Cherry Blossom ROC

Div I-A Men's Saber

Saturday, April 13, 2024 at 1:00 PM

University of Maryland, Reckord Armory - College Park, MD, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 YAN William - 3% 16% 36% 33% 11% 1%
2 CHIN Matthew W. - - - 4% 21% 44% 31%
3 HOTHA Nikhil - 1% 11% 32% 38% 16% 2%
3 CORTEZ Christopher - - 1% 12% 42% 45%
5 CHUNG Connor - 1% 8% 32% 44% 14%
6 PATEL Rayn - - 2% 13% 32% 37% 16%
7 STAMIS Kyle - 1% 8% 25% 36% 23% 5%
8 HUANG Zekai 1% 8% 29% 40% 20% 3% -
9 CHEN Jonathan - 2% 10% 29% 37% 19% 3%
10 FELDMAN Drew - - 3% 16% 34% 34% 13%
11 LIN Felix - 2% 15% 34% 33% 14% 2%
12 WANG Charles - - - 3% 16% 42% 38%
13 MATT Chris - - - - 3% 25% 71%
14 YANG Dylan - - 2% 12% 33% 39% 13%
15 JENSBY Jason 4% 24% 40% 25% 6% 1% -
16 FILATOV Aleksandr 1% 6% 21% 35% 28% 10% 1%
17 MCCARTHY Devan - 2% 15% 38% 36% 9% 1%
18 JEFFORDS Alexander - - - 1% 7% 34% 59%
19 KLEBS Robert - 5% 20% 36% 29% 9% 1%
20 JONES Graham H. - - 2% 10% 31% 40% 16%
21 POSY Daniel - 4% 19% 38% 30% 9% -
22 FERRARA Nicholas S. - - - 1% 12% 48% 38%
23 BRIDGEMAN Andrew T. - 4% 19% 36% 30% 10% 1%
24 FERRARO Pietro - - - 2% 16% 48% 33%
25 CRAIN Bennett 7% 27% 37% 22% 6% 1% -
26 FENKER William M. - 1% 5% 21% 38% 28% 7%
27 DECK Tyson - 1% 9% 25% 35% 23% 6%
28 SHANKAR Karthik 3% 18% 35% 30% 12% 2% -
29 ROBLES Julio C. - 3% 13% 30% 33% 17% 4%
30 SHIMER Joseph (Joey) D. - - 4% 19% 40% 33% 4%
31 SZULIM Lucjan 6% 29% 39% 21% 5% - -
32 NOTOPRADONO Nicholas 2% 18% 40% 31% 9% 1% -
33 VLASENKO Bohdan 1% 7% 28% 37% 21% 6% 1%
34 RIGGINS Littleton K. - - 5% 20% 39% 30% 5%
35 WANG Max 1% 21% 39% 28% 9% 1% -
36 VALENCIA Jose 6% 29% 43% 19% 3% -
37 BAKER Keith L. - 3% 20% 44% 28% 5%
38 VARNER Michael A. 4% 22% 41% 26% 7% 1% -
39 CLARK Keagan - 6% 26% 39% 24% 5% -
40 STRUCKER Rocco 28% 43% 23% 6% 1% - -
41 MARKOWITZ Jonathan 11% 33% 36% 17% 3% - -
42 FENG Brendan 21% 45% 27% 6% - -
43 LEMERY Marc 32% 46% 19% 3% - -
44 PARCELL Colby 15% 39% 32% 12% 2% - -
45 BENSON Jacob 7% 27% 36% 22% 7% 1% -
46 REHM Liam 8% 38% 38% 14% 2% - -
47 MILLS Matthew P. 38% 42% 16% 3% - - -
47 ELDER John 6% 30% 39% 20% 5% - -
49 HO Alex 56% 36% 8% 1% - - -
50 ROSE Colin 3% 17% 37% 31% 11% 2% -
51 MISHULOVICH Ronen 9% 33% 37% 17% 3% - -
52 LICHTERMAN Jakub 18% 38% 31% 11% 2% - -
52 MILLS Henry 6% 27% 39% 22% 5% 1% -
54 ROORDA Easton 65% 31% 3% - - - -
55 CAI fungyu 50% 38% 10% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.