Windy City ROC /RJCC

Div I-A Men's Épée

Sunday, May 5, 2024 at 8:00 AM

The Athletico Center - Northbrook, IL, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ZHENG Andy - - - 6% 31% 63%
2 NOWAK Jakub P. - - - 8% 41% 51%
3 KARNAS Karol - 2% 22% 44% 27% 5%
3 TOLLEFSON Zachary - 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 6%
5 WOJCIECHOWSKI Matthew N. - - 2% 16% 44% 39%
6 ZHENG Jerry - 4% 18% 35% 32% 11%
7 UKOLOV Dimitri - - 9% 34% 42% 14%
8 NIKOLOV Peter - - 4% 24% 61% 12%
9 ZHAO Zidong - 4% 18% 35% 32% 11%
10 ZIEGLER John - 2% 10% 28% 35% 20% 4%
11 BROOKS Zachary B. - - 4% 28% 50% 19%
12 MITTAL Sanil - - 1% 6% 23% 42% 29%
13 TOUSSAINT Semaj 1% 9% 27% 37% 22% 4%
14 PARRISH Bryce W. - 1% 8% 28% 41% 22%
14 GRAVES Lawson 1% 6% 24% 40% 26% 4%
16 XIAO Hanzhi (Shawn) 1% 8% 25% 36% 24% 6%
17 MASON Alexander T. - - - 1% 20% 80%
18 GINZBURG Adam 1% 9% 29% 37% 20% 4%
19 O'DONNELL Benjamin - 2% 15% 38% 37% 9%
20 MITEV Alexander - 7% 28% 38% 22% 4%
21 DHAL Leon 5% 23% 36% 26% 9% 1%
22 REPIC Oliver 1% 14% 35% 34% 14% 2%
23 HU Robert J. 6% 25% 36% 24% 7% 1%
24 MCDOWELL Will 3% 20% 37% 28% 10% 1%
25 CURTY Jack 1% 7% 24% 37% 25% 7%
26 PETROVICH Alexandar 17% 67% 15% 1% - -
27 CONKLIN Jim - - 5% 21% 42% 32%
28 TASKIRAN Mete 9% 33% 39% 17% 1% -
29 VUILLEMIN Gregoire 1% 12% 32% 34% 17% 3%
30 COHEN Henry 34% 46% 18% 2% - -
31 STENCEL Andrew E. 1% 6% 21% 36% 29% 9%
32 BISSEN Quinn 4% 30% 41% 21% 4% -
33 ZHANG Michael 16% 39% 34% 11% 1% -
33 CAMP Ethan 17% 45% 32% 6% - -
35 SIEDOW William 20% 39% 29% 10% 2% -
36 HE Lingyun Matthew 10% 33% 39% 17% 2% -
37 BAMPTON Nicholas J. - 4% 34% 42% 18% 2%
38 ZHANG James 13% 35% 35% 15% 2% -
39 DURHAM Porter - 6% 22% 36% 26% 9% 1%
40 PATEL Aayan 32% 43% 20% 4% - - -
41 BEACH John - 3% 15% 33% 35% 14%
42 WILLIAMS Logan 7% 27% 38% 22% 5% -
43 STOKER Elliott 41% 41% 15% 3% - -
44 BARFORD Giovanni 19% 40% 30% 10% 1% -
45 TAKATA Benjamin - 3% 18% 47% 28% 4%
46 SWANSON Dave - 9% 31% 37% 19% 3%
47 CHU Duong 71% 26% 3% - - -
48 CHAKRABORTY Zorian 5% 25% 37% 24% 7% 1%
49 TIERNEY Luke 5% 24% 37% 25% 8% 1% -
50 ROBINSON Matthew 1% 11% 31% 37% 17% 2%
51 VENTURELLA George 49% 38% 11% 2% - -
52 ABEL Garrett 75% 24% 1% - - -
52 TAHA Raymond 11% 35% 38% 15% 1% -
54 RIECK Brennan 13% 41% 38% 9% 1% -
55 HUGHES Evan 6% 23% 35% 25% 9% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.