Premier Challenge ROC/RJCC/RPC

Div II Men's Épée

Saturday, September 14, 2024 at 2:00 PM

Rockland Community College, Eugene Levy Field House - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 DUKO Phillip 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 54% 15%
2 ANDERSON Riley 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 35%
3 XIE Brandon 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 31%
3 RIM Eugene 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 22% 3%
5 MCDONNELL Nathaniel 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 39% 9%
6 BORATGIS Christopher J. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 56% 13%
7 CHEN Edward 100% 99% 87% 56% 22% 4% -
8 SONG Changze 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 28% 5%
9 NABAVI Matthew R. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 45%
10 JENNINGS Adin 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 32%
11 HOWELL Liam 100% 100% 90% 58% 22% 4% -
12 ANAFI Ari 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 13%
13 YU Samuel 100% 100% 98% 86% 58% 24% 4%
14 SOLARZ Arthur 100% 98% 84% 54% 22% 5% -
15 NGO-D'ANDRE Nicolas 100% 100% 99% 93% 74% 39% 9%
16 PAUL Max A. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 20%
17 NILSEN Mark 100% 90% 60% 27% 7% 1% -
18 CHEN YiHeng 100% 99% 88% 57% 20% 3%
19 SOLBERG Aiden 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 21%
20 TOMASZEWSKI Joshua 100% 100% 97% 80% 43% 11% 1%
21 CHU Brandon A. 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 23%
22 CAFASSO Martin 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 35% 8%
23 SNYDER Michael T. 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 19%
24 RVACHEV Michael 100% 99% 90% 67% 34% 10% 1%
25 NG Nico 100% 98% 80% 45% 14% 2% -
26 SMITH Troy H. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 30%
27 LEE Anton 100% 99% 89% 64% 31% 9% 1%
28 O'HARROW Tristan C. 100% 100% 95% 73% 36% 8%
29 GU Eric 100% 89% 57% 22% 4% - -
30 MORI Seneca 100% 87% 50% 14% 2% - -
31 WHEELER Jackson 100% 89% 52% 15% 2% - -
32 NOOL Alexander 100% 94% 70% 35% 10% 2% -
33 WANG-SONG Evan 100% 99% 89% 63% 29% 8% 1%
34 LIU Jeremiah W. 100% 100% 95% 79% 48% 17% 2%
35 LEE Wyatt 100% 98% 85% 51% 18% 3% -
36 MILINKOVIC Maksim 100% 99% 89% 61% 26% 5% -
37 DOWD Peter L. 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 24% 4%
38 XIE Andrew J. 100% 99% 95% 77% 46% 16% 2%
39 TESFAYE Elias 100% 82% 40% 11% 1% -
40 CUMMINGS Owen 100% 99% 89% 60% 23% 3% -
41 HELMY Richard 100% 99% 94% 75% 43% 14% 2%
42 DAGLI Sai 100% 96% 78% 43% 13% 1% -
43 SAWASDIKOSOL Sansana 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 45% 13%
44 LIN Yufei 100% 88% 56% 23% 6% 1% -
45 LI Ryan 100% 90% 57% 20% 4% - -
46 KIRSCH Adam J. 100% 72% 29% 6% 1% -
47 ALEXANDER Christopher 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 19% 3%
48 ZANELLI Ben 100% 98% 87% 60% 27% 7% 1%
49 SUN Lucas 100% 93% 69% 34% 10% 2% -
50 YU David 100% 92% 63% 26% 5% - -
51 LEE Henry 100% 98% 68% 28% 6% 1% -
52 FREY Wayne N. 100% 100% 95% 75% 37% 8%
53 SCHAUER Oliver 100% 93% 67% 32% 10% 2% -
54 LIN Junyi 100% 99% 92% 66% 30% 7% 1%
55 HENNESSY Levon 100% 71% 26% 5% - - -
55 BELCHAMBER Eric 100% 95% 73% 39% 12% 2% -
57 KIM Samuel 100% 75% 35% 10% 2% - -
58 LAW Oliver 100% 65% 23% 4% - - -
59 LEE Kevin 100% 98% 84% 50% 16% 3% -
60 CHANG Ian 100% 92% 64% 27% 5% - -
61 LONADIER Robert 100% 47% 11% 1% - - -
62 WELCH Sebastian 100% 14% 1% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.