Premier Challenge ROC/RJCC/RPC

Div I-A Men's Foil

Saturday, September 14, 2024 at 8:00 AM

Rockland Community College, Eugene Levy Field House - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MOHAMED Amir 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 39%
2 DOBBINS Evan W. 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 51%
3 TRAUGOT Owen G. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 46%
3 LEE Aidan 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 43%
5 LEE Brendan 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 24%
6 TAN Aidan 100%
7 XU Ethan 100% 100% 98% 81% 44% 12% 1%
8 WANG Brian 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 16% 2%
9 TANG Albert 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 27%
10 YAO Bradley 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 51% 16%
11 TAHOUN Mostafa 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 45% 8%
12 KAPOOR Aayan 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 18% 2%
13 LOVE Aaron 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 45%
14 SUN Ryan 100% 100% 93% 67% 30% 6% -
15 ZOBEL Eric H. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 71% 22%
16 BLACK Zachary 100% 95% 69% 27% 4% - -
17 LEE Jonah 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 28%
18 CHEN Kyle P. 100%
19 AKYAMAC Bora 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 39% 8%
20 XIE Buster 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 27% 4%
21 GRIFFITH MCALLISTER Thomas 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 32% 6%
22 SURESH Rohan 100% 99% 91% 64% 29% 7% 1%
23 KLOTZ Isaiah 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 66% 20%
24 VASILIEV Sacha M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 45%
25 CHEN Ethan 100% 100% 99% 88% 55% 17% 2%
26 SHENG Dalton 100% 100% 96% 77% 35% 6% -
27 FENG Michael 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 29% 6%
28 ZAIDI Adil 100%
29 ORLOV Dmitriy 100% 99% 91% 66% 33% 9% 1%
30 MAK Collin Chun Shing 100% 99% 94% 74% 40% 12% 1%
31 GAO Payton 100% 99% 88% 57% 19% 2%
32 TJON Calum 100% 99% 86% 52% 18% 3% -
33 LI Aaron 100% 100% 99% 89% 56% 16% 1%
34 DOCTOR Aidan L. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 22%
35 ARCE Andrew W. 100% 96% 79% 45% 16% 3% -
36 AUGUSTINE Aaron A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 29%
37 LI Ayren 100% 96% 75% 40% 12% 2% -
38 LEVY Jacob 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 29% 5%
38 WANG Rory 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 32% 6%
40 NIECHWADOWICZ Michael 100% 90% 57% 21% 4% - -
41 VISHAWADIA Jaimin 100% 100% 96% 73% 33% 7% -
42 TIKHAEV Alexander 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 45% 9%
43 ZHAO Brian 100% 81% 38% 9% 1% -
44 KONG Luculentus X. 100% 99% 94% 75% 41% 12% 1%
45 GUTH Joseph 100% 100% 99% 92% 71% 36% 8%
46 ABRAMSOHN Seth 100%
46 YIN Zixin(Gavin) 100% 95% 71% 34% 9% 1% -
48 SHIN Noah 100% 86% 51% 18% 4% - -
49 SEIB-LEVINSON Conrad 100% 85% 48% 16% 3% - -
50 YAP Nathan 100% 99% 88% 57% 19% 2%
51 ABDELGAWAD Abdelrahman 100% 100% 94% 71% 31% 5%
52 MARTIN Mason 100% 95% 73% 37% 11% 2% -
53 SHANNON Jack 100% 94% 70% 35% 11% 2% -
54 WU Dawei 100% 100% 96% 80% 50% 19% 3%
55 LEE Eugene 100% 98% 87% 57% 22% 4% -
56 KALIPERSAD Neil A. 100% 98% 85% 49% 15% 2% -
56 GUO Justin 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 27% 5%
58 MILLER Dillon 100% 98% 82% 47% 15% 2% -
59 POLONI Giovanni 100% 95% 73% 37% 11% 2% -
60 YANG Dylan 100%
61 BAI Austin 100% 79% 33% 6% - - -
62 ZHANG GAVIN J 100% 97% 70% 30% 7% 1% -
63 CHO Xzander 100% 95% 73% 37% 11% 2% -
64 LIOU Solomon 100% 66% 22% 3% - - -
65 SUN Henry 100% 70% 26% 5% - -
66 BAI Brian 100%
67 JURMAN Therin 100% 100% 83% 42% 10% 1% -
68 PLASTARAS Trey 100% 99% 94% 72% 35% 8% -
69 WOOD Graeme 100% 90% 60% 25% 6% 1% -
70 MURPHY Damian J. 100% 99% 65% 22% 3% - -
71 POWELL Sean 100% 76% 28% 5% - - -
72 ARANA Massimo 100% 96% 76% 41% 13% 2% -
73 CHA James 100% 68% 26% 6% 1% - -
74 TAM Kyle 100% 78% 35% 8% 1% - -
74 WEST Nathaniel 100% 66% 21% 3% - - -
76 CHUN Zachary 100% 32% 4% - - - -
77 AMRANI David 100% 84% 48% 17% 3% - -
78 TOBAR David 100% 94% 69% 33% 9% 1% -
79 ROSSEN Michael 100% 99% 90% 63% 27% 6% 1%
80 TANG xianchi 100%
80 CHUN Alexander 100% 6% - - - - -
82 SANTIAGO Elias 100% 87% 52% 19% 4% - -
83 MORA Jaime 100% 89% 52% 16% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.