Sanctioned - MFA Y8, Y10, Y12, Senior (unrated only) - All foil event

Y-12 Mixed Foil

Sunday, June 16, 2024 at 12:00 PM

Marin Fencing Academy - San Rafael, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 HOM Avery 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 42%
2 EVANS Desmond 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 54%
3 CHAN Ella 100% 100% 99% 87% 54% 19% 3%
3 DING Sam 100% 100% 96% 78% 41% 8%
5 GUO Joey 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 46%
6 LI Aaron 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 21%
7 HSU Rachel 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 63% 18%
8 CHEN Ryker 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 27%
10 LI Jake 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 16%
11 LEONG Wilson Hua 100% 100% 99% 85% 43% 8%
12 SAH Madeleine 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 16% 2%
13 LI Lief 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 28% 4%
14 JUE Lucas 100% 100% 98% 86% 58% 23% 3%
15 CANTU Gabriel 100% 100% 97% 79% 45% 14% 1%
16 YU Jinyuan 100% 100% 99% 93% 62% 17%
17 KO Ian 100% 99% 87% 53% 15% 1%
18 KIM Parker 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 14% 2%
19 ZHAN Catherine 100% 100% 96% 79% 46% 15% 2%
20 MCLANAHAN Jasmine 100% 100% 90% 60% 25% 5% -
21 LIN Avery 100% 99% 89% 60% 22% 2%
22 THOTA Akira 100% 98% 77% 37% 8% 1%
23 YU Xintong 100% 98% 75% 35% 8% 1% -
24 JOESUF Thea 100% 98% 77% 29% 5% -
25 LUO Derren 100% 46% 9% 1% - -
26 ZHANG Katie Qingyun 100% 100% 98% 80% 39% 7% -
27 JIN Jada Y 100% 97% 80% 46% 16% 3% -
28 JOESUF Aurielle 100% 97% 82% 49% 16% 1%
29 LIU Mia 100% 98% 84% 47% 13% 1%
30 SRIDHARA Shaan 100% 96% 73% 36% 9% 1% -
31 WANG Ellen 100% 91% 51% 14% 1% -
32 YU-TAN Claire 100% 90% 57% 20% 3% -
33 GU Evan 100% 91% 54% 16% 2% - -
34 HONDA Emi 100% 49% 11% 1% - -
35 VIZCARRA Nathan 100% 97% 79% 43% 14% 2% -
35 LIN Dylan 100% 83% 45% 14% 2% -
37 SCHOR William 100% 70% 28% 6% 1% - -
38 WANG Andrew 100% 96% 68% 26% 4% -
39 YAN Aaron 100% 61% 20% 3% - - -
40 JUSON Julianne Lauren 100% 23% 2% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.