Premier Challenge ROC/RJCC/RPC

Junior Men's Foil

Sunday, September 15, 2024 at 10:30 AM

Rockland Community College, Eugene Levy Field House - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 XU Andy P. - - < 1% 4% 19% 43% 34%
2 CHEN Kyle P. - 1% 8% 30% 42% 19%
3 ELWOOD Sebastian F. - - - - 4% 29% 67%
3 HOOSHI Jayden C. - - - - - 8% 92%
5 LI Bradley - - 1% 7% 25% 42% 25%
6 TANG Alexander L. - - 2% 15% 41% 37% 6%
7 TAHOUN Mostafa - - 2% 12% 33% 38% 15%
8 JURMAN Therin 3% 16% 31% 30% 15% 4% -
9 YAP Nathan - 2% 10% 25% 34% 23% 6%
10 TANG Albert - - - 1% 10% 38% 51%
11 ORLOV Dmitriy - 2% 11% 29% 35% 18% 3%
11 SIMONOV Timofey - 1% 7% 25% 39% 24% 4%
13 LEE Jonah - - - 3% 16% 42% 38%
14 CHO Jadon Yushin - - 1% 7% 29% 43% 20%
15 TANG August L. - - 1% 6% 26% 43% 24%
15 SONG Noel - - 4% 18% 37% 32% 10%
17 LI Matthew - - - - 2% 22% 76%
18 XIE Buster - 1% 9% 25% 35% 24% 6%
19 LEE Eugene - 1% 6% 24% 39% 26% 5%
20 LI Ayren - - 4% 19% 37% 31% 8%
21 LYNCH Owen C. - - 3% 19% 41% 32% 4%
22 GRIFFITH MCALLISTER Thomas - 1% 8% 24% 35% 25% 7%
23 JIMENEZ Naveen - 1% 7% 25% 39% 24% 4%
24 YAO Bradley - 1% 6% 26% 43% 24%
25 TJON Calum - 1% 10% 33% 40% 16% 1%
26 SHENG Dalton - 1% 5% 18% 33% 32% 12%
27 GUTH Joseph - 1% 5% 17% 33% 32% 12%
28 GHEDINI Luca - 2% 17% 42% 32% 8%
29 TAN Aidan - - 5% 25% 45% 25%
30 PLASTARAS Trey - 6% 24% 40% 24% 6% -
31 WONG Jacob W. - 7% 28% 38% 21% 5% -
32 BELCHAMBER Mason 4% 19% 34% 29% 12% 2% -
33 ZENG Rick - 3% 13% 32% 35% 15% 2%
34 GUO Justin - 1% 5% 18% 33% 32% 12%
35 CHEN Ethan - 1% 8% 29% 39% 20% 4%
36 BAI Austin 5% 25% 37% 25% 8% 1% -
37 LI Aaron - - 1% 9% 30% 41% 18%
38 BLACK Zachary 3% 20% 39% 28% 8% 1% -
39 DOCTOR Aidan L. - - 5% 26% 45% 23%
40 GAO Payton - - 4% 20% 43% 29% 4%
41 MILLER Dillon 4% 18% 32% 29% 14% 3% -
42 CHENG Ethan - - 2% 10% 30% 40% 18%
43 AKYAMAC Bora - - 2% 10% 29% 40% 19%
44 SURESH Rohan - 3% 14% 32% 35% 16% -
45 LU Jingyi 2% 11% 30% 34% 18% 4% -
46 MAK Collin Chun Shing - 1% 10% 32% 37% 17% 3%
47 HUANG Holmes (Shengheng) 1% 6% 20% 32% 27% 11% 2%
48 BAI Brian - 5% 19% 33% 29% 12% 2%
49 POLONI Giovanni 1% 9% 25% 35% 23% 6% -
50 SUN Ryan 1% 6% 22% 35% 27% 9% 1%
50 PEDERSEN Charles 15% 37% 32% 13% 3% - -
52 YIN Zixin(Gavin) - 8% 31% 38% 19% 4% -
53 XU Dinghui Ryan 25% 50% 21% 3% - -
54 HUANG Eythan - 1% 5% 19% 34% 31% 11%
55 BLEIL Tyler 1% 9% 26% 35% 22% 6% 1%
56 CHANDRAMOHAN Aran 19% 38% 30% 11% 2% - -
57 JIN Andy 8% 34% 40% 15% 2% - -
58 KENNEDY christo - 6% 27% 39% 23% 5% -
59 TANG Terry 1% 8% 24% 34% 24% 8% 1%
60 KONG Luculentus X. - 3% 13% 29% 32% 18% 4%
61 SENANI arjun 2% 13% 32% 34% 16% 3% -
62 CHO Xzander 2% 13% 31% 33% 17% 4% -
63 ZAPPALA Nikolai 4% 23% 40% 27% 7% 1% -
64 TAM Kyle 24% 42% 26% 7% 1% - -
65 LEE Charles T - 5% 24% 38% 25% 7% 1%
66 SHANNON Jack 4% 17% 32% 29% 14% 3% -
67 ZHANG GAVIN J 3% 17% 34% 31% 13% 2% -
68 LIM Charlie 2% 14% 31% 33% 16% 3% -
69 CHA James 18% 39% 30% 10% 2% - -
70 WOOD Graeme 2% 12% 28% 32% 20% 6% 1%
71 LEVY Jacob - 5% 22% 40% 27% 6%
72 VISHAWADIA Jaimin 2% 16% 44% 30% 8% 1%
73 SUN Henry 22% 43% 27% 7% 1% -
74 HOLLIS Sean - 3% 24% 42% 26% 5% -
75 HUANG Chenghan 7% 31% 39% 19% 3% - -
76 TIKHAEV Alexander - - 2% 11% 31% 40% 16%
77 CHOI Benjamin 2% 13% 31% 33% 16% 4% -
78 POWELL Sean 15% 37% 32% 12% 2% - -
79 LI Evan 17% 59% 21% 3% - - -
80 ZHUANG Chuanxuan 16% 36% 31% 14% 3% - -
81 MATTOS Luis Felipe 4% 18% 32% 29% 13% 3% -
81 GORLOVITZKI Amitai 14% 36% 33% 14% 3% - -
83 ZAIDI Adil 3% 16% 33% 31% 14% 3% -
84 LINDEMANN Marc - 3% 26% 42% 24% 5% -
84 KRZYWON Dylan 40% 43% 15% 2% - - -
86 YANG Dylan 6% 28% 40% 21% 5% -
87 HOLMES Alexiy 20% 42% 29% 8% 1% -
88 KRECKE Gareth 45% 44% 10% 1% - -
89 WEST Nathaniel 12% 39% 36% 11% 2% - -
90 FENG Michael - < 1% 2% 12% 33% 39% 13%
91 LI Tristan 2% 35% 41% 18% 3% - -
92 SICAT Justin 23% 45% 26% 6% 1% - -
93 CHUN Zachary 38% 42% 17% 3% - - -
94 SABATINO Patrick 17% 49% 27% 6% 1% - -
95 DIAZ Gabriel 39% 41% 16% 3% - - -
96 BAKSHI Aman 3% 19% 39% 30% 8% 1% -
97 ROJAS Elijah 51% 39% 9% 1% - - -
98 TOOMRE Kai 14% 34% 32% 16% 4% 1% -
99 ARCE Andrew W. 2% 10% 26% 33% 21% 7% 1%
100 CARBONELL Ryan 26% 42% 24% 6% 1% - -
101 CHUN Alexander 70% 28% 2% - - - -
101 BUNDUS Luca 88% 12% 1% - - - -
103 BASKIN Lukáš 27% 44% 24% 5% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.