Premier Challenge ROC/RJCC/RPC

Div II Men's Épée

Saturday, September 14, 2024 at 2:00 PM

Rockland Community College, Eugene Levy Field House - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 DUKO Phillip - - 2% 11% 33% 39% 15%
2 ANDERSON Riley - - - 4% 18% 43% 35%
3 XIE Brandon - - - 4% 21% 43% 31%
3 RIM Eugene - 2% 11% 30% 35% 18% 3%
5 MCDONNELL Nathaniel - - 4% 20% 37% 30% 9%
6 BORATGIS Christopher J. - - - 7% 36% 43% 13%
7 CHEN Edward 1% 12% 31% 35% 18% 4% -
8 SONG Changze - 1% 8% 26% 37% 23% 5%
9 NABAVI Matthew R. - - - 1% 9% 45% 45%
10 JENNINGS Adin - - - 2% 15% 51% 32%
11 HOWELL Liam - 10% 32% 36% 18% 4% -
12 ANAFI Ari - - 2% 12% 33% 39% 13%
13 YU Samuel - 2% 12% 28% 34% 20% 4%
14 SOLARZ Arthur 2% 14% 30% 32% 17% 4% -
15 NGO-D'ANDRE Nicolas - 1% 6% 20% 35% 30% 9%
16 PAUL Max A. - - 2% 11% 28% 38% 20%
17 NILSEN Mark 10% 29% 34% 20% 6% 1% -
18 CHEN YiHeng 1% 11% 31% 37% 18% 3%
19 SOLBERG Aiden - - 1% 7% 28% 43% 21%
20 TOMASZEWSKI Joshua - 3% 17% 37% 32% 10% 1%
21 CHU Brandon A. - - 2% 10% 27% 39% 23%
22 CAFASSO Martin - 1% 7% 22% 35% 27% 8%
23 SNYDER Michael T. - 1% 10% 30% 40% 19%
24 RVACHEV Michael 1% 8% 24% 33% 24% 8% 1%
25 NG Nico 2% 18% 35% 30% 12% 2% -
26 SMITH Troy H. - - 1% 5% 22% 42% 30%
27 LEE Anton 1% 10% 25% 33% 23% 8% 1%
28 O'HARROW Tristan C. - 5% 21% 37% 28% 8%
29 GU Eric 11% 32% 36% 18% 4% - -
30 MORI Seneca 13% 38% 35% 12% 2% - -
31 WHEELER Jackson 11% 37% 38% 13% 2% - -
32 NOOL Alexander 6% 24% 35% 24% 9% 2% -
33 WANG-SONG Evan 1% 10% 26% 34% 22% 7% 1%
34 LIU Jeremiah W. - 4% 16% 31% 31% 14% 2%
35 LEE Wyatt 2% 14% 33% 34% 15% 3% -
36 MILINKOVIC Maksim 1% 10% 28% 36% 20% 5% -
37 DOWD Peter L. - 1% 9% 28% 38% 21% 4%
38 XIE Andrew J. 1% 5% 18% 31% 30% 14% 2%
39 TESFAYE Elias 18% 41% 29% 9% 1% -
40 CUMMINGS Owen 1% 10% 29% 37% 20% 3% -
41 HELMY Richard 1% 6% 19% 32% 28% 12% 2%
42 DAGLI Sai 4% 18% 35% 30% 11% 1% -
43 SAWASDIKOSOL Sansana - 1% 4% 17% 33% 33% 13%
44 LIN Yufei 12% 32% 33% 17% 5% 1% -
45 LI Ryan 10% 34% 36% 17% 3% - -
46 KIRSCH Adam J. 28% 43% 23% 5% 1% -
47 ALEXANDER Christopher - 2% 13% 31% 34% 17% 3%
48 ZANELLI Ben 2% 11% 27% 33% 20% 6% 1%
49 SUN Lucas 7% 25% 34% 24% 9% 2% -
50 YU David 8% 29% 37% 21% 5% - -
51 LEE Henry 2% 30% 40% 22% 6% 1% -
52 FREY Wayne N. - 4% 20% 38% 29% 8%
53 SCHAUER Oliver 7% 26% 34% 23% 8% 1% -
54 LIN Junyi 1% 8% 26% 36% 23% 6% 1%
55 HENNESSY Levon 29% 44% 22% 4% - - -
55 BELCHAMBER Eric 5% 22% 35% 27% 10% 2% -
57 KIM Samuel 25% 40% 26% 8% 1% - -
58 LAW Oliver 35% 43% 19% 4% - - -
59 LEE Kevin 2% 14% 34% 33% 14% 2% -
60 CHANG Ian 8% 28% 37% 21% 5% - -
61 LONADIER Robert 53% 36% 9% 1% - - -
62 WELCH Sebastian 86% 14% 1% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.