September Skirmish

Senior Mixed Épée

Saturday, September 21, 2024 at 1:00 PM

Vergennes Union High School - Middlebury, VT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WEI Zikun 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 89%
2 DJONOUMA Toyohm 100% 99% 86% 53% 19% 3%
3 SMUDA Alexander 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 10% 1%
3 CHEN Allen 100% 99% 89% 60% 24% 4%
5 MAY Ciaran 100% 100% 98% 87% 52% 12%
6 SZULZYCKI Alexander 100% 99% 91% 63% 26% 5%
7 COFFIN Carleton 100% 99% 92% 70% 35% 8%
8 RICCOBONO Matthew 100% 85% 44% 12% 2% -
9 RUGGLES William R. 100% 99% 90% 61% 23% 4% -
10 WALTING Paul J. 100% 99% 94% 76% 44% 15% 2%
11 LUSSIER Jesse B. 100% 99% 90% 57% 19% 2%
12 HAN Keyi 100% 87% 48% 13% 2% - -
12 PASCUCCI Gavin 100% 99% 90% 66% 33% 9% 1%
14 BIANCOSINO Kirin 100% 100% 95% 70% 27% 4% -
15 SCHUPPE Ray W. 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 7%
16 MARCOUX Alexander 100% 100% 95% 78% 44% 11%
17 CROCKET Anne R. 100% 100% 96% 80% 49% 17% 3%
18 KIM Joshua 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 37% 2%
19 HENTY Colton 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 22% 4%
20 OSHIMA Robert 100% 85% 47% 14% 2% - -
21 KERINS Taber 100% 99% 89% 65% 33% 10% 1%
22 PEDEN Emily 100% 74% 32% 8% 1% -
23 COLLIER Samara 100% 86% 50% 17% 3% - -
24 CROTHER-COLLADO Gabriela 100% 80% 39% 9% 1% -
25 BALTAZAR Sean 100% 98% 82% 49% 16% 2%
26 POWERFREEMAN Mark 100% 96% 77% 42% 13% 2% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.