National Championships and July Challenge (Summer Nationals)

Div II Women's Épée

Saturday, July 6, 2024 at 2:00 PM

Greater Columbus Convention Center - Columbus, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SEREGIN Katya - 1% 7% 24% 37% 25% 6%
2 XU Serena - - 1% 7% 25% 42% 25%
3 DUONG Zoey - 1% 8% 22% 34% 26% 8%
3 SCHOR Elisabeth 3% 14% 29% 31% 18% 5% < 1%
5 TAYLOR-CASAMAYOR Maia - - 1% 5% 20% 41% 33%
6 SAUCEDO Grecia - 2% 11% 27% 34% 21% 5%
7 DAVIS Jennifer 1% 6% 20% 33% 28% 12% 2%
8 NGUYEN Audrey - - - 5% 21% 43% 31%
9 MIINEA Elena - - 4% 15% 32% 34% 14%
10 WONG Caitlin - 2% 15% 36% 35% 12%
11 BROWN Hannah - - 2% 9% 27% 40% 22%
12 CHAN Allison M. - - 4% 15% 32% 34% 15%
13 LANE Leah - 1% 7% 22% 35% 28% 8%
14 KOVALCHUK Erika S. 1% 8% 23% 33% 25% 9% 1%
15 GANSER Nicole 3% 18% 35% 30% 12% 2%
16 LOBANOVA Varvara - 4% 21% 37% 28% 9% 1%
17 BROWN Amanda - - - 3% 18% 43% 35%
18 LAI Amanda - 1% 5% 17% 33% 32% 12%
19 GIELEGHEM Klaire - 2% 9% 24% 33% 25% 7%
20 ZHUANG Lauren 2% 11% 28% 34% 20% 5%
21 WEISS Olivia - - 4% 19% 36% 31% 10%
21 CHUNG Penelope - 3% 13% 28% 33% 19% 4%
23 ELTERMAN Kate - 4% 19% 37% 29% 10% 1%
24 BHATT Anisha 1% 5% 18% 34% 31% 11%
25 MEYER Rachel 3% 15% 31% 32% 16% 3%
26 ENRILE Erica - 1% 5% 18% 35% 31% 10%
27 FLANIGAN KENDRA - - 3% 14% 33% 36% 14%
28 LURYE Lina - - 1% 5% 22% 42% 31%
29 CHUANG Ramona 2% 10% 26% 33% 22% 7% 1%
30 PULLARA Ashley - 1% 7% 24% 38% 25% 4%
31 GAN Shelby 14% 34% 32% 15% 4% - -
32 JARUSHI Amnee 1% 5% 18% 31% 29% 13% 2%
33 SCHULTZ Nomi - 3% 14% 32% 33% 15% 2%
34 DUNSEATH Lauren M. - - - 2% 12% 39% 48%
35 HEINRICHS Aaliyah - 4% 17% 33% 31% 13% 2%
36 MCSWEENEY Janie - - 2% 10% 27% 38% 22%
37 YUNG Bethany 1% 8% 24% 34% 24% 8% 1%
38 KAUR Manroop - 1% 6% 19% 34% 30% 10%
39 ZIMMERMAN Karmen 1% 6% 22% 36% 27% 8% 1%
40 PULLEN Ayah - 4% 22% 37% 27% 9% 1%
41 KALGAONKAR Arohi - 3% 16% 34% 34% 12%
42 WANG Sophie Y. - 4% 17% 35% 33% 12%
43 KELBLEY Newt J. - 4% 15% 29% 31% 17% 4%
44 BEATIE Isabella M. - 2% 14% 34% 34% 14% 2%
45 BOTNER Olivia - - 1% 8% 25% 40% 26%
46 CHANG Celine A. - - 2% 12% 33% 38% 14%
47 MISHIMA Audrey - 2% 11% 27% 34% 21% 5%
48 WANG Ziqiao (Claire) - 2% 9% 24% 35% 24% 7%
49 LEWIS Rachel - 2% 10% 26% 34% 22% 5%
50 CHEN Alicia - 2% 10% 26% 34% 22% 6%
51 GAVILANES Madyson 7% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1% -
52 LIN Isabel 2% 11% 27% 33% 20% 6% 1%
53 REYNOLDS Elly 1% 6% 22% 35% 27% 9% 1%
54 ZHAN Clare 19% 37% 29% 12% 2% - -
55 SHICK Klaudia - - 3% 14% 35% 36% 12%
56 PEDERSEN Kari - - 4% 18% 36% 32% 11%
57 NELSON Grace E. 1% 7% 22% 33% 26% 10% 1%
58 DELLAIRA Isabella 18% 38% 30% 12% 2% -
59 MOLLINIER Angel - 2% 13% 31% 35% 17% 2%
60 YUMIACO Nylah 6% 22% 33% 26% 10% 2% -
61 YOUSSEF Caroline 13% 35% 34% 15% 3% - -
62 FOMINA Polina 8% 27% 35% 22% 7% 1% -
63 BARTOSZUK Camilla 2% 10% 25% 32% 23% 8% 1%
64 THOMAS Meagan R. 5% 21% 34% 27% 11% 2% -
65 SALISTRA Emilia - 3% 12% 27% 33% 20% 5%
66 VASYAKIN Liana - 2% 13% 34% 37% 14%
67 SHAKIR Inaaya - 2% 14% 33% 35% 14% 2%
68 COLELLA Lauren - 6% 21% 35% 27% 9% 1%
69 LI Caroline 1% 10% 27% 34% 21% 6% 1%
70 XU Celina 1% 10% 29% 37% 19% 3%
71 READ Lyla 1% 6% 20% 33% 27% 11% 2%
72 MEYER Rebecca 1% 7% 27% 37% 22% 6% -
73 BLAKEY Heaven 1% 6% 20% 33% 28% 11% 2%
73 MOHEBI Neeka 2% 13% 30% 33% 18% 4% -
75 REED Katya 8% 26% 34% 22% 8% 1% -
76 WIDMANN Ceili 1% 5% 19% 32% 29% 13% 2%
76 LIN Victoria T. 1% 7% 22% 33% 26% 10% 1%
78 CHANG Chloe 1% 6% 19% 32% 28% 12% 2%
79 PAN Angela - 3% 15% 31% 33% 16% 3%
80 KIM Emily 2% 13% 28% 31% 19% 6% 1%
81 CHIRASHNYA Mika - 2% 11% 34% 39% 15%
82 SHARMA Sanvi 1% 10% 29% 36% 20% 4%
83 BISONO Valentina 4% 19% 36% 29% 11% 2%
84 WANG Victoria - 3% 15% 34% 35% 12%
85 OPERARIO Abigail Z. 1% 10% 28% 35% 21% 4%
86 SLAVIN-VINIKOV Ana - 2% 10% 29% 39% 20%
87 MCCOY Lauren - 1% 6% 23% 41% 29%
88 FREEMAN Kit 1% 7% 20% 32% 27% 11% 2%
89 BUCA Nora 8% 26% 34% 22% 8% 1% -
89 RUVOLO Arwen 3% 20% 36% 28% 10% 2% -
91 HILBY Olivia 1% 9% 26% 35% 22% 6% 1%
92 HO Gillian 7% 25% 34% 24% 9% 2% -
93 MEMON Insha 22% 42% 27% 8% 1% - -
94 NGUYEN Ella - 4% 15% 30% 31% 16% 3%
95 JORGENSEN Kjirsten 7% 23% 33% 25% 10% 2% -
96 JAMES Ashley 3% 16% 32% 30% 15% 4% -
96 SINGH Ipshita 9% 30% 35% 20% 6% 1% -
98 LEVKOV Maita 36% 44% 18% 3% - -
99 ZOU You yang (Yoyo) 9% 31% 36% 19% 5% -
100 BLANCO Ariia 1% 6% 21% 36% 28% 8%
101 WALTER Anna 3% 16% 32% 31% 15% 3%
102 DUBROVINA Irene 4% 20% 34% 28% 11% 2%
103 MARTIN Adriana 16% 37% 32% 13% 2% -
104 DEPAUW Adeline 11% 33% 35% 17% 4% -
105 BURKHARDT Krista L. 11% 33% 35% 17% 4% -
106 YOU Isabel B. 2% 11% 27% 32% 21% 7% 1%
107 SKLAR Davida 1% 16% 38% 32% 12% 2% -
108 BENNETT Olivia 2% 13% 29% 31% 18% 5% 1%
109 CHANG Abigail 2% 13% 31% 33% 17% 4% -
110 BARDIN Kira 1% 6% 21% 33% 27% 11% 1%
111 GAVASHELI Margarita 3% 16% 32% 30% 15% 4% -
111 SCANLAN Claire 1% 9% 25% 33% 23% 8% 1%
111 FAENOVA Alexandra 3% 17% 33% 30% 14% 3% -
114 SCHULTZ Gillian - - 1% 7% 24% 42% 27%
114 RALSTON Katy 12% 31% 33% 18% 5% 1% -
114 JUDICKE Olivia 1% 8% 22% 32% 26% 11% 2%
117 KROTZ Gemma 20% 53% 23% 4% - - -
118 GUSKA Jenn 22% 47% 25% 6% 1% - -
119 DAGGS Jillian 2% 10% 25% 32% 22% 8% 1%
120 BRETHAUER Adah 18% 39% 30% 11% 2% - -
121 CHENG Wanrong 15% 35% 32% 14% 3% - -
122 DONGES Anna - 1% 6% 20% 36% 29% 8%
123 OLIVEIRA Giovanna - 4% 15% 30% 32% 16% 3%
124 SCHLIEP Anna J. 1% 6% 20% 32% 27% 11% 2%
125 BI Michelle 6% 25% 37% 24% 7% 1%
126 LEEB Zoe 15% 42% 32% 10% 1% -
127 CONNOLLY Natasha 12% 31% 34% 18% 5% -
128 POON Desiree 1% 7% 23% 33% 25% 9% 1%
129 RAFFERTY Catherine 2% 25% 40% 24% 7% 1% -
130 WILLIAMSON Beatrix 2% 12% 28% 32% 19% 6% 1%
131 MORET Brighid E. - 3% 14% 29% 32% 18% 4%
132 LEWIS Sophia - 1% 10% 29% 36% 20% 4%
133 MISRA Tara 10% 30% 34% 19% 6% 1% -
134 WROBEL Julia 18% 38% 30% 11% 2% - -
134 ALVAREZ Martine 41% 44% 14% 2% - - -
136 HANEY Kimberly M. 1% 7% 24% 36% 25% 7% 1%
137 DAGLI Sai 16% 38% 31% 12% 2% - -
138 SCANLAN Alina Nev 33% 41% 20% 5% 1% - -
139 JAIN Prisha 23% 43% 26% 7% 1% - -
140 HART Jenna 14% 34% 32% 16% 4% 1% -
141 WHITLEY Alexis 9% 30% 35% 20% 6% 1% -
142 MADANNAVAR Trisha 58% 37% 5% - - - -
143 ZHANG Helen 22% 41% 27% 9% 1% -
144 PHUONG Elaine 9% 27% 33% 22% 8% 1% -
145 PHELAN Gabrielle 9% 28% 34% 21% 7% 1% -
146 WHITELAW Shyann 16% 37% 32% 12% 2% - -
147 KAZMIEROWSKI Chrissa 3% 18% 37% 31% 11% 1%
148 WOOD Grace 79% 20% 2% - - - -
149 GOCHBERG Madeline 42% 40% 15% 3% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.