National Championships and July Challenge (Summer Nationals)

Div III Men's Saber

Monday, July 8, 2024 at 8:00 AM

Greater Columbus Convention Center - Columbus, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 GILSHTEYN Jacob - 1% 7% 25% 42% 26%
2 BOLLU Viren - 1% 6% 22% 38% 28% 6%
3 YUAN Kevin - - 1% 6% 24% 42% 27%
3 KIM Kendrick - - 4% 18% 42% 35%
5 CHAN Henry - - 3% 15% 35% 36% 12%
6 KWON Kenneth - 2% 10% 28% 40% 21%
7 CONTRACTOR Cyrus - 2% 14% 38% 36% 9%
8 WANG Max - 1% 9% 25% 35% 24% 6%
9 HARRINGTON Connor - - 5% 22% 37% 28% 8%
10 CRAIN Bennett 1% 5% 18% 32% 29% 13% 2%
11 DAWSON-TEECE Powell - 1% 7% 24% 38% 25% 5%
12 ZAYAS Devin A. - - 1% 5% 20% 41% 33%
13 HERRERA aragon - 2% 13% 30% 34% 18% 3%
14 IYER Neil 2% 14% 32% 32% 16% 4% -
15 BHASKAR Dhananjay K. - 1% 7% 25% 38% 24% 5%
16 MANESCU Miron 1% 5% 18% 32% 29% 13% 2%
17 CHABENAT Guillaume - - - 3% 18% 47% 32%
18 SALMAN Hamzah - 2% 11% 27% 33% 21% 5%
19 GARDNER David 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 7%
20 CUSUMANO Neal - - 4% 18% 35% 32% 10%
21 PARKILA Lukas 3% 16% 34% 32% 13% 2%
22 SANGSTER Arden - - 5% 23% 38% 27% 7%
23 HILL Quillan - 1% 5% 19% 35% 30% 10%
24 CAO Oliver - - 4% 16% 34% 33% 12%
25 LIU Yizhe (Andy) - - - 3% 16% 41% 40%
26 SADHU Neiyam - 2% 13% 31% 33% 17% 3%
27 CAMPBELL Benjamin F. - - 2% 13% 32% 37% 15%
28 MYERS Kaleb S. - - 1% 12% 40% 47%
29 YADAV Lakshya - - 4% 18% 36% 32% 10%
30 DESSAUER Tobyn M. - - - 4% 21% 46% 28%
31 ONG Dylan - 4% 20% 36% 28% 10% 1%
32 DOLEV Ido - 3% 13% 28% 32% 19% 4%
33 LESUEUR Luke J. - - 2% 9% 26% 39% 23%
34 CHINWAH Kaden - - - 3% 17% 41% 39%
35 NOTOPRADONO Nicholas - - 2% 12% 31% 37% 16%
36 VAUGHN Jason - 1% 6% 23% 37% 27% 7%
37 PERRY Gwydion 1% 12% 31% 34% 17% 4% -
38 OJE Chuku - - - 4% 20% 42% 34%
39 SUBA Lucas - - 2% 11% 30% 39% 18%
40 BARNES William - - - 4% 19% 43% 34%
41 BURKE Sam - 3% 16% 32% 32% 15% 3%
42 FIRSTMAN William B. - - 2% 10% 28% 39% 21%
43 BROCKMEYER Tyler - - 1% 9% 28% 40% 21%
44 WONG Caleb W. - 3% 17% 34% 32% 13% 2%
45 HO Jacob - 2% 14% 33% 34% 15% 2%
46 OLSON Benjamin D. - 2% 14% 32% 33% 16% 3%
47 BODKIN Jake M. - 3% 14% 29% 33% 18% 4%
48 FARIDI Imran - 1% 10% 29% 37% 20% 3%
49 FAYETTE Julien - 2% 12% 31% 35% 17% 3%
49 JENSBY Jason - - 4% 16% 34% 33% 13%
51 VO Landon 4% 21% 37% 27% 9% 1%
52 WITCZAK Mateus - 5% 21% 37% 29% 8%
53 TAN Ryan 11% 36% 37% 14% 2% -
54 COUNTS Nicholas 1% 8% 25% 37% 24% 5%
55 WEISS Toby 21% 40% 28% 9% 1% -
56 BENSON Jacob 1% 8% 23% 34% 25% 9% 1%
56 POLEYUMPTEWA Connor - 3% 18% 35% 30% 11% 2%
58 DESAUTELS Connor 1% 6% 20% 33% 27% 11% 2%
59 WANG Michael 1% 9% 27% 36% 22% 5%
60 RAY Evan 10% 31% 35% 18% 4% -
61 RIDKY Sam - 2% 9% 27% 39% 23%
62 WEINBERG Harry 1% 8% 25% 37% 24% 6%
63 CHAN Elliott 2% 12% 30% 35% 18% 3%
64 ZHU Shirui - - 3% 18% 36% 32% 10%
65 WAGNER Elijah - 3% 12% 27% 33% 20% 5%
66 BECHTEL Trent 3% 17% 33% 31% 14% 2%
67 XU Ivan - - 4% 17% 35% 32% 11%
68 HUANG Maxwell H. - 1% 10% 33% 40% 14% 1%
69 MISHRA Aadi 1% 10% 26% 33% 22% 7% 1%
70 KALOUDIS Sean 1% 6% 21% 36% 27% 9% 1%
71 BATTISFORE Hunter - 3% 15% 32% 33% 15% 3%
72 MBERIA Alexander 3% 17% 34% 30% 13% 3% -
73 AUTREY Adrien - 1% 9% 28% 37% 21% 4%
73 BHATIA Ekam - - 2% 12% 31% 37% 17%
75 KLEBS Robert - 1% 6% 21% 35% 28% 9%
76 SCHIMEL Luke 1% 10% 36% 36% 14% 2% -
77 BERKOWITZ Gavin - 5% 21% 35% 28% 10% 1%
78 ZHANG Ray - 6% 23% 36% 26% 8% 1%
79 SEELMAN Cole 6% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1%
80 HORNE Jamison - 1% 9% 27% 40% 22%
81 BOULAIS Andrew D. - 3% 15% 35% 36% 11%
82 RAMIREZ Nicholas 6% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1%
83 KMETA-SUAREZ Graysen 1% 7% 24% 36% 25% 7% 1%
84 LEONARDI Pierce C. - 3% 15% 32% 32% 15% 3%
85 ZONG Yujie 1% 9% 27% 35% 21% 6% 1%
86 LI linze - 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 7%
87 TURNER Benjamin - 5% 23% 37% 26% 8% 1%
88 TUNG Ryan - 2% 11% 28% 35% 20% 4%
89 AHLMAN Jason 1% 13% 35% 34% 14% 3% -
90 OBEID Zaky 12% 35% 34% 15% 3% - -
91 PAK Andrew 23% 41% 27% 8% 1% - -
92 SUTHERLAND Jr. Richard L. 1% 7% 25% 35% 24% 8% 1%
93 ASPIRAS Piers 6% 31% 38% 19% 5% 1% -
94 PODDAR Shameek 1% 11% 35% 35% 15% 3% -
95 TSAI Michael T. 4% 21% 37% 28% 9% 1%
96 MAMKIN Nathan 20% 39% 29% 10% 2% -
97 SAGASTIZADO joshua 5% 24% 37% 25% 8% 1%
98 PARCELL Colby 1% 5% 20% 36% 30% 9%
99 HENRY Ethan 30% 43% 22% 5% - -
100 PERINO Alex 5% 23% 37% 27% 8% 1%
101 MCDANIEL Luke 9% 28% 34% 21% 7% 1% -
102 SUN Ziyao - 1% 5% 21% 37% 29% 7%
103 XUE Leo - 3% 14% 32% 33% 15% 3%
104 MARGULIS Jared - 2% 12% 30% 34% 18% 3%
105 BARROWS Hunter 1% 10% 30% 35% 19% 5% -
106 CARDENAS Nathan A. - 3% 16% 33% 32% 14% 2%
107 GOGNA Rehan 4% 20% 33% 28% 12% 3% -
108 BLACKBURN Henry 7% 25% 34% 23% 9% 2% -
109 PINEDA Charles 52% 39% 8% 1% - - -
110 GOEDDEKE Brendan 13% 41% 34% 11% 2% - -
111 ROJAS Alejandro Joaquin 5% 24% 38% 25% 8% 1% -
112 BLAKEMAN Michael J. - 1% 6% 21% 35% 28% 9%
113 HONG Aidan 7% 30% 37% 20% 6% 1% -
114 IDRIS Haashir 1% 10% 25% 32% 22% 8% 1%
115 KRAYTMAN Matthew 24% 44% 25% 6% 1% - -
116 ZALEVSKY Liam 3% 29% 40% 22% 6% 1% -
117 MITCHELL Eric A. 1% 5% 18% 31% 29% 14% 3%
118 JOHNSON Eli 14% 42% 32% 11% 2% - -
119 HERRERA Stefano 33% 48% 17% 2% - - -
120 KUSANAGI Soshi 8% 30% 37% 20% 5% -
121 CHENG Brandon - 5% 23% 41% 26% 4%
122 RINALDI Savio 7% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1%
123 JOHNSON Colin 20% 39% 29% 10% 2% -
124 HENDERSON Jack 9% 33% 39% 17% 3% -
125 DENIZE Paul Edmond Alexandre - 3% 17% 36% 31% 11% 1%
126 ZHANG Lucas 22% 40% 27% 9% 1% - -
127 CHEN Jeffrey 6% 22% 34% 26% 11% 2% -
128 MULLEN Xavier 44% 42% 13% 2% - - -
129 LIBBY Benjamin 25% 43% 24% 6% 1% - -
130 CHEN Jeremy 21% 38% 28% 10% 2% - -
131 KU Raymond - 6% 26% 41% 22% 4% -
131 WOLLOW Carter 44% 40% 13% 2% - - -
133 CONNELL ROBERT 6% 24% 37% 24% 8% 1% -
134 KIMURA Grant 29% 42% 23% 6% 1% - -
135 MILLS Matthew P. 8% 33% 37% 18% 4% - -
135 XU James 14% 36% 33% 14% 3% - -
137 SCHWIEBERT Harrison 1% 7% 22% 34% 26% 10% 1%
137 WODISKA Russell 16% 35% 31% 15% 4% - -
139 DESANTIS Benjamin 7% 25% 34% 23% 8% 1% -
140 SOCHA Daniel 2% 17% 36% 31% 12% 2% -
141 RAMANI Ari 16% 45% 30% 8% 1% - -
142 TIERNO Thomas J. - 3% 17% 34% 32% 12% 2%
143 VOSPER James 10% 34% 36% 16% 3% - -
144 XIE Eric 7% 27% 37% 22% 6% -
145 ZISLIN Benjamin 45% 40% 13% 2% - - -
146 STANISLAV Charles 10% 31% 35% 19% 5% -
147 NETHERTON Jack 49% 40% 10% 1% - - -
147 GUEVARA Alexander 25% 44% 24% 6% 1% - -
149 YU Gordon 28% 42% 23% 6% 1% -
150 WRIGHT Spencer 32% 47% 18% 3% - - -
150 CADET Mathias 20% 41% 29% 9% 1% - -
150 SULLIVAN Gerard 43% 42% 13% 2% - - -
153 MACLEAN Lachlan 76% 22% 2% - - - -
154 SENTHIL Gatik 59% 33% 7% 1% - - -
155 FREER Sean L. 20% 52% 24% 4% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.