National Championships and July Challenge (Summer Nationals)

Div II Women's Épée

Saturday, July 6, 2024 at 2:00 PM

Greater Columbus Convention Center - Columbus, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SEREGIN Katya 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 32% 6%
2 XU Serena 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 25%
3 DUONG Zoey 100% 100% 98% 91% 69% 35% 8%
3 SCHOR Elisabeth 100% 97% 84% 54% 23% 5% < 1%
5 TAYLOR-CASAMAYOR Maia 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 33%
6 SAUCEDO Grecia 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 26% 5%
7 DAVIS Jennifer 100% 99% 94% 74% 41% 14% 2%
8 NGUYEN Audrey 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 31%
9 MIINEA Elena 100% 100% 99% 96% 80% 48% 14%
10 WONG Caitlin 100% 100% 98% 83% 47% 12%
11 BROWN Hannah 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 22%
12 CHAN Allison M. 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 15%
13 LANE Leah 100% 100% 99% 92% 71% 35% 8%
14 KOVALCHUK Erika S. 100% 99% 91% 68% 36% 11% 1%
15 GANSER Nicole 100% 97% 79% 44% 14% 2%
16 LOBANOVA Varvara 100% 100% 96% 75% 38% 10% 1%
17 BROWN Amanda 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 35%
18 LAI Amanda 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 44% 12%
19 GIELEGHEM Klaire 100% 100% 98% 89% 65% 32% 7%
20 ZHUANG Lauren 100% 98% 87% 59% 25% 5%
21 WEISS Olivia 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 10%
21 CHUNG Penelope 100% 100% 97% 84% 56% 23% 4%
23 ELTERMAN Kate 100% 100% 96% 77% 40% 11% 1%
24 BHATT Anisha 100% 99% 95% 76% 42% 11%
25 MEYER Rachel 100% 97% 82% 51% 19% 3%
26 ENRILE Erica 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 41% 10%
27 FLANIGAN KENDRA 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 14%
28 LURYE Lina 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 31%
29 CHUANG Ramona 100% 98% 88% 62% 30% 8% 1%
30 PULLARA Ashley 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 29% 4%
31 GAN Shelby 100% 86% 52% 20% 4% 1% -
32 JARUSHI Amnee 100% 99% 94% 76% 45% 15% 2%
33 SCHULTZ Nomi 100% 100% 97% 82% 51% 17% 2%
34 DUNSEATH Lauren M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 48%
35 HEINRICHS Aaliyah 100% 100% 96% 79% 46% 15% 2%
36 MCSWEENEY Janie 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 22%
37 YUNG Bethany 100% 99% 91% 67% 33% 9% 1%
38 KAUR Manroop 100% 100% 99% 93% 74% 40% 10%
39 ZIMMERMAN Karmen 100% 99% 93% 71% 36% 9% 1%
40 PULLEN Ayah 100% 100% 96% 74% 36% 10% 1%
41 KALGAONKAR Arohi 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 12%
42 WANG Sophie Y. 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 12%
43 KELBLEY Newt J. 100% 100% 96% 81% 51% 20% 4%
44 BEATIE Isabella M. 100% 100% 98% 83% 49% 16% 2%
45 BOTNER Olivia 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 65% 26%
46 CHANG Celine A. 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 14%
47 MISHIMA Audrey 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 26% 5%
48 WANG Ziqiao (Claire) 100% 100% 98% 90% 66% 31% 7%
49 LEWIS Rachel 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 27% 5%
50 CHEN Alicia 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 28% 6%
51 GAVILANES Madyson 100% 93% 67% 31% 8% 1% -
52 LIN Isabel 100% 98% 87% 60% 27% 7% 1%
53 REYNOLDS Elly 100% 99% 94% 72% 36% 10% 1%
54 ZHAN Clare 100% 81% 44% 15% 3% - -
55 SHICK Klaudia 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 48% 12%
56 PEDERSEN Kari 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 11%
57 NELSON Grace E. 100% 99% 92% 70% 37% 12% 1%
58 DELLAIRA Isabella 100% 82% 44% 14% 2% -
59 MOLLINIER Angel 100% 100% 97% 85% 54% 19% 2%
60 YUMIACO Nylah 100% 94% 72% 38% 13% 2% -
61 YOUSSEF Caroline 100% 87% 52% 18% 3% - -
62 FOMINA Polina 100% 92% 66% 30% 8% 1% -
63 BARTOSZUK Camilla 100% 98% 89% 64% 32% 9% 1%
64 THOMAS Meagan R. 100% 95% 74% 40% 13% 2% -
65 SALISTRA Emilia 100% 100% 97% 85% 58% 25% 5%
66 VASYAKIN Liana 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 14%
67 SHAKIR Inaaya 100% 100% 98% 84% 51% 16% 2%
68 COLELLA Lauren 100% 100% 94% 73% 37% 10% 1%
69 LI Caroline 100% 99% 89% 62% 27% 6% 1%
70 XU Celina 100% 99% 89% 59% 22% 3%
71 READ Lyla 100% 99% 93% 73% 41% 13% 2%
72 MEYER Rebecca 100% 99% 93% 65% 28% 6% -
73 BLAKEY Heaven 100% 99% 94% 74% 41% 13% 2%
73 MOHEBI Neeka 100% 98% 86% 55% 22% 5% -
75 REED Katya 100% 92% 65% 32% 9% 2% -
76 WIDMANN Ceili 100% 99% 94% 76% 44% 15% 2%
76 LIN Victoria T. 100% 99% 92% 71% 37% 11% 1%
78 CHANG Chloe 100% 99% 93% 74% 42% 15% 2%
79 PAN Angela 100% 100% 96% 82% 51% 18% 3%
80 KIM Emily 100% 98% 85% 57% 26% 7% 1%
81 CHIRASHNYA Mika 100% 100% 98% 87% 53% 15%
82 SHARMA Sanvi 100% 99% 88% 60% 24% 4%
83 BISONO Valentina 100% 96% 77% 42% 12% 2%
84 WANG Victoria 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 12%
85 OPERARIO Abigail Z. 100% 99% 88% 61% 25% 4%
86 SLAVIN-VINIKOV Ana 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 20%
87 MCCOY Lauren 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 29%
88 FREEMAN Kit 100% 99% 92% 72% 40% 13% 2%
89 BUCA Nora 100% 92% 65% 31% 9% 1% -
89 RUVOLO Arwen 100% 97% 76% 40% 12% 2% -
91 HILBY Olivia 100% 99% 90% 64% 29% 7% 1%
92 HO Gillian 100% 93% 68% 34% 10% 2% -
93 MEMON Insha 100% 78% 35% 9% 1% - -
94 NGUYEN Ella 100% 100% 96% 81% 51% 19% 3%
95 JORGENSEN Kjirsten 100% 93% 70% 37% 12% 2% -
96 JAMES Ashley 100% 97% 81% 50% 19% 4% -
96 SINGH Ipshita 100% 91% 61% 26% 7% 1% -
98 LEVKOV Maita 100% 64% 21% 3% - -
99 ZOU You yang (Yoyo) 100% 91% 60% 24% 5% -
100 BLANCO Ariia 100% 99% 94% 72% 36% 8%
101 WALTER Anna 100% 97% 81% 49% 18% 3%
102 DUBROVINA Irene 100% 96% 76% 42% 13% 2%
103 MARTIN Adriana 100% 84% 48% 15% 3% -
104 DEPAUW Adeline 100% 89% 55% 21% 4% -
105 BURKHARDT Krista L. 100% 89% 56% 21% 4% -
106 YOU Isabel B. 100% 98% 87% 60% 28% 7% 1%
107 SKLAR Davida 100% 99% 83% 45% 13% 2% -
108 BENNETT Olivia 100% 98% 84% 56% 24% 6% 1%
109 CHANG Abigail 100% 98% 86% 55% 21% 4% -
110 BARDIN Kira 100% 99% 93% 73% 39% 12% 1%
111 GAVASHELI Margarita 100% 97% 81% 48% 18% 4% -
111 SCANLAN Claire 100% 99% 90% 64% 31% 9% 1%
111 FAENOVA Alexandra 100% 97% 80% 48% 17% 3% -
114 SCHULTZ Gillian 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 27%
114 RALSTON Katy 100% 88% 57% 24% 6% 1% -
114 JUDICKE Olivia 100% 99% 91% 70% 38% 12% 2%
117 KROTZ Gemma 100% 80% 27% 5% - - -
118 GUSKA Jenn 100% 78% 31% 6% 1% - -
119 DAGGS Jillian 100% 98% 88% 63% 30% 9% 1%
120 BRETHAUER Adah 100% 82% 43% 13% 2% - -
121 CHENG Wanrong 100% 85% 50% 18% 4% - -
122 DONGES Anna 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 37% 8%
123 OLIVEIRA Giovanna 100% 100% 96% 81% 51% 19% 3%
124 SCHLIEP Anna J. 100% 99% 93% 73% 40% 13% 2%
125 BI Michelle 100% 94% 69% 32% 8% 1%
126 LEEB Zoe 100% 85% 43% 11% 1% -
127 CONNOLLY Natasha 100% 88% 57% 23% 5% -
128 POON Desiree 100% 99% 92% 69% 36% 10% 1%
129 RAFFERTY Catherine 100% 98% 72% 32% 7% 1% -
130 WILLIAMSON Beatrix 100% 98% 86% 58% 26% 6% 1%
131 MORET Brighid E. 100% 100% 96% 82% 53% 22% 4%
132 LEWIS Sophia 100% 100% 99% 89% 61% 25% 4%
133 MISRA Tara 100% 90% 60% 26% 7% 1% -
134 WROBEL Julia 100% 82% 44% 14% 2% - -
134 ALVAREZ Martine 100% 59% 16% 2% - - -
136 HANEY Kimberly M. 100% 99% 93% 69% 33% 8% 1%
137 DAGLI Sai 100% 84% 46% 15% 3% - -
138 SCANLAN Alina Nev 100% 67% 26% 6% 1% - -
139 JAIN Prisha 100% 77% 34% 8% 1% - -
140 HART Jenna 100% 86% 53% 20% 5% 1% -
141 WHITLEY Alexis 100% 91% 61% 26% 6% 1% -
142 MADANNAVAR Trisha 100% 42% 5% - - - -
143 ZHANG Helen 100% 78% 38% 10% 1% -
144 PHUONG Elaine 100% 91% 65% 31% 10% 2% -
145 PHELAN Gabrielle 100% 91% 63% 29% 8% 1% -
146 WHITELAW Shyann 100% 84% 47% 15% 2% - -
147 KAZMIEROWSKI Chrissa 100% 97% 79% 43% 12% 1%
148 WOOD Grace 100% 21% 2% - - - -
149 GOCHBERG Madeline 100% 58% 18% 3% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.