - 1% 6% 23% 39% 25% 5%
40 RAU Shogun - 2% 10% 28% 35% 21% 4%
41 SIU Max - 5% 22% 35% 27% 10% 1%
42 KIM Joshua Yeohwi 9% 29% 35% 21% 6% 1% -
43 ALVA Anmol 1% 6% 20% 34% 29% 10% 1%
44 CORAN Roland 1% 12% 31% 34% 18% 4% -
45 LI Eric 1% 12% 35% 36% 14% 2% -
46 CAO Jeremy - 1% 7% 26% 39% 23% 4%
47 JAZWINSKI Ryan - 1% 7% 25% 38% 25% 4%
47 ZHENG Lerui 2% 10% 27% 34% 22% 6% -
49 KAGAN Noah - 7% 24% 35% 25% 8% 1%
50 ZHAO Jason 3% 15% 32% 31% 15% 4% -
51 HUYNH Kaleb 4% 28% 39% 22% 6% 1% -
52 CHEN Kyler 4% 22% 39% 27% 8% 1% -
53 JIN Xuechong Daniel - 4% 18% 35% 31% 11% 1%
54 DEBORD Beckett - 3% 16% 33% 31% 14% 2%
55 XU Jason 10% 32% 36% 18% 4% - -
56 BILLIET Greyson 1% 12% 38% 37% 11% 1% -
57 DIFRANK Avery 1% 26% 41% 25% 7% 1%
58 SU Aiden 3% 16% 33% 31% 14% 3% -
59 LI Andy 2% 13% 31% 34% 17% 4% -
60 GOSTRYY Grigory 13% 37% 33% 13% 3% - -
61 WENGER Rowan 1% 9% 27% 35% 22% 6% -
61 MORALES Tycho 12% 32% 34% 17% 5% 1% -
63 MAZAHERI Theodore 2% 13% 30% 33% 18% 4% -
64 WILLIAMS Thomas 30% 43% 22% 5% 1% - -
65 WU David 12% 40% 37% 11% 1% - -
66 LU Hansen - 2% 12% 31% 35% 17% 2%
67 HUYCK Liam - 4% 22% 40% 27% 6% -
68 DEMPSEY Julian 3% 15% 32% 31% 15% 4% -
69 HYUN Francis 27% 42% 24% 6% 1% - -
70 WANG Freyr 1% 11% 29% 34% 19% 5% 1%
71 SIN TaeHwan 40% 43% 15% 2% - - -
72 MCERLEAN Liam 83% 16% 1% - - -
73 DENG Albert 33% 46% 19% 3% - - -
74 DU Cayden 45% 42% 12% 1% - - -
75 GRIFFIN Andrew 32% 43% 20% 4% - - -
76 RITTER Nathan D. 14% 42% 33% 10% 1% - -
77 THEKKEL Jonathan 13% 38% 34% 13% 2% - -
78 DURAI Dheeraj 60% 33% 7% 1% - - -
79 KOSCIK-AQUINO Nicholas 30% 45% 20% 4% - - -
79 LIM-SEIWERT Cassian 26% 48% 22% 4% - - -
81 KRESS Elias 7% 33% 41% 16% 3% - -
82 XUE Lucas 26% 40% 25% 7% 1% - -
83 RUDDEN Trevor 59% 33% 7% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.