National Championships and July Challenge (Summer Nationals)

Div III Men's Saber

Monday, July 8, 2024 at 8:00 AM

Greater Columbus Convention Center - Columbus, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 GILSHTEYN Jacob 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 26%
2 BOLLU Viren 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 34% 6%
3 YUAN Kevin 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 27%
3 KIM Kendrick 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 35%
5 CHAN Henry 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 12%
6 KWON Kenneth 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 21%
7 CONTRACTOR Cyrus 100% 100% 98% 83% 45% 9%
8 WANG Max 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 30% 6%
9 HARRINGTON Connor 100% 100% 100% 94% 72% 35% 8%
10 CRAIN Bennett 100% 99% 94% 76% 44% 15% 2%
11 DAWSON-TEECE Powell 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 31% 5%
12 ZAYAS Devin A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 33%
13 HERRERA aragon 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 21% 3%
14 IYER Neil 100% 98% 84% 52% 20% 4% -
15 BHASKAR Dhananjay K. 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 30% 5%
16 MANESCU Miron 100% 99% 94% 76% 44% 15% 2%
17 CHABENAT Guillaume 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 32%
18 SALMAN Hamzah 100% 100% 97% 86% 60% 26% 5%
19 GARDNER David 100% 99% 92% 70% 33% 7%
20 CUSUMANO Neal 100% 100% 100% 95% 78% 42% 10%
21 PARKILA Lukas 100% 97% 81% 47% 15% 2%
22 SANGSTER Arden 100% 100% 100% 94% 71% 33% 7%
23 HILL Quillan 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 40% 10%
24 CAO Oliver 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 12%
25 LIU Yizhe (Andy) 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 40%
26 SADHU Neiyam 100% 100% 98% 84% 54% 20% 3%
27 CAMPBELL Benjamin F. 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 53% 15%
28 MYERS Kaleb S. 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 47%
29 YADAV Lakshya 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 10%
30 DESSAUER Tobyn M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 28%
31 ONG Dylan 100% 100% 95% 75% 39% 11% 1%
32 DOLEV Ido 100% 100% 97% 84% 55% 23% 4%
33 LESUEUR Luke J. 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 23%
34 CHINWAH Kaden 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 39%
35 NOTOPRADONO Nicholas 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 54% 16%
36 VAUGHN Jason 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 34% 7%
37 PERRY Gwydion 100% 99% 87% 56% 21% 4% -
38 OJE Chuku 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 34%
39 SUBA Lucas 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 18%
40 BARNES William 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 34%
41 BURKE Sam 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 17% 3%
42 FIRSTMAN William B. 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 21%
43 BROCKMEYER Tyler 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 61% 21%
44 WONG Caleb W. 100% 100% 97% 80% 46% 15% 2%
45 HO Jacob 100% 100% 98% 84% 51% 17% 2%
46 OLSON Benjamin D. 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 19% 3%
47 BODKIN Jake M. 100% 100% 97% 83% 54% 21% 4%
48 FARIDI Imran 100% 100% 99% 88% 59% 23% 3%
49 FAYETTE Julien 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 20% 3%
49 JENSBY Jason 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 13%
51 VO Landon 100% 96% 74% 38% 10% 1%
52 WITCZAK Mateus 100% 100% 94% 74% 37% 8%
53 TAN Ryan 100% 89% 53% 16% 2% -
54 COUNTS Nicholas 100% 99% 92% 67% 29% 5%
55 WEISS Toby 100% 79% 39% 10% 1% -
56 BENSON Jacob 100% 99% 92% 69% 35% 9% 1%
56 POLEYUMPTEWA Connor 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 13% 2%
58 DESAUTELS Connor 100% 99% 93% 73% 40% 13% 2%
59 WANG Michael 100% 99% 90% 63% 27% 5%
60 RAY Evan 100% 90% 59% 23% 5% -
61 RIDKY Sam 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 23%
62 WEINBERG Harry 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 6%
63 CHAN Elliott 100% 98% 86% 56% 22% 3%
64 ZHU Shirui 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 10%
65 WAGNER Elijah 100% 100% 97% 85% 58% 25% 5%
66 BECHTEL Trent 100% 97% 80% 47% 16% 2%
67 XU Ivan 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 11%
68 HUANG Maxwell H. 100% 100% 99% 88% 55% 15% 1%
69 MISHRA Aadi 100% 99% 88% 62% 29% 8% 1%
70 KALOUDIS Sean 100% 99% 94% 73% 37% 9% 1%
71 BATTISFORE Hunter 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 18% 3%
72 MBERIA Alexander 100% 97% 80% 46% 16% 3% -
73 AUTREY Adrien 100% 100% 99% 89% 62% 25% 4%
73 BHATIA Ekam 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 17%
75 KLEBS Robert 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 37% 9%
76 SCHIMEL Luke 100% 99% 89% 53% 17% 2% -
77 BERKOWITZ Gavin 100% 100% 94% 74% 39% 12% 1%
78 ZHANG Ray 100% 100% 94% 71% 35% 9% 1%
79 SEELMAN Cole 100% 94% 69% 33% 9% 1%
80 HORNE Jamison 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 22%
81 BOULAIS Andrew D. 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 11%
82 RAMIREZ Nicholas 100% 94% 70% 34% 9% 1%
83 KMETA-SUAREZ Graysen 100% 99% 93% 69% 32% 8% 1%
84 LEONARDI Pierce C. 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 18% 3%
85 ZONG Yujie 100% 99% 91% 63% 28% 7% 1%
86 LI linze 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 7%
87 TURNER Benjamin 100% 100% 95% 72% 35% 9% 1%
88 TUNG Ryan 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 24% 4%
89 AHLMAN Jason 100% 99% 86% 51% 17% 3% -
90 OBEID Zaky 100% 88% 53% 19% 4% - -
91 PAK Andrew 100% 77% 36% 9% 1% - -
92 SUTHERLAND Jr. Richard L. 100% 99% 92% 67% 32% 8% 1%
93 ASPIRAS Piers 100% 94% 63% 25% 5% 1% -
94 PODDAR Shameek 100% 99% 88% 53% 19% 3% -
95 TSAI Michael T. 100% 96% 74% 37% 10% 1%
96 MAMKIN Nathan 100% 80% 41% 12% 2% -
97 SAGASTIZADO joshua 100% 95% 71% 34% 9% 1%
98 PARCELL Colby 100% 99% 94% 74% 38% 9%
99 HENRY Ethan 100% 70% 27% 5% - -
100 PERINO Alex 100% 95% 72% 35% 9% 1%
101 MCDANIEL Luke 100% 91% 63% 29% 8% 1% -
102 SUN Ziyao 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 36% 7%
103 XUE Leo 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 18% 3%
104 MARGULIS Jared 100% 100% 97% 85% 56% 21% 3%
105 BARROWS Hunter 100% 99% 89% 59% 25% 5% -
106 CARDENAS Nathan A. 100% 100% 96% 81% 47% 16% 2%
107 GOGNA Rehan 100% 96% 76% 43% 15% 3% -
108 BLACKBURN Henry 100% 93% 68% 34% 10% 2% -
109 PINEDA Charles 100% 48% 9% 1% - - -
110 GOEDDEKE Brendan 100% 87% 46% 13% 2% - -
111 ROJAS Alejandro Joaquin 100% 95% 71% 33% 9% 1% -
112 BLAKEMAN Michael J. 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 37% 9%
113 HONG Aidan 100% 93% 63% 27% 6% 1% -
114 IDRIS Haashir 100% 99% 89% 64% 32% 9% 1%
115 KRAYTMAN Matthew 100% 76% 32% 7% 1% - -
116 ZALEVSKY Liam 100% 97% 68% 28% 6% 1% -
117 MITCHELL Eric A. 100% 99% 94% 76% 45% 16% 3%
118 JOHNSON Eli 100% 86% 44% 12% 2% - -
119 HERRERA Stefano 100% 67% 20% 3% - - -
120 KUSANAGI Soshi 100% 92% 62% 25% 5% -
121 CHENG Brandon 100% 100% 94% 71% 30% 4%
122 RINALDI Savio 100% 93% 67% 31% 8% 1%
123 JOHNSON Colin 100% 80% 40% 12% 2% -
124 HENDERSON Jack 100% 91% 58% 20% 3% -
125 DENIZE Paul Edmond Alexandre 100% 100% 97% 80% 43% 12% 1%
126 ZHANG Lucas 100% 78% 38% 10% 2% - -
127 CHEN Jeffrey 100% 94% 73% 39% 13% 2% -
128 MULLEN Xavier 100% 56% 15% 2% - - -
129 LIBBY Benjamin 100% 75% 32% 7% 1% - -
130 CHEN Jeremy 100% 79% 40% 13% 2% - -
131 KU Raymond 100% 100% 94% 68% 26% 5% -
131 WOLLOW Carter 100% 56% 16% 2% - - -
133 CONNELL ROBERT 100% 94% 70% 33% 9% 1% -
134 KIMURA Grant 100% 71% 29% 6% 1% - -
135 MILLS Matthew P. 100% 92% 59% 22% 4% - -
135 XU James 100% 86% 51% 18% 4% - -
137 SCHWIEBERT Harrison 100% 99% 92% 71% 37% 11% 1%
137 WODISKA Russell 100% 84% 50% 19% 4% 1% -
139 DESANTIS Benjamin 100% 93% 68% 33% 10% 2% -
140 SOCHA Daniel 100% 98% 81% 45% 14% 2% -
141 RAMANI Ari 100% 84% 39% 9% 1% - -
142 TIERNO Thomas J. 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 14% 2%
143 VOSPER James 100% 90% 57% 20% 4% - -
144 XIE Eric 100% 93% 66% 28% 6% -
145 ZISLIN Benjamin 100% 55% 15% 2% - - -
146 STANISLAV Charles 100% 90% 59% 24% 5% -
147 NETHERTON Jack 100% 51% 11% 1% - - -
147 GUEVARA Alexander 100% 75% 30% 7% 1% - -
149 YU Gordon 100% 72% 29% 6% 1% -
150 WRIGHT Spencer 100% 68% 21% 3% - - -
150 CADET Mathias 100% 80% 39% 11% 2% - -
150 SULLIVAN Gerard 100% 57% 15% 2% - - -
153 MACLEAN Lachlan 100% 24% 2% - - - -
154 SENTHIL Gatik 100% 41% 7% 1% - - -
155 FREER Sean L. 100% 80% 28% 4% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.