Trick or Retreat ROC/RJCC/RYC

Cadet Men's Épée

Sunday, August 18, 2024 at 12:00 PM

NJ Convention & Exposition Center - Edison, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 XIAO Hanzhi (Shawn) 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 40%
2 XIA Dashan 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 26%
3 TIKHONOV Daniel 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 62%
3 LYCHKO Maksym 100% 97% 81% 49% 17% 3% -
5 LIU Adam 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 24%
6 TSE Maxwell 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 40%
7 DOUBOV Andrew 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 27%
8 YI Nathan 100% 100% 96% 79% 47% 16% 2%
9 CHEN Luowen 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 36% 8%
10 BOUDREAUX James 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 23%
11 SIYANKO Joshua 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 73% 30%
12 SONG Changze 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 39% 8%
13 KIM Henry 100% 100% 98% 84% 49% 13%
14 ZENG Andrew 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 22%
15 KARIMOV Amir 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 13%
16 SANTOS Antonio K. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 25%
17 LI Morgan 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 19% 3%
18 SANTOS Francisco M. 100% 100% 99% 89% 57% 17%
18 LEE Aiden 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 23%
20 LIN Nathan 100% 100% 94% 74% 37% 8%
21 ZHANG Dinghao 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 21% 3%
22 ANAFI Ari 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 18% 2%
23 XIE Brandon 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 13%
24 YANG Gary 100% 100% 95% 73% 34% 6%
25 RIM Eugene 100% 100% 91% 62% 24% 4%
26 NGO-D'ANDRE Nicolas 100% 100% 93% 66% 27% 4%
27 WONG Maximus 100% 100% 96% 79% 46% 15% 2%
28 GAO Victor 100% 99% 91% 68% 33% 9% 1%
29 ALEXANDER Christopher 100% 99% 94% 73% 40% 12% 1%
30 RUSSELL James 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 6%
31 BO Genero 100% 97% 81% 48% 17% 3% -
32 LI Jade 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 6%
33 WANG-SONG Evan 100% 99% 90% 59% 19% 2%
34 GLUSHKOV David 100% 93% 65% 29% 7% 1% -
35 LIU Jeremiah W. 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 31% 6%
36 DELONG Joshua 100% 91% 61% 25% 5% -
37 SINGLETON Aman 100% 100% 98% 87% 51% 9%
38 HU Anton 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 34% 7%
39 SUN Lucas 100% 99% 93% 71% 37% 11% 1%
40 ALAM Rajan 100% 96% 78% 44% 15% 3% -
41 CHEN Edward 100% 85% 50% 17% 3% - -
42 WANG Marcus 100% 99% 90% 64% 29% 7% 1%
43 ZHANG Jonathan 100% 90% 59% 24% 6% 1% -
44 HENNESSY Levon 100% 91% 59% 20% 3% -
45 RVACHEV Michael 100% 96% 73% 33% 8% 1%
46 OTTAVIANO Aaron 100% 77% 35% 9% 1% -
47 PAN Anthony 100% 95% 72% 35% 9% 1%
48 LEE Anton 100% 91% 60% 23% 5% -
49 HAN Keyi 100% 87% 49% 14% 1% -
50 NG Nico 100% 98% 85% 55% 22% 4% -
51 LEE Wyatt 100% 82% 44% 14% 2% - -
52 KIM Tae 100% 99% 86% 54% 20% 4% -
53 CAFASSO Alexander 100% 94% 69% 34% 10% 1% -
54 NALLICHERI Ayaan 100% 93% 66% 30% 8% 1% -
55 ZHAI Christopher 100% 87% 54% 20% 4% - -
56 MEHROTRA Neel 100% 98% 85% 53% 18% 3%
57 GU Eric 100% 46% 8% 1% - -
58 TESFAYE Elias 100% 94% 69% 32% 8% 1%
59 CRESPO Nathaniel Justus 100% 97% 82% 49% 17% 3% -
60 WANG Eason 100% 99% 94% 76% 43% 14% 2%
61 GUMEDELLI Mohnish 100% 94% 69% 34% 9% 1% -
62 EVANS George 100% 95% 68% 31% 8% 1% -
63 FENG Xinmin 100% 72% 28% 5% - -
64 LEE Kalvin 100% 78% 38% 11% 2% - -
65 EVANS Joseph 100% 84% 44% 12% 1% -
66 KAPLAN Maddox 100% 78% 37% 10% 1% -
67 HANNA Alexander 100% 51% 13% 2% - - -
68 LEVESQUE Gabriel 100% 95% 74% 39% 12% 2% -
69 TOWNSHEND Connor 100% 89% 56% 22% 5% 1% -
70 ROSIELLO Francesco 100% 79% 40% 12% 2% - -
71 KIM Zac 100% 68% 23% 4% - -
72 DESAI Jay 100% 88% 48% 14% 2% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.