Premier Challenge ROC/RJCC/RPC

Div I-A Men's Foil

Saturday, September 14, 2024 at 8:00 AM

Rockland Community College, Eugene Levy Field House - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MOHAMED Amir - - - 2% 15% 44% 39%
2 DOBBINS Evan W. - - 1% 10% 38% 51%
3 TRAUGOT Owen G. - - - 1% 12% 40% 46%
3 LEE Aidan - - - 2% 14% 41% 43%
5 LEE Brendan - - 1% 8% 26% 41% 24%
6 TAN Aidan 100%
7 XU Ethan - 2% 16% 37% 32% 11% 1%
8 WANG Brian - 2% 13% 33% 35% 15% 2%
9 TANG Albert - - 1% 5% 23% 44% 27%
10 YAO Bradley - - 3% 14% 31% 35% 16%
11 TAHOUN Mostafa - - 3% 15% 36% 37% 8%
12 KAPOOR Aayan - 2% 12% 32% 36% 16% 2%
13 LOVE Aaron - - - 2% 13% 40% 45%
14 SUN Ryan - 7% 26% 37% 23% 6% -
15 ZOBEL Eric H. - - - 4% 24% 49% 22%
16 BLACK Zachary 5% 26% 43% 22% 4% - -
17 LEE Jonah - - 1% 6% 23% 42% 28%
18 CHEN Kyle P. 100%
19 AKYAMAC Bora - - 4% 19% 37% 32% 8%
20 XIE Buster - 2% 9% 26% 36% 22% 4%
21 GRIFFITH MCALLISTER Thomas - 1% 7% 23% 37% 26% 6%
22 SURESH Rohan 1% 9% 26% 35% 22% 6% 1%
23 KLOTZ Isaiah - - 1% 6% 27% 46% 20%
24 VASILIEV Sacha M. - - - 1% 11% 43% 45%
25 CHEN Ethan - 1% 11% 33% 39% 15% 2%
26 SHENG Dalton - 3% 20% 42% 29% 6% -
27 FENG Michael - 1% 9% 25% 36% 24% 6%
28 ZAIDI Adil 100%
29 ORLOV Dmitriy 1% 8% 24% 34% 24% 8% 1%
30 MAK Collin Chun Shing 1% 5% 20% 34% 28% 11% 1%
31 GAO Payton 1% 10% 32% 37% 17% 2%
32 TJON Calum 1% 13% 34% 34% 15% 3% -
33 LI Aaron - 1% 10% 33% 40% 15% 1%
34 DOCTOR Aidan L. - - 1% 7% 27% 43% 22%
35 ARCE Andrew W. 4% 18% 33% 29% 13% 3% -
36 AUGUSTINE Aaron A. - - 1% 6% 22% 42% 29%
37 LI Ayren 4% 20% 35% 28% 11% 2% -
38 LEVY Jacob - 1% 9% 25% 36% 24% 5%
38 WANG Rory - 1% 7% 23% 37% 26% 6%
40 NIECHWADOWICZ Michael 10% 33% 36% 17% 4% - -
41 VISHAWADIA Jaimin - 4% 23% 41% 26% 6% -
42 TIKHAEV Alexander - - 3% 16% 37% 35% 9%
43 ZHAO Brian 19% 43% 29% 8% 1% -
44 KONG Luculentus X. 1% 5% 19% 34% 29% 11% 1%
45 GUTH Joseph - 1% 7% 21% 35% 28% 8%
46 ABRAMSOHN Seth 100%
46 YIN Zixin(Gavin) 5% 24% 37% 25% 8% 1% -
48 SHIN Noah 14% 35% 33% 14% 3% - -
49 SEIB-LEVINSON Conrad 15% 36% 32% 13% 3% - -
50 YAP Nathan 1% 11% 32% 37% 17% 2%
51 ABDELGAWAD Abdelrahman - 5% 23% 40% 26% 5%
52 MARTIN Mason 5% 22% 36% 26% 9% 1% -
53 SHANNON Jack 6% 24% 34% 24% 9% 2% -
54 WU Dawei - 4% 15% 30% 31% 16% 3%
55 LEE Eugene 2% 11% 30% 35% 18% 4% -
56 KALIPERSAD Neil A. 2% 13% 37% 34% 13% 2% -
56 GUO Justin - 2% 9% 26% 36% 22% 5%
58 MILLER Dillon 2% 16% 35% 32% 13% 2% -
59 POLONI Giovanni 5% 23% 36% 26% 9% 2% -
60 YANG Dylan 100%
61 BAI Austin 21% 46% 27% 6% - - -
62 ZHANG GAVIN J 3% 27% 40% 23% 6% 1% -
63 CHO Xzander 5% 22% 36% 26% 9% 2% -
64 LIOU Solomon 34% 44% 18% 3% - - -
65 SUN Henry 30% 44% 21% 5% - -
66 BAI Brian 100%
67 JURMAN Therin - 16% 42% 32% 9% 1% -
68 PLASTARAS Trey 1% 6% 22% 37% 27% 7% -
69 WOOD Graeme 10% 30% 35% 19% 5% 1% -
70 MURPHY Damian J. 1% 34% 43% 19% 3% - -
71 POWELL Sean 24% 48% 23% 4% - - -
72 ARANA Massimo 4% 20% 35% 28% 11% 2% -
73 CHA James 32% 42% 21% 5% 1% - -
74 TAM Kyle 22% 43% 27% 7% 1% - -
74 WEST Nathaniel 34% 45% 18% 3% - - -
76 CHUN Zachary 68% 27% 4% - - - -
77 AMRANI David 16% 36% 31% 13% 3% - -
78 TOBAR David 6% 25% 37% 24% 8% 1% -
79 ROSSEN Michael 1% 9% 27% 36% 21% 6% 1%
80 TANG xianchi 100%
80 CHUN Alexander 94% 6% - - - - -
82 SANTIAGO Elias 13% 34% 34% 15% 3% - -
83 MORA Jaime 11% 37% 36% 14% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.