2024 TCFC June Challenges

Mixed Épée

Sunday, June 23, 2024 at 2:00 PM

Twin Cities Fencing Club - St. Paul, MN, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 XIONG Angelica - - 2% 12% 38% 38% 11%
2 ROWLAND Marsden - 1% 10% 31% 41% 18%
3 SIEDOW William - 1% 11% 37% 43% 7%
3 TOLLEFSON Zachary - 1% 7% 22% 36% 26% 7%
5 VEZMAR Evan - - 1% 10% 38% 51%
6 OZANNE Jeffrey - 2% 10% 28% 35% 21% 4%
7 BISSEN Quinn - 1% 7% 27% 42% 22%
8 SHOEMAKER Oliver 5% 25% 41% 23% 5% -
9 ROBBINS Christopher - - 4% 20% 38% 30% 8%
10 LIMER Avi - - - 2% 13% 41% 44%
11 JORGENSEN Kjirsten 7% 32% 37% 18% 4% - -
12 BUKOWSKI Lillian 17% 49% 28% 6% - -
13 SIEDOW Jeffrey - 4% 21% 40% 28% 6%
14 HALULA Frank 18% 41% 31% 9% 1% -
15 PEICHEL Timothy (Tim) T. 1% 8% 28% 38% 21% 4% -
16 FRALEY Orion 26% 43% 24% 6% 1% -
17 SMITH Bram 2% 16% 41% 33% 8% 1% -
18 NWOKOCHA Chizoro 19% 43% 29% 8% 1% - -
19 HONEK Kyle 1% 9% 38% 41% 11% -
20 BUKOWSKI Bryan 1% 8% 24% 34% 24% 8% 1%
21 TOEWS Jackson 18% 40% 30% 10% 1% -
22 RUBIN Josh - 4% 19% 40% 31% 6% -
23 MOHAMED Siham 9% 30% 36% 20% 5% - -
24 MOHAMED Sara 24% 42% 26% 7% 1% - -
25 MATCHINSKI Alex 1% 10% 26% 33% 22% 7% 1%
26 JORGENSEN Rebekah 4% 23% 43% 24% 5% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.