Cherry Blossom ROC

Div I-A Men's Saber

Saturday, April 13, 2024 at 1:00 PM

University of Maryland, Reckord Armory - College Park, MD, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 YAN William 100% 100% 97% 81% 45% 12% 1%
2 CHIN Matthew W. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 31%
3 HOTHA Nikhil 100% 100% 99% 87% 56% 18% 2%
3 CORTEZ Christopher 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 45%
5 CHUNG Connor 100% 100% 99% 91% 59% 14%
6 PATEL Rayn 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 53% 16%
7 STAMIS Kyle 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 29% 5%
8 HUANG Zekai 100% 99% 92% 63% 23% 3% -
9 CHEN Jonathan 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 22% 3%
10 FELDMAN Drew 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 47% 13%
11 LIN Felix 100% 100% 98% 83% 49% 16% 2%
12 WANG Charles 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 38%
13 MATT Chris 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 71%
14 YANG Dylan 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 52% 13%
15 JENSBY Jason 100% 96% 72% 32% 7% 1% -
16 FILATOV Aleksandr 100% 99% 94% 73% 38% 11% 1%
17 MCCARTHY Devan 100% 100% 98% 83% 45% 10% 1%
18 JEFFORDS Alexander 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 59%
19 KLEBS Robert 100% 100% 95% 75% 39% 10% 1%
20 JONES Graham H. 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 56% 16%
21 POSY Daniel 100% 100% 96% 77% 39% 9% -
22 FERRARA Nicholas S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 38%
23 BRIDGEMAN Andrew T. 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 11% 1%
24 FERRARO Pietro 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 81% 33%
25 CRAIN Bennett 100% 93% 66% 29% 7% 1% -
26 FENKER William M. 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 35% 7%
27 DECK Tyson 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 29% 6%
28 SHANKAR Karthik 100% 97% 79% 44% 14% 2% -
29 ROBLES Julio C. 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 21% 4%
30 SHIMER Joseph (Joey) D. 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 37% 4%
31 SZULIM Lucjan 100% 94% 65% 26% 5% - -
32 NOTOPRADONO Nicholas 100% 98% 80% 40% 9% 1% -
33 VLASENKO Bohdan 100% 99% 92% 64% 27% 6% 1%
34 RIGGINS Littleton K. 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 36% 5%
35 WANG Max 100% 99% 78% 39% 11% 1% -
36 VALENCIA Jose 100% 94% 65% 22% 3% -
37 BAKER Keith L. 100% 100% 96% 76% 33% 5%
38 VARNER Michael A. 100% 96% 75% 33% 7% 1% -
39 CLARK Keagan 100% 100% 94% 69% 29% 6% -
40 STRUCKER Rocco 100% 72% 29% 6% 1% - -
41 MARKOWITZ Jonathan 100% 89% 56% 20% 4% - -
42 FENG Brendan 100% 79% 34% 6% - -
43 LEMERY Marc 100% 68% 22% 3% - -
44 PARCELL Colby 100% 85% 46% 14% 2% - -
45 BENSON Jacob 100% 93% 66% 30% 8% 1% -
46 REHM Liam 100% 92% 54% 16% 2% - -
47 MILLS Matthew P. 100% 62% 20% 3% - - -
47 ELDER John 100% 94% 64% 25% 5% - -
49 HO Alex 100% 44% 9% 1% - - -
50 ROSE Colin 100% 97% 81% 44% 13% 2% -
51 MISHULOVICH Ronen 100% 91% 58% 20% 3% - -
52 LICHTERMAN Jakub 100% 82% 44% 13% 2% - -
52 MILLS Henry 100% 94% 67% 28% 6% 1% -
54 ROORDA Easton 100% 35% 3% - - - -
55 CAI fungyu 100% 50% 12% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.