Manhattan Fencing Center Saber Liberty Cup

Y-12 Mixed Saber

Sunday, June 2, 2024 at 1:45 PM

Manhattan Fencing Center - New York, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ISAYENKO Daniel 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 80%
2 BEAL Colton 100% 100% 100% 94% 67% 20%
3 ARCHIBALD Zachary 100% 99% 93% 71% 38% 12% 1%
3 NEMORIN Rei 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 29% 6%
5 CHAN Ewan 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 19% 3%
6 WONG Reagan 100% 99% 93% 69% 29% 3%
7 STOLCKE Saskia 100% 99% 90% 58% 18% 1%
8 SHAH Sara 100% 94% 71% 35% 9% 1%
9 JOHN Sophia 100% 100% 97% 85% 57% 23% 4%
10 OSMINKINA-JONES Kai 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 28% 5%
11 SUH Leo 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 11%
12 DOROBANTU Emma 100% 96% 76% 37% 8% -
13 ALUF William 100% 100% 98% 89% 65% 31% 7%
14 ALUF Brendon 100% 96% 75% 39% 12% 1%
15 BALTRUSAITIS Lucas Tommaso 100% 95% 71% 31% 5% -
16 ZHANG Howard 100% 100% 96% 79% 49% 18% 3%
17 WEI Hunter 100% 100% 99% 90% 67% 32% 7%
18 JOSEPH Azalée 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 11%
19 TANJGA Luka 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 19% 3%
20 CHEN Kevin 100% 85% 48% 16% 3% -
21 LIANG Morgan 100% 99% 93% 73% 40% 13% 2%
22 MITCHELL Lorne 100% 99% 91% 64% 28% 5% -
23 FIROOZI Alex 100% 59% 15% 1% - -
24 SUH Jordan 100% 95% 62% 16% 2% -
25 BELANI Rahul 100% 100% 100% 95% 57% 12%
26 TERENTIEV Michael 100% 96% 77% 41% 13% 2% -
27 STOLCKE Julian 100% 99% 94% 75% 44% 16% 3%
28 LIM JUWANA Maximilian 100% 100% 95% 79% 48% 18% 3%
29 CHO Aston JaeHee 100% 91% 62% 27% 7% 1% -
30 SPIELMAN Ren 100% 99% 90% 64% 31% 8% 1%
31 CONNOLLY Edward Bud 100% 82% 45% 15% 3% - -
32 ZHANG Mark 100% 95% 61% 20% 2% -
33 LI Sebastian 100% 84% 48% 17% 3% - -
34 SITU Adam 100% 80% 39% 10% 1% -
35 WIJE Mahamaya 100% 95% 75% 43% 16% 3% -
36 VINCENT Yijia 100% 99% 92% 67% 30% 6%
37 ZHANG Benjamin 100% 100% 96% 76% 37% 8% 1%
38 CHOI Ethan 100% 95% 71% 34% 8% -
39 NEVELING Felicitas 100% 91% 61% 25% 6% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.