Neil Lazar RYC/RJCC

Y-14 Men's Épée

Sunday, September 8, 2024 at 8:00 AM

NYA Sports and Fitness Center - Newtown, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHEN Jayden - - - 1% 7% 33% 59%
2 AHMED Mohsen - - - 2% 14% 40% 44%
3 KIM Henry - - - 1% 6% 32% 61%
3 TRAN Spencer - - - 2% 11% 39% 48%
5 KABA Elias - - 1% 8% 33% 50% 8%
6 CAFASSO Alexander 1% 10% 29% 36% 20% 4%
7 LIU Adam - - - - 2% 22% 76%
8 SINGLETON Aman - - 1% 6% 24% 42% 27%
9 YAMAGUCHI Yuzuki - - 2% 14% 38% 39% 7%
10 CHEN Edward - 2% 17% 37% 32% 11% 1%
11 SZCZAPA Lukas - 1% 6% 20% 36% 30% 7%
12 GU Eric 1% 7% 27% 39% 22% 4% -
13 ZHAI Junqi - 3% 17% 36% 33% 11%
14 NG Nico - 1% 8% 26% 38% 24% 3%
15 HENNESSY Levon - 2% 15% 35% 33% 13% 2%
16 CHEN Daniel - 5% 19% 35% 30% 10% 1%
17 TESFAYE Elias - - 4% 21% 46% 28%
18 LYCHKO Maksym - - 3% 15% 35% 36% 10%
19 WANG-SONG Evan - - 4% 21% 46% 29%
20 SONG Aidan - 1% 9% 28% 41% 21%
21 ZHANG Jonathan - 5% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2%
22 HOLCOMB Liam - 2% 11% 29% 36% 19% 2%
23 MANSFIELD Hunter - 3% 23% 40% 26% 7% 1%
24 SOLARZ Arthur - 2% 11% 31% 39% 17%
25 PARIGIAN Alexander 3% 17% 34% 31% 13% 2%
26 WEISELBERG Mark 1% 9% 28% 35% 21% 6% 1%
27 WANG Marcus 1% 10% 31% 37% 18% 3% -
28 KHERSONSKY Robert 1% 9% 25% 35% 23% 7% 1%
29 WHITE Jackson 8% 27% 35% 22% 7% 1% -
30 BRESLAV Asher 10% 34% 35% 17% 4% - -
31 WITHERELL Logan 3% 19% 36% 30% 11% 1%
32 NOOL Aaron 2% 11% 29% 35% 19% 4% -
33 YU David 1% 8% 25% 36% 24% 7% -
34 LIN Junyi - - - 4% 18% 41% 36%
35 FOGEL Jake 1% 5% 19% 34% 30% 11% 1%
36 HELMY Richard - - 3% 13% 33% 37% 14%
37 DAI Jason 6% 25% 37% 25% 7% 1%
38 CHO Adrian 6% 28% 41% 21% 4% -
39 NOOL Alexander 1% 6% 21% 35% 28% 10% 1%
40 SMITH Theo 3% 16% 32% 32% 15% 3% -
41 LAI Jayden 4% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2% -
42 OPERT Emmett - 4% 17% 34% 32% 12%
43 CHIANG William 1% 8% 29% 41% 19% 3%
44 FRIZZELL Kai 4% 22% 37% 27% 9% 1%
45 ARMSTRONG Payson 2% 16% 34% 32% 14% 2%
46 MAZEL Antonin 12% 35% 35% 15% 3% - -
46 LEE Ryan 9% 29% 36% 20% 5% 1% -
48 ROBINSON Garrett 1% 11% 30% 35% 19% 4% -
49 HANNA Alexander 8% 28% 36% 21% 6% 1% -
49 LAW Oliver 12% 33% 35% 17% 4% - -
51 BHANDARE Veer 13% 35% 33% 15% 3% - -
52 ZHENG Jason 9% 29% 36% 20% 5% 1% -
53 MA Brendon 1% 9% 26% 35% 23% 6% -
54 SHAO Mason 1% 9% 29% 38% 20% 3% -
55 HUEMMER James 44% 40% 14% 2% - -
56 LANE Sawyer 25% 41% 25% 7% 1% -
57 RICHARDSON Matthew 20% 43% 29% 7% 1% -
58 AU Joshua 12% 33% 34% 16% 4% - -
59 HONG Ethen 6% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1% -
60 NABI Mikhail 33% 42% 20% 5% 1% - -
61 WELCH Sebastian 41% 41% 15% 2% - - -
62 SHI Evan 28% 51% 18% 3% - - -
63 KIM Louie 44% 44% 10% 1% - - -
64 ROBINSON Blake 27% 44% 24% 5% - -
65 CIANCHETTA David 11% 38% 35% 13% 2% - -
66 ZHENG Jasper 12% 32% 34% 17% 4% - -
67 DALY Liam < 1% 13% 34% 33% 16% 3% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.