Fortune ROC/RJCC/RYC

Div II Women's Épée

Saturday, August 31, 2024 at 8:30 AM

Ontario Convention Center - Hall A&B - Ontario, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 DAHER Yasmine 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 15%
2 KUKVA Taisiya 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 38%
3 HANKINS Morgan 100% 100% 99% 95% 80% 49% 15%
3 SCANLAN Claire 100% 99% 93% 71% 36% 9% 1%
5 XU Celina 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 28% 5%
6 GUAN Isabella 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 39% 10%
7 ZHUANG Lauren 100% 99% 91% 62% 24% 4% -
8 MITTMAN Lela Z. 100% 99% 87% 58% 25% 6% 1%
9 SHAHRIL Natalia 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 86% 38%
10 LEREE Fernanda 100% 100% 95% 78% 47% 17% 3%
11 KAUSHISH Sara 100% 99% 94% 74% 42% 14% 2%
12 PRIMES Amanda M. 100% 100% 99% 96% 80% 48% 14%
13 SALISTRA Emilia 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 37% 6%
14 REED Katya 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 8% 1%
15 DAVIS Julia 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 17%
16 SHARMA Sanvi 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 14%
17 KANE Chloe 100% 100% 97% 84% 55% 22% 4%
18 MING YUE 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 46%
19 LI Danchen 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 48%
20 GAGARING Genia 100% 95% 73% 36% 9% 1%
21 WELBORN Kathrina 100% 99% 91% 68% 35% 11% 1%
22 LI Yunxuan (Joy) 100% 97% 83% 53% 22% 5% -
23 CHANG Abigail 100% 97% 81% 52% 22% 5% 1%
24 MADRID Maureen 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 16% 1%
25 SUCHOSKI Annika 100% 100% 97% 84% 56% 23% 4%
26 HAU Olivia 100% 99% 90% 66% 33% 10% 1%
26 BENNETT Vienne 100% 97% 80% 46% 16% 3% -
28 KROTZ Gemma 100% 86% 51% 17% 3% -
29 SUN Karolyn 100% 94% 71% 34% 9% 1% -
30 CHAN Allison M. 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 21% 2%
31 LIN Isabel 100% 97% 77% 39% 11% 1% -
32 DAHER Nadia 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 25% 5%
33 HERNANDEZ-CHENG Isabel 100% 96% 79% 46% 17% 3% -
34 CHEN Jingyun 100% 100% 98% 87% 54% 14%
35 MOHEBI Neeka 100% 100% 95% 77% 42% 11% 1%
36 RALSTON Katherine 100% 97% 82% 52% 21% 5% -
37 JAMES Ashley 100% 99% 88% 59% 25% 5% -
38 HASIM Eurietta 100% 99% 89% 61% 27% 7% 1%
39 NOLLNER Jennifer R. 100% 98% 83% 52% 20% 4% -
40 LEE Valerie 100% 81% 39% 9% 1% - -
41 BLASKO Judit 100% 94% 72% 38% 13% 2% -
42 SPOHN Mary S. 100% 98% 86% 58% 25% 6% 1%
43 SCANLAN Alina Nev 100% 82% 44% 14% 2% - -
44 SALAZAR Emma 100% 72% 28% 5% - - -
45 BLAETZ Isadora 100% 94% 70% 32% 7% 1%
46 POON Desiree 100% 99% 92% 71% 39% 12% 2%
47 HONG Yuehua 100% 91% 60% 25% 6% 1% -
48 EGENOLF Gabriella 100% 92% 65% 31% 9% 1% -
49 MACARR Madalyn A. 100% 98% 88% 61% 28% 7% 1%
50 GURROLA Michal 100% 76% 36% 10% 2% - -
51 TAMIR Annika 100% 81% 43% 14% 3% - -
52 ZHAO Yanning 100% 87% 51% 17% 3% -
53 MARIKOS Christina 100% 72% 32% 8% 1% - -
54 ACE Amy 100% 94% 67% 30% 8% 1% -
55 SHETTY Nandita 100% 90% 59% 24% 6% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.