Neil Lazar RYC/RJCC

Y-14 Men's Épée

Sunday, September 8, 2024 at 8:00 AM

NYA Sports and Fitness Center - Newtown, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHEN Jayden 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 59%
2 AHMED Mohsen 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 44%
3 KIM Henry 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 61%
3 TRAN Spencer 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 48%
5 KABA Elias 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 58% 8%
6 CAFASSO Alexander 100% 99% 89% 61% 25% 4%
7 LIU Adam 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 76%
8 SINGLETON Aman 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 27%
9 YAMAGUCHI Yuzuki 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 46% 7%
10 CHEN Edward 100% 100% 98% 81% 44% 12% 1%
11 SZCZAPA Lukas 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 37% 7%
12 GU Eric 100% 99% 92% 65% 26% 4% -
13 ZHAI Junqi 100% 100% 97% 80% 44% 11%
14 NG Nico 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 27% 3%
15 HENNESSY Levon 100% 100% 98% 83% 48% 15% 2%
16 CHEN Daniel 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 11% 1%
17 TESFAYE Elias 100% 100% 100% 96% 74% 28%
18 LYCHKO Maksym 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 46% 10%
19 WANG-SONG Evan 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 29%
20 SONG Aidan 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 21%
21 ZHANG Jonathan 100% 100% 95% 77% 43% 13% 2%
22 HOLCOMB Liam 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 21% 2%
23 MANSFIELD Hunter 100% 100% 96% 73% 34% 7% 1%
24 SOLARZ Arthur 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 17%
25 PARIGIAN Alexander 100% 97% 81% 46% 15% 2%
26 WEISELBERG Mark 100% 99% 90% 62% 27% 6% 1%
27 WANG Marcus 100% 99% 89% 58% 21% 3% -
28 KHERSONSKY Robert 100% 99% 90% 65% 30% 7% 1%
29 WHITE Jackson 100% 92% 65% 29% 7% 1% -
30 BRESLAV Asher 100% 90% 56% 21% 4% - -
31 WITHERELL Logan 100% 97% 78% 42% 12% 1%
32 NOOL Aaron 100% 98% 87% 58% 24% 5% -
33 YU David 100% 99% 92% 67% 31% 7% -
34 LIN Junyi 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 36%
35 FOGEL Jake 100% 99% 95% 76% 42% 12% 1%
36 HELMY Richard 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 14%
37 DAI Jason 100% 94% 70% 32% 8% 1%
38 CHO Adrian 100% 94% 66% 25% 4% -
39 NOOL Alexander 100% 99% 94% 73% 38% 11% 1%
40 SMITH Theo 100% 97% 82% 49% 18% 3% -
41 LAI Jayden 100% 96% 78% 44% 14% 2% -
42 OPERT Emmett 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 12%
43 CHIANG William 100% 99% 91% 62% 21% 3%
44 FRIZZELL Kai 100% 96% 74% 37% 10% 1%
45 ARMSTRONG Payson 100% 98% 82% 48% 16% 2%
46 MAZEL Antonin 100% 88% 53% 18% 3% - -
46 LEE Ryan 100% 91% 62% 26% 6% 1% -
48 ROBINSON Garrett 100% 99% 88% 58% 23% 4% -
49 HANNA Alexander 100% 92% 64% 28% 7% 1% -
49 LAW Oliver 100% 88% 56% 21% 4% - -
51 BHANDARE Veer 100% 87% 52% 18% 3% - -
52 ZHENG Jason 100% 91% 62% 26% 6% 1% -
53 MA Brendon 100% 99% 90% 64% 29% 6% -
54 SHAO Mason 100% 99% 90% 62% 24% 3% -
55 HUEMMER James 100% 56% 16% 2% - -
56 LANE Sawyer 100% 75% 33% 8% 1% -
57 RICHARDSON Matthew 100% 80% 37% 8% 1% -
58 AU Joshua 100% 88% 54% 21% 4% - -
59 HONG Ethen 100% 94% 70% 34% 9% 1% -
60 NABI Mikhail 100% 67% 25% 5% 1% - -
61 WELCH Sebastian 100% 59% 18% 3% - - -
62 SHI Evan 100% 72% 21% 3% - - -
63 KIM Louie 100% 56% 11% 1% - - -
64 ROBINSON Blake 100% 73% 29% 5% - -
65 CIANCHETTA David 100% 89% 51% 15% 2% - -
66 ZHENG Jasper 100% 88% 56% 22% 5% - -
67 DALY Liam 100% 100% 86% 53% 19% 4% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.