Event Preview
Junior Olympics + January NACFriday, January 8, 2027 at 12:00 AM
| Finish Range | Average | Range |
|---|---|---|
| 1 - 4 | 3178 | 3648 - 2959 |
| 5 - 8 | 2782 | 2827 - 2720 |
| 9 - 16 | 2629 | 2716 - 2583 |
| 17 - 32 | 2478 | 2580 - 2375 |
| 33 - 64 | 2239 | 2357 - 2144 |
| 65 - 128 | 1867 | 2133 - 1624 |
| 129 - 168 | 1344 | 1833 - 545 |
Rank is based on the conservative estimate, `mu - 3*sigma`, rather than raw strength alone. Newer or less-certain fencers can still appear lower than someone with a similar average but tighter confidence.