The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

Buckie Leach RYC

Y-14 Men's Foil

Saturday, April 20, 2024 at 8:00 AM

New Jersey City University - John Moore Athletic Center - Jersey City, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SIMONOV Timofey - - - 1% 16% 83%
2 GRIFFITH MCALLISTER Thomas - - - - 5% 28% 67%
3 ZENG Rick - - - 6% 33% 60%
3 MO Ethan - 1% 5% 22% 42% 30%
5 TOOMRE Kai - - - 2% 12% 39% 47%
6 O'LEARY Colin - 2% 17% 39% 33% 9%
7 DIAZ Gabriel 1% 6% 22% 37% 28% 7%
8 SAMUEL Lucas - 1% 6% 21% 38% 29% 6%
9 SICAT Justin - 4% 18% 35% 31% 11%
10 LEE Charles T - 1% 9% 26% 40% 24%
11 KO Caleb - - 3% 20% 44% 33%
12 CHA James 4% 18% 34% 30% 13% 2%
13 ONIK Ari N. - 5% 21% 37% 28% 7%
14 WONG Jacob W. - 1% 9% 31% 41% 17%
15 TANG Royce - 1% 7% 26% 41% 24%
16 BLACK Henry 3% 28% 42% 22% 4% -
17 CHEN kenneth - 3% 13% 30% 34% 18% 2%
18 KUO Phineas - 3% 17% 38% 32% 9%
19 KRZYWON Dylan 9% 30% 36% 19% 5% 1%
20 HARRA Alexander - 1% 6% 27% 43% 23%
21 WANG Ancen 1% 7% 23% 37% 26% 7%
22 KOVACS Harrison 3% 15% 32% 33% 16% 3%
23 MA Matthew 2% 13% 32% 34% 16% 2%
24 KIM Daniel 3% 25% 42% 25% 5% -
25 XIA Philip 4% 18% 33% 29% 13% 2% -
26 CHANG Parker - 2% 12% 37% 41% 9%
27 ULYSSE Jacob 1% 10% 33% 40% 15% 1%
28 QIAN Zekai 1% 9% 27% 36% 22% 5%
29 JAZWINSKI Ryan 1% 9% 27% 36% 22% 5%
30 REYES Yannik 1% 7% 25% 36% 24% 7% 1%
31 SMITH Colin 15% 41% 34% 9% 1% -
32 BEYDOUN Sam 5% 21% 35% 28% 10% 1%
33 POLEBOYINA Amrit - 1% 11% 40% 43% 4%
34 LIN Qianzhong 6% 24% 35% 25% 9% 1% -
35 HART-SYED declan - 4% 22% 48% 24% 1%
36 HU Daniel 8% 30% 37% 20% 5% -
37 LEE Thomas 1% 7% 24% 36% 25% 7%
38 LI Jayden - 3% 16% 34% 32% 12% 1%
39 ZHANG Julian 1% 10% 29% 35% 20% 5% -
40 KIM Maxwell - 2% 14% 38% 36% 10%
41 GRUNENWALD Henri 2% 15% 38% 33% 11% 1%
42 WALDROOP Cuin 23% 43% 27% 7% 1% -
43 MARTIN Ahmir 17% 42% 33% 8% 1% -
44 LIU Ryan 2% 10% 26% 34% 22% 6% -
45 FRIEDMAN Marcus 13% 37% 34% 14% 3% - -
46 KIAYIAS Alexander 3% 17% 35% 31% 12% 2%
47 MCCARTHY Hudson 15% 35% 32% 15% 3% -
48 BRAIZINHA David 19% 42% 30% 9% 1% -
49 KINGSLEY Griffin 2% 14% 31% 34% 16% 3%
50 ZHANG Ethan 6% 26% 37% 24% 7% 1%
51 GLICKSBERG Alexander 40% 44% 14% 2% - -
52 BRADFORD-WATT Ezra 24% 49% 23% 4% - -
53 CHOI Hunter 5% 23% 37% 26% 8% 1%
54 LIU jeremy 33% 42% 20% 5% - -
55 ZHENG Austin 8% 31% 39% 18% 3% -
56 ZHANG Ethan 5% 21% 34% 27% 11% 2% -
57 LEE Aeden 26% 42% 25% 7% 1% -
58 KAYE Ben 23% 40% 27% 9% 1% -
59 PERKINS Nathaniel 25% 45% 25% 4% - -
60 JOHN Meru 4% 19% 33% 29% 12% 2% -
61 SCHWERDT Jameson 65% 30% 5% - - -
62 HWANG Jacob 35% 43% 18% 3% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.