Neil Lazar RYC/RJCC

Cadet Men's Épée

Saturday, September 7, 2024 at 12:00 PM

NYA Sports and Fitness Center - Newtown, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SIYANKO Joshua 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 29%
2 AHMED Mohsen 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 13%
3 SANTOS Antonio K. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 27%
3 XIE Brandon 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 73% 28%
5 LIU Adam 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 27%
6 TRULL A.J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 63%
7 NORMILE Nicholas 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 19%
8 WONG Maximus 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 26% 4%
9 BRADSHAW Carter 100% 100% 95% 74% 36% 7%
10 XIA Dashan 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 19%
11 WANG justin 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 37%
12 KARIMOV Amir 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 44% 11%
13 RATUSHNYI Georgii 100% 100% 98% 90% 65% 29% 5%
14 WANG Tony 100% 100% 98% 83% 48% 12%
15 TSE Maxwell 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 23%
16 DOUBOV Andrew 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 29%
17 SANTOS Francisco M. 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 58% 17%
18 SONG Troy 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 49%
19 ORESKOVIC Olivier 100% 96% 76% 43% 15% 3% -
20 XI Benjamin 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 44% 10%
21 KIM Henry 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 22%
22 SINGLETON Aman 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 19% 2%
23 CUMMINGS Owen 100% 93% 68% 32% 9% 1% -
24 CHEN Jayden 100% 99% 94% 74% 42% 14% 2%
25 GLUSHKOV David 100% 97% 78% 40% 11% 1%
26 PAN Anthony 100% 98% 83% 52% 20% 4% -
27 OTTAVIANO Aaron 100% 81% 44% 15% 3% - -
27 ZHANG Dinghao 100% 100% 97% 85% 57% 23% 4%
29 ZHAI Junqi 100% 100% 95% 75% 38% 9% 1%
30 LI Jade 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 33% 5%
31 RIM Eugene 100% 99% 91% 68% 35% 10% 1%
32 RVACHEV Michael 100% 98% 82% 50% 19% 4% -
33 LIU Jeremiah W. 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 20% 2%
34 TESFAYE Elias 100% 99% 89% 61% 25% 5% -
35 LYCHKO Maksym 100% 98% 83% 50% 18% 3% -
36 CAFASSO Alexander 100% 97% 80% 46% 15% 2% -
37 BAJAJ Nakul 100% 100% 96% 77% 39% 9%
38 HELMY Richard 100% 99% 90% 60% 23% 4%
39 NALLICHERI Ayaan 100% 94% 63% 25% 5% -
40 KELLEY Hayden 100% 99% 89% 60% 24% 4% -
41 RADZIKOWSKI Sam 100% 100% 94% 74% 38% 10% 1%
42 ZOGRAFOS Nicholas 100% 99% 88% 62% 29% 8% 1%
42 TRAN Spencer 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 29% 6%
42 NUTOVYCH David 100% 100% 97% 81% 47% 15% 1%
45 ROSIELLO Francesco 100% 69% 27% 5% 1% - -
46 FEINBERG James Y. 100% 100% 93% 67% 29% 6% -
47 GAO Victor 100% 99% 91% 66% 32% 9% 1%
48 ALAM Rajan 100% 98% 82% 48% 16% 3% -
49 YAMAGUCHI Yuzuki 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 21% 3%
50 WANG-SONG Evan 100% 99% 88% 57% 22% 4% -
51 FOGEL Jake 100% 52% 13% 2% - -
52 WOLFORD Benjamin 100% 74% 30% 6% 1% -
53 GIMBRERE Alexandre 100% 81% 41% 12% 2% - -
54 MOSKOWITZ Martin 100% 98% 84% 53% 20% 4% -
55 CHEN Edward 100% 98% 70% 30% 7% 1% -
56 SONG Ryan 100% 81% 43% 13% 2% - -
57 LI Ray 100% 96% 78% 44% 14% 2% -
58 AU Joshua 100% 70% 28% 6% 1% - -
59 OCONNOR Paul 100% 58% 18% 3% - - -
60 SZCZAPA Lukas 100% 100% 90% 60% 23% 4% -
61 MCMILLAN Jackson V. 100% 100% 94% 74% 38% 9% 1%
62 NOOL Alexander 100% 95% 73% 38% 11% 2% -
63 SUBRAMANIAM Sahil 100% 96% 75% 38% 10% 1% -
64 SUN Lucas 100% 99% 87% 55% 20% 3%
65 ZHANG Jonathan 100% 90% 59% 24% 5% 1% -
66 KABA Elias 100% 97% 81% 48% 17% 3% -
66 GU Eric 100% 87% 50% 16% 3% - -
68 SMALL Brayden 100% 90% 57% 20% 4% - -
69 SHAPIRO Natan 100% 84% 47% 15% 3% - -
70 HANNA Alexander 100% 70% 28% 6% 1% - -
71 OSHIMA Robert 100% 80% 37% 9% 1% -
72 SONG Changze 100% 99% 93% 73% 40% 13% 2%
73 URBAN Leo 100% 17% 1% - - - -
74 CARDELLA Gavin 100% 86% 48% 15% 2% - -
75 HUEMMER James 100% 97% 78% 41% 10% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.