National Championships and July Challenge (Summer Nationals)

Div III Men's Foil

Monday, July 8, 2024 at 8:00 AM

Greater Columbus Convention Center - Columbus, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 PINCHENG Yao 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 28%
2 GORDON William L. 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 13%
3 MILLER Dillon 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 15%
3 QIU Zhaocheng 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 30%
5 UZGIRIS Kovas 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 20%
6 JIMENEZ Naveen 100% 100% 100% 97% 86% 57% 19%
7 LEE Jayden 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 38% 9%
8 HOWLAND Jonas 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 58% 17%
9 KIM Harrison 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 47%
10 SEMAPAKDI-CHANG Kaiden 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 33%
11 PARK Steve (Sangmin) 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 63% 17%
12 CHEN Ethan 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 28%
13 GIDDENS James 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 60% 21%
14 VISHAWADIA Jaimin 100% 100% 99% 96% 81% 50% 15%
15 KIM Andy 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 33% 7%
16 LEUNG Jin 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 11%
17 VANOYEN Dominick 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 15%
18 TAN Xinlai 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 17%
19 ZHENG Harrison 100% 100% 95% 76% 43% 14% 2%
19 DAI Christopher 100% 100% 97% 82% 52% 20% 3%
21 NAIDL Josiah 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 40% 9%
22 YANG Dylan 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 16%
23 SINHA Verdhaan 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 42%
24 ARATA Connor 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 44% 11%
25 TEH Tang-Ngu 100% 99% 94% 76% 43% 14% 2%
26 WEST Nathaniel 100% 99% 92% 70% 36% 10% 1%
27 HICKEY Connor 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 29% 6%
28 MATTOS Luis Felipe 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 21% 3%
29 WONG Jacob W. 100% 98% 88% 62% 30% 8% 1%
30 DJONOUMA Toyohm 100% 100% 94% 71% 35% 8%
31 ROLDAN-LEVCHENKO Nikita I. 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 23% 4%
32 DUNLAP Ezra 100% 99% 92% 66% 30% 7% 1%
33 LIU William 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 24%
33 TANG Alexander L. 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 66% 26%
35 CHUANG Oscar 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 24%
36 TWEMLOW Sacha 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 21%
37 BELOKON Sammy 100% 97% 77% 41% 12% 1%
38 WERWA Griffith 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 24%
38 KENNEDY christo 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 11%
40 SRINIVASAN Vedant 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 24%
41 BLEIL Tyler 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 22%
42 FLANAGAN Miles 100% 100% 94% 70% 33% 8% 1%
43 JURMAN Therin 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 39% 9%
44 SMOLICH Marat 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 23%
45 HAN Alexander 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 20% 3%
46 ZAIDI Adil 100% 98% 85% 55% 23% 5% -
47 SENANI Arjun 100% 100% 96% 83% 55% 22% 4%
48 UPENDER West 100% 100% 97% 85% 54% 20% 3%
49 MARTIN Mason 100% 99% 92% 70% 37% 11% 1%
50 MANDZY Theodor 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 50% 13%
51 PETERSON Lucas 100% 99% 88% 59% 23% 4%
51 ZHAO Brian 100% 95% 73% 37% 10% 1%
53 LIM Charlie 100% 97% 80% 46% 15% 2%
54 SHANNON Jack 100% 100% 97% 81% 45% 11%
55 TJON Calum 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 23%
56 BARRETT Austin 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 41% 10%
57 ARAVINDAKSHA Ayaan 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 26% 5%
58 BAI Brian 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 53% 16%
59 STAFFORD Gareth 100% 99% 86% 52% 19% 4% -
60 SCHIENEMAN Valentine 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 47% 11%
61 CHOI Ethan 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 12%
62 GOFF Nathaniel 100% 99% 91% 68% 36% 11% 1%
63 NISHIHIRA Tyler 100% 100% 97% 79% 41% 11% 1%
64 MARTIRE Luca 100% 73% 32% 7% 1% -
65 CHANG Nathan 100% 100% 97% 78% 42% 13% 1%
66 ZHAO Brandon 100% 100% 99% 90% 67% 32% 7%
67 CLARK Benjamin 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 24% 4%
68 PETROV Mikhail 100% 100% 95% 77% 43% 14% 2%
69 CENCE Myles K. 100% 100% 99% 89% 62% 26% 5%
70 LOZADA Gabriel G. 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 39% 10%
71 SURESH Rohan 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 35% 7%
72 ATKINSON JOSIAH 100% 100% 98% 84% 52% 18% 2%
73 PEGRAM Rafe G. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 51%
74 MASSIMINO Andrew 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 31% 6%
75 MIETTINEN Pyry 100% 98% 84% 53% 19% 3%
76 LUI Justin 100% 92% 63% 27% 6% 1%
77 KENNEDY Michael 100% 97% 78% 41% 11% 1%
78 LAO Kevin 100% 98% 87% 60% 28% 7% 1%
79 GRAY Caidan 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 21% 3%
80 ABRAMSOHN Seth 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 16% 2%
81 TIBBETTS Justin 100% 99% 92% 65% 26% 5% -
82 WAKEHAM Paul 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 15% 2%
83 DAFFRON Quintin 100% 99% 91% 67% 34% 10% 1%
84 MCLAUGHLIN Ryan 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 54% 17%
84 LEHTINEN Axel 100% 96% 73% 37% 11% 2% -
86 NAZARIO Dominic 100% 99% 93% 69% 34% 9% 1%
87 AMRANI David 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 21% 3%
88 MCCONKEY Eric 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 41% 8%
89 GREENLEAF Paul 100% 100% 94% 74% 39% 11% 1%
90 METZ Mason 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 16% 2%
91 GOWDA Sumeru 100% 98% 84% 50% 18% 3% -
92 RUBIN Max 100% 100% 100% 95% 78% 45% 12%
92 PETINO Leonardo 100% 97% 77% 37% 9% 1% -
94 WITTIG Jonathon T. 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 48% 12%
94 ZHANG GAVIN J 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 31% 6%
96 VAN Tyson 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 38% 9%
97 JOHNSON Chance 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 17%
98 CHIN Ryan 100% 100% 95% 76% 39% 9%
99 XU Dinghui Ryan 100% 96% 75% 39% 11% 1%
100 MAGALONG William 100% 100% 95% 75% 39% 9%
101 CORTRIGHT Joshua C. 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 18%
102 KAUNITZ Emmanuel 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 13%
103 PECK Quinn 100% 100% 97% 81% 46% 13% 1%
104 KRECKE Gareth 100% 94% 68% 30% 7% 1% -
105 ROBINSON-LEVANT Bryson 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 12%
106 MARTIN William 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 8%
106 LINDOW Connor 100% 100% 92% 64% 28% 6% 1%
108 WOHLERS Trevor 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 16% 2%
109 MILES Greyson 100% 99% 92% 68% 34% 10% 1%
110 MCKEE Calvin 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 26% 5%
110 BECKER Ethan 100% 96% 77% 43% 15% 3% -
112 POLLIO Benjamin 100% 82% 44% 14% 2% - -
113 MONTALBINE Aidan 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 21%
114 CHREKY Jacob D. 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 12%
115 JOHNSON Ryder 100% 94% 71% 35% 10% 2% -
116 SALAZAR Tomas D. 100% 99% 89% 61% 25% 4% -
117 MANLY Isaac H. 100% 76% 35% 10% 1% -
118 RIPA Joseph K. 100% 95% 73% 36% 10% 1%
119 ALBERS Asher 100% 97% 77% 40% 11% 1%
120 MASTROPAOLO Jonah W. 100% 100% 97% 81% 45% 11%
121 WAKEHAM Timothy 100% 99% 80% 44% 15% 3% -
122 HARROCH Faustin 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 35% 8%
123 TOWNE Benjamin 100% 98% 86% 58% 26% 7% 1%
124 GECKELER James 100% 97% 79% 44% 14% 2% -
125 RAFFERTY-FUENTES Patrick 100% 94% 69% 34% 10% 2% -
126 GREEN Zachary J. 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 42% 10%
127 SHAMBARGER Graham 100% 88% 51% 17% 3% -
128 SHARDONOFSKY Keelan 100% 94% 71% 36% 11% 2% -
129 HOLLIDAY Christopher Mansfield-Scott 100% 100% 96% 78% 44% 15% 2%
130 STORER Alexander 100% 99% 88% 60% 25% 6% -
131 NEICE William 100% 100% 99% 89% 62% 27% 5%
132 LANE Sean 100% 74% 34% 9% 1% - -
133 NIECHWADOWICZ Michael 100% 100% 99% 88% 59% 24% 4%
134 REYES Yannik 100% 68% 25% 5% - -
135 WEISS Mateo 100% 98% 82% 48% 16% 2%
136 SOLOPOULOS James 100% 98% 85% 52% 19% 4% -
137 PEDERSEN Charles 100% 98% 87% 58% 25% 6% 1%
137 MAVANI Krishna 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 17% 2%
139 SHEYNKMAN Leon 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 74% 33%
140 UHLBERG Max 100% 98% 84% 55% 24% 6% 1%
141 SUN Henry 100% 100% 98% 87% 61% 27% 5%
142 CHA James 100% 87% 55% 22% 5% 1% -
143 COFFIN Carleton 100% 96% 76% 40% 12% 2% -
144 SMITH Cooper 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 19% 3%
145 CHEN Zixuan 100% 99% 85% 50% 15% 2% -
146 ZAPPALA Nikolai 100% 99% 91% 69% 36% 11% 1%
147 POWELL Sean 100% 97% 80% 46% 14% 2% -
148 MURPHY Damian J. 100% 100% 94% 72% 38% 11% 1%
149 WHITE Joshua H. 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 29% 6%
150 LEE Christopher 100% 85% 42% 11% 1% - -
151 YEE michael 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 39% 8%
152 HINTON Nickolys R. 100% 100% 97% 84% 55% 22% 4%
153 FLYNT Hayden 100% 100% 97% 81% 45% 13% 1%
154 WAYBRIGHT Matteo 100% 96% 77% 43% 14% 2% -
155 HOLCOMB Alexander 100% 94% 70% 35% 11% 2% -
156 JOHNSON Soren 100% 97% 79% 45% 15% 2%
157 WUN Jonathan 100% 98% 83% 50% 17% 2%
158 WEINSTEIN Ethan 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 17%
159 RUDOW Asher 100% 89% 46% 13% 2% - -
160 YANG Arthur 100% 98% 81% 45% 14% 2% -
161 GREENEBAUM Oliver 100% 100% 98% 84% 50% 14% 1%
162 HERRERA Xavier 100% 90% 61% 26% 6% 1% -
163 SHEA William 100% 99% 93% 72% 38% 11% 1%
164 NOTT Kobi 100% 95% 64% 26% 6% 1% -
165 DURHAM Porter 100% 100% 99% 90% 66% 30% 6%
165 ISAACSON Calev 100% 98% 83% 46% 13% 2% -
165 LITTLE Alex 100% 63% 22% 4% - - -
165 FORTES PINA Adrian 100% 91% 62% 27% 7% 1% -
169 BERSCHEID Arthur 100% 97% 80% 49% 19% 4% -
170 HARRIS Julien 100% 95% 65% 26% 5% - -
171 BISHOP Henry 100% 100% 95% 79% 49% 18% 3%
171 TOMASI John 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 22% 3%
173 WIDOFF-WOODSON Jackson Leroi 100% 96% 77% 44% 15% 3% -
174 MINENNA Michael 100% 80% 38% 10% 1% - -
175 HOLMES Alexiy 100% 99% 93% 73% 41% 14% 2%
176 FREDERICK David R. 100% 99% 89% 60% 25% 5% -
177 CHEN Brian 100% 100% 96% 81% 51% 19% 3%
178 COSSROW Alex 100% 97% 78% 43% 13% 2% -
179 ZIMSKY James 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 20% 3%
180 DULAI Angad 100% 85% 45% 13% 2% - -
181 BLACKLEDGE Michael 100% 100% 92% 67% 31% 8% 1%
182 FERENCZ Alexander J. 100% 99% 94% 73% 40% 13% 2%
183 KARLEKAR Ved 100% 56% 15% 2% - - -
184 HOLCOMB Cedric 100% 100% 94% 70% 32% 6%
185 VO Jonathan 100% 97% 80% 45% 14% 2%
186 BENTLEY Nick 100% 99% 93% 70% 34% 7%
186 MARTIN Dexter 100% 58% 18% 3% - -
188 CHOI Elliot 100% 50% 12% 1% - -
189 SFINTESCU Alex 100% 100% 94% 72% 37% 10% 1%
190 LUK Trusten 100% 82% 45% 14% 3% - -
191 HOCK Andrew 100% 97% 83% 53% 23% 5% 1%
192 RAO Saathvik 100% 58% 18% 3% - - -
193 MILLER Maxwell 100% 92% 59% 23% 5% 1% -
193 FERRONE Nate 100% 83% 47% 16% 3% - -
195 WARMERDAM Joseph 100% 96% 71% 33% 9% 1% -
196 ARRISON Alex C. 100% 96% 70% 30% 6% 1% -
197 BARBANEL Joseph 100% 89% 49% 14% 2% - -
197 LEVIN Jack 100% 84% 45% 12% 2% - -
199 MOORHOUSE Emmett 100% 99% 94% 74% 40% 13% 1%
200 MCARTHUR Kemp 100% 96% 77% 44% 16% 3% -
200 SUNDSTROM Wren 100% 90% 56% 19% 3% - -
202 LEWIS Adam 100% 91% 62% 28% 8% 1% -
203 ROOT-THOMPSON Kiah O. 100% 94% 56% 18% 3% - -
204 SAUCEDO Fernando 100% 99% 91% 68% 34% 10% 1%
204 RAJU Dharshan 100% 94% 55% 18% 3% - -
204 PARK Jubin 100% 73% 29% 6% 1% - -
207 MCCOY Camden 100% 93% 63% 24% 4% - -
208 WU Geoffrey 100% 99% 93% 71% 38% 12% 2%
208 LAWLOR Lee 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 25% 4%
210 KAKARLA Vahin 100% 65% 23% 4% - - -
211 SHIRLEY Kai 100% 99% 93% 72% 39% 12% 1%
212 POLEPALLI Vinil 100% 89% 59% 26% 7% 1% -
212 CANDELARIA Armando 100% 95% 73% 37% 11% 2% -
214 LOUIE Keon 100% 76% 32% 7% 1% - -
215 STAMMERS Milo 100% 98% 82% 45% 13% 2% -
216 BOWERS Gregory 100% 86% 48% 15% 3% - -
217 VANCE Wyatt 100% 40% 8% 1% - - -
218 TAM Kyle 100% 96% 71% 32% 8% 1%
218 BALDWIN Benjamin 100% 98% 84% 52% 19% 3%
218 MCCONKEY Tristan 100% 54% 15% 2% - -
218 LOCKWOOD Jacob 100% 93% 67% 30% 7% 1%
222 SIDDIQI Amman 100% 83% 45% 14% 2% -
223 RYAN Nash 100% 73% 31% 7% 1% - -
224 KUO Jayden 100% 69% 28% 7% 1% - -
224 SHERMAN Dave 100% 68% 25% 5% - - -
226 BERETICH Brian 100% 90% 59% 23% 5% 1% -
226 LATTA Zamir 100% 56% 16% 2% - - -
226 COREAS Jonathan 100% 46% 9% 1% - - -
229 BERKE Daniel (Dan) L. 100% 99% 91% 66% 31% 8% 1%
229 FRASER Alistair 100% 17% 1% - - - -
229 HOLCOMB Michael 100% 42% 8% 1% - - -
229 BLACK John 100% 26% 2% - - - -
229 WANG Albert 100% 32% 4% - - - -
229 JOHNSON Dylan 100% 58% 16% 2% - - -
235 SIDARAS John 100% 66% 25% 6% 1% - -
236 REID Wesley 100% 51% 11% 1% - - -
237 COWARD Daniel 100% 28% 3% - - - -
238 GODIN Willis 100% 62% 19% 3% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.