National Championships and July Challenge (Summer Nationals)

Div III Men's Foil

Monday, July 8, 2024 at 8:00 AM

Greater Columbus Convention Center - Columbus, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 PINCHENG Yao - - 1% 6% 23% 42% 28%
2 GORDON William L. - - 3% 15% 33% 34% 13%
3 MILLER Dillon - 2% 13% 33% 37% 15%
3 QIU Zhaocheng - - - 4% 21% 44% 30%
5 UZGIRIS Kovas - - 1% 8% 28% 43% 20%
6 JIMENEZ Naveen - - 2% 11% 29% 37% 19%
7 LEE Jayden - 1% 6% 20% 35% 29% 9%
8 HOWLAND Jonas - - 1% 10% 31% 41% 17%
9 KIM Harrison - - - 1% 11% 41% 47%
10 SEMAPAKDI-CHANG Kaiden - - 1% 5% 20% 41% 33%
11 PARK Steve (Sangmin) - - 1% 7% 29% 46% 17%
12 CHEN Ethan - - 1% 5% 23% 44% 28%
13 GIDDENS James - - 2% 10% 29% 40% 21%
14 VISHAWADIA Jaimin - - 4% 15% 31% 35% 15%
15 KIM Andy - 1% 6% 23% 38% 27% 7%
16 LEUNG Jin - 4% 18% 35% 32% 11%
17 VANOYEN Dominick - - 1% 8% 30% 46% 15%
18 TAN Xinlai - - 3% 13% 30% 36% 17%
19 ZHENG Harrison - 5% 19% 33% 29% 12% 2%
19 DAI Christopher - 3% 14% 30% 32% 17% 3%
21 NAIDL Josiah - - 4% 19% 37% 31% 9%
22 YANG Dylan - - 3% 14% 31% 36% 16%
23 SINHA Verdhaan - - - 2% 15% 41% 42%
24 ARATA Connor - - 4% 17% 35% 32% 11%
25 TEH Tang-Ngu 1% 5% 19% 33% 29% 12% 2%
26 WEST Nathaniel 1% 7% 22% 34% 26% 9% 1%
27 HICKEY Connor - 1% 9% 26% 36% 23% 6%
28 MATTOS Luis Felipe - 1% 9% 30% 38% 18% 3%
29 WONG Jacob W. 2% 10% 26% 33% 22% 7% 1%
30 DJONOUMA Toyohm - 6% 22% 37% 27% 8%
31 ROLDAN-LEVCHENKO Nikita I. - 1% 9% 29% 37% 20% 4%
32 DUNLAP Ezra 1% 7% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1%
33 LIU William - - 1% 6% 26% 43% 24%
33 TANG Alexander L. - - 1% 8% 25% 40% 26%
35 CHUANG Oscar - - 1% 7% 26% 42% 24%
36 TWEMLOW Sacha - - 2% 9% 28% 40% 21%
37 BELOKON Sammy 3% 20% 37% 29% 10% 1%
38 WERWA Griffith - 1% 9% 26% 40% 24%
38 KENNEDY christo - 4% 18% 35% 32% 11%
40 SRINIVASAN Vedant - - 1% 8% 26% 41% 24%
41 BLEIL Tyler - - 1% 9% 27% 40% 22%
42 FLANAGAN Miles - 6% 25% 37% 24% 7% 1%
43 JURMAN Therin - 1% 5% 20% 36% 30% 9%
44 SMOLICH Marat - - 1% 8% 27% 40% 23%
45 HAN Alexander - 3% 14% 30% 32% 17% 3%
46 ZAIDI Adil 2% 13% 30% 32% 18% 5% -
47 SENANI Arjun - 3% 14% 28% 32% 18% 4%
48 UPENDER West - 2% 13% 31% 34% 17% 3%
49 MARTIN Mason 1% 7% 22% 33% 26% 10% 1%
50 MANDZY Theodor - - 2% 13% 34% 37% 13%
51 PETERSON Lucas 1% 10% 29% 36% 19% 4%
51 ZHAO Brian 5% 22% 37% 27% 9% 1%
53 LIM Charlie 3% 17% 34% 31% 13% 2%
54 SHANNON Jack - 3% 16% 35% 34% 11%
55 TJON Calum - 1% 8% 27% 42% 23%
56 BARRETT Austin - - 4% 18% 35% 31% 10%
57 ARAVINDAKSHA Ayaan - 2% 10% 27% 35% 21% 5%
58 BAI Brian - - 2% 13% 32% 37% 16%
59 STAFFORD Gareth 1% 13% 33% 33% 16% 3% -
60 SCHIENEMAN Valentine - - 3% 14% 36% 35% 11%
61 CHOI Ethan - 3% 17% 35% 33% 12%
62 GOFF Nathaniel 1% 8% 23% 33% 25% 9% 1%
63 NISHIHIRA Tyler - 3% 18% 38% 30% 10% 1%
64 MARTIRE Luca 27% 41% 24% 7% 1% -
65 CHANG Nathan - 3% 18% 36% 30% 11% 1%
66 ZHAO Brandon - 1% 8% 24% 35% 25% 7%
67 CLARK Benjamin - 2% 11% 29% 35% 20% 4%
68 PETROV Mikhail - 4% 19% 34% 29% 12% 2%
69 CENCE Myles K. - 1% 9% 27% 36% 22% 5%
70 LOZADA Gabriel G. - 1% 6% 20% 34% 29% 10%
71 SURESH Rohan - 1% 6% 21% 36% 28% 7%
72 ATKINSON JOSIAH - 2% 13% 32% 34% 15% 2%
73 PEGRAM Rafe G. - - - 1% 9% 39% 51%
74 MASSIMINO Andrew - 1% 8% 24% 36% 25% 6%
75 MIETTINEN Pyry 2% 14% 31% 33% 16% 3%
76 LUI Justin 8% 28% 36% 21% 6% 1%
77 KENNEDY Michael 3% 19% 37% 30% 10% 1%
78 LAO Kevin 2% 11% 27% 33% 21% 6% 1%
79 GRAY Caidan - 2% 13% 30% 34% 17% 3%
80 ABRAMSOHN Seth - 3% 16% 33% 32% 14% 2%
81 TIBBETTS Justin 1% 7% 27% 39% 22% 4% -
82 WAKEHAM Paul - 3% 16% 34% 32% 13% 2%
83 DAFFRON Quintin 1% 8% 24% 33% 24% 9% 1%
84 MCLAUGHLIN Ryan - - 3% 12% 31% 37% 17%
84 LEHTINEN Axel 4% 22% 36% 26% 9% 2% -
86 NAZARIO Dominic 1% 6% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1%
87 AMRANI David - 2% 11% 30% 36% 18% 3%
88 MCCONKEY Eric - - 4% 18% 37% 33% 8%
89 GREENLEAF Paul - 5% 20% 35% 28% 10% 1%
90 METZ Mason - 2% 15% 33% 33% 14% 2%
91 GOWDA Sumeru 2% 14% 34% 32% 15% 3% -
92 RUBIN Max - - 4% 17% 34% 32% 12%
92 PETINO Leonardo 3% 20% 40% 28% 8% 1% -
94 WITTIG Jonathon T. - - 2% 14% 35% 36% 12%
94 ZHANG GAVIN J - 1% 8% 24% 36% 25% 6%
96 VAN Tyson - 1% 6% 20% 35% 29% 9%
97 JOHNSON Chance - 2% 12% 31% 38% 17%
98 CHIN Ryan - 4% 20% 37% 30% 9%
99 XU Dinghui Ryan 4% 21% 36% 28% 10% 1%
100 MAGALONG William - 5% 20% 36% 30% 9%
101 CORTRIGHT Joshua C. - 2% 11% 30% 39% 18%
102 KAUNITZ Emmanuel - 3% 15% 34% 35% 13%
103 PECK Quinn - 3% 16% 35% 33% 12% 1%
104 KRECKE Gareth 6% 26% 38% 23% 6% 1% -
105 ROBINSON-LEVANT Bryson - - 4% 16% 34% 33% 12%
106 MARTIN William - 1% 7% 22% 35% 27% 8%
106 LINDOW Connor - 8% 28% 36% 21% 6% 1%
108 WOHLERS Trevor - 3% 16% 33% 32% 14% 2%
109 MILES Greyson 1% 8% 23% 34% 25% 9% 1%
110 MCKEE Calvin - 2% 10% 27% 35% 21% 5%
110 BECKER Ethan 4% 19% 34% 28% 12% 3% -
112 POLLIO Benjamin 18% 38% 31% 11% 2% - -
113 MONTALBINE Aidan - - 2% 10% 28% 39% 21%
114 CHREKY Jacob D. - - 4% 17% 34% 33% 12%
115 JOHNSON Ryder 6% 23% 36% 25% 9% 2% -
116 SALAZAR Tomas D. 1% 10% 28% 36% 20% 4% -
117 MANLY Isaac H. 24% 40% 26% 8% 1% -
118 RIPA Joseph K. 5% 22% 36% 27% 9% 1%
119 ALBERS Asher 3% 20% 37% 29% 10% 1%
120 MASTROPAOLO Jonah W. - 3% 16% 36% 34% 11%
121 WAKEHAM Timothy 1% 18% 36% 30% 12% 2% -
122 HARROCH Faustin - 1% 7% 22% 35% 27% 8%
123 TOWNE Benjamin 2% 12% 28% 32% 20% 6% 1%
124 GECKELER James 3% 18% 35% 30% 12% 2% -
125 RAFFERTY-FUENTES Patrick 6% 25% 35% 24% 8% 1% -
126 GREEN Zachary J. - - 4% 18% 36% 32% 10%
127 SHAMBARGER Graham 12% 36% 35% 14% 3% -
128 SHARDONOFSKY Keelan 6% 23% 35% 25% 9% 2% -
129 HOLLIDAY Christopher Mansfield-Scott - 4% 18% 33% 29% 13% 2%
130 STORER Alexander 1% 11% 29% 34% 20% 5% -
131 NEICE William - 1% 10% 27% 35% 22% 5%
132 LANE Sean 26% 40% 25% 8% 1% - -
133 NIECHWADOWICZ Michael - 1% 11% 29% 35% 20% 4%
134 REYES Yannik 32% 43% 20% 4% - -
135 WEISS Mateo 2% 16% 34% 32% 14% 2%
136 SOLOPOULOS James 2% 14% 32% 33% 16% 3% -
137 PEDERSEN Charles 2% 12% 28% 33% 19% 5% 1%
137 MAVANI Krishna - 3% 15% 32% 33% 15% 2%
139 SHEYNKMAN Leon - - 1% 5% 20% 41% 33%
140 UHLBERG Max 2% 13% 29% 31% 18% 5% 1%
141 SUN Henry - 2% 11% 26% 34% 21% 5%
142 CHA James 13% 32% 32% 17% 5% 1% -
143 COFFIN Carleton 4% 20% 36% 28% 10% 2% -
144 SMITH Cooper - 2% 12% 32% 35% 16% 3%
145 CHEN Zixuan 1% 14% 35% 34% 13% 2% -
146 ZAPPALA Nikolai 1% 8% 23% 33% 25% 9% 1%
147 POWELL Sean 3% 17% 34% 31% 13% 2% -
148 MURPHY Damian J. - 5% 22% 35% 27% 10% 1%
149 WHITE Joshua H. - 2% 9% 25% 35% 23% 6%
150 LEE Christopher 15% 43% 32% 9% 1% - -
151 YEE michael - 1% 5% 19% 37% 31% 8%
152 HINTON Nickolys R. - 3% 13% 29% 33% 18% 4%
153 FLYNT Hayden - 3% 16% 36% 32% 12% 1%
154 WAYBRIGHT Matteo 4% 19% 35% 28% 12% 2% -
155 HOLCOMB Alexander 6% 24% 34% 24% 9% 2% -
156 JOHNSON Soren 3% 17% 34% 31% 13% 2%
157 WUN Jonathan 2% 15% 33% 33% 15% 2%
158 WEINSTEIN Ethan - 2% 12% 31% 38% 17%
159 RUDOW Asher 11% 42% 33% 11% 2% - -
160 YANG Arthur 2% 16% 36% 31% 12% 2% -
161 GREENEBAUM Oliver - 2% 13% 35% 36% 12% 1%
162 HERRERA Xavier 10% 30% 35% 19% 6% 1% -
163 SHEA William 1% 6% 22% 34% 26% 10% 1%
164 NOTT Kobi 5% 31% 38% 20% 5% 1% -
165 DURHAM Porter - 1% 8% 25% 36% 24% 6%
165 ISAACSON Calev 2% 16% 37% 32% 12% 2% -
165 LITTLE Alex 37% 41% 18% 4% - - -
165 FORTES PINA Adrian 9% 29% 35% 20% 6% 1% -
169 BERSCHEID Arthur 3% 17% 31% 30% 15% 4% -
170 HARRIS Julien 5% 30% 40% 21% 5% - -
171 BISHOP Henry - 4% 16% 31% 31% 15% 3%
171 TOMASI John - 2% 11% 30% 36% 19% 3%
173 WIDOFF-WOODSON Jackson Leroi 4% 19% 33% 28% 12% 3% -
174 MINENNA Michael 20% 41% 29% 8% 1% - -
175 HOLMES Alexiy 1% 6% 20% 32% 27% 12% 2%
176 FREDERICK David R. 1% 10% 29% 35% 20% 5% -
177 CHEN Brian - 4% 15% 30% 32% 16% 3%
178 COSSROW Alex 3% 19% 35% 30% 11% 2% -
179 ZIMSKY James - 2% 13% 31% 34% 17% 3%
180 DULAI Angad 15% 40% 31% 11% 2% - -
181 BLACKLEDGE Michael - 7% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1%
182 FERENCZ Alexander J. 1% 6% 20% 33% 28% 11% 2%
183 KARLEKAR Ved 44% 41% 13% 2% - - -
184 HOLCOMB Cedric - 6% 23% 38% 26% 6%
185 VO Jonathan 3% 17% 35% 31% 12% 2%
186 BENTLEY Nick 1% 6% 23% 37% 27% 7%
186 MARTIN Dexter 42% 40% 15% 3% - -
188 CHOI Elliot 50% 38% 11% 1% - -
189 SFINTESCU Alex - 5% 22% 35% 27% 9% 1%
190 LUK Trusten 18% 38% 30% 12% 2% - -
191 HOCK Andrew 3% 14% 29% 31% 17% 5% 1%
192 RAO Saathvik 42% 40% 15% 3% - - -
193 MILLER Maxwell 8% 32% 36% 18% 4% - -
193 FERRONE Nate 17% 36% 31% 13% 3% - -
195 WARMERDAM Joseph 4% 25% 38% 24% 7% 1% -
196 ARRISON Alex C. 4% 26% 40% 24% 6% 1% -
197 BARBANEL Joseph 11% 40% 35% 12% 2% - -
197 LEVIN Jack 16% 40% 32% 11% 2% - -
199 MOORHOUSE Emmett 1% 6% 20% 33% 28% 11% 1%
200 MCARTHUR Kemp 4% 19% 33% 28% 13% 3% -
200 SUNDSTROM Wren 10% 34% 37% 16% 3% - -
202 LEWIS Adam 9% 28% 34% 21% 7% 1% -
203 ROOT-THOMPSON Kiah O. 6% 38% 37% 15% 3% - -
204 SAUCEDO Fernando 1% 8% 24% 34% 24% 9% 1%
204 RAJU Dharshan 6% 39% 37% 15% 3% - -
204 PARK Jubin 27% 45% 23% 5% 1% - -
207 MCCOY Camden 7% 30% 39% 20% 4% - -
208 WU Geoffrey 1% 7% 21% 33% 26% 10% 2%
208 LAWLOR Lee - 1% 9% 28% 37% 21% 4%
210 KAKARLA Vahin 35% 42% 19% 4% - - -
211 SHIRLEY Kai 1% 7% 21% 33% 27% 11% 1%
212 POLEPALLI Vinil 11% 30% 33% 19% 6% 1% -
212 CANDELARIA Armando 5% 22% 35% 26% 10% 2% -
214 LOUIE Keon 24% 44% 25% 6% 1% - -
215 STAMMERS Milo 2% 16% 37% 32% 11% 2% -
216 BOWERS Gregory 14% 38% 33% 12% 2% - -
217 VANCE Wyatt 60% 33% 7% 1% - - -
218 TAM Kyle 4% 25% 39% 25% 7% 1%
218 BALDWIN Benjamin 2% 14% 32% 34% 16% 3%
218 MCCONKEY Tristan 46% 39% 13% 2% - -
218 LOCKWOOD Jacob 7% 27% 37% 23% 6% 1%
222 SIDDIQI Amman 17% 38% 31% 12% 2% -
223 RYAN Nash 27% 41% 24% 7% 1% - -
224 KUO Jayden 31% 41% 21% 6% 1% - -
224 SHERMAN Dave 32% 43% 20% 4% - - -
226 BERETICH Brian 10% 31% 35% 18% 5% 1% -
226 LATTA Zamir 44% 40% 13% 2% - - -
226 COREAS Jonathan 54% 37% 8% 1% - - -
229 BERKE Daniel (Dan) L. 1% 8% 25% 35% 23% 7% 1%
229 FRASER Alistair 83% 16% 1% - - - -
229 HOLCOMB Michael 58% 34% 7% 1% - - -
229 BLACK John 74% 24% 2% - - - -
229 WANG Albert 68% 28% 4% - - - -
229 JOHNSON Dylan 42% 42% 14% 2% - - -
235 SIDARAS John 34% 41% 20% 5% 1% - -
236 REID Wesley 49% 39% 10% 1% - - -
237 COWARD Daniel 72% 25% 3% - - - -
238 GODIN Willis 38% 43% 16% 3% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.