Event Preview
Junior Olympics + January NACSaturday, January 9, 2027 at 12:00 AM
| Finish Range | Average | Range |
|---|---|---|
| 1 - 4 | 3286 | 3648 - 3102 |
| 5 - 8 | 3073 | 3097 - 3064 |
| 9 - 16 | 2945 | 3048 - 2826 |
| 17 - 32 | 2673 | 2827 - 2579 |
| 33 - 64 | 2402 | 2580 - 2272 |
| 65 - 128 | 2062 | 2276 - 1770 |
| 129 - 171 | 1551 | 1940 - 1023 |
Rank is based on the conservative estimate, `mu - 3*sigma`, rather than raw strength alone. Newer or less-certain fencers can still appear lower than someone with a similar average but tighter confidence.