Neil Lazar Div1/Div2/Veteran ROC

Div II Men's Épée

Saturday, September 28, 2024 at 8:00 AM

NYA Sports and Fitness Center - Newtown, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 RIM Eugene 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 26% 4%
2 JIANG Matthew 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 37% 8%
3 ZELIN Sam J. 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 51% 16%
3 JENNINGS Adin 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 44%
5 MCGRATH Sean L. 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 44% 10%
6 PETERSEN Zachary 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 28% 6%
7 RATUSHNYI Georgii 100% 100% 99% 90% 66% 29% 4%
8 HENNESSY Levon 100% 100% 94% 70% 32% 6% -
9 CASERTANO Lorenzo O. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 87%
10 DJONOUMA Toyohm 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 29%
11 BAJAJ Nakul 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 21% 3%
12 SUN Lucas 100% 99% 92% 68% 33% 8% 1%
13 LIN Nathan 100% 100% 98% 83% 49% 14% -
14 SCHROEDER III Robert 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 36%
15 SCHAUER Oliver 100% 84% 49% 18% 4% - -
16 NUNEZ Jorge 100% 100% 100% 95% 78% 43% 11%
17 OTTAVIANO Aaron 100% 100% 94% 71% 32% 6% < 1%
18 BUACHIE Aaron 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 53% 16%
19 PALLADINO Ben T. 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 42% 11%
20 BAILEY David 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 13%
21 O'HARROW Tristan C. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 31%
22 SONG Changze 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 17% 1%
23 WHITE Aidan 100% 93% 55% 18% 3% - -
24 DOWD Peter L. 100% 98% 87% 59% 26% 6% 1%
25 CHALLAGULLA Manu 100% 99% 89% 61% 25% 5% -
25 COLÓN Atum 100% 95% 75% 41% 13% 2% -
27 SPRINGER Elijah 100% 100% 94% 70% 34% 9% 1%
28 WARD Kofi 100% 98% 75% 37% 10% 1% -
29 FOURNET Sebastien 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 28% 4%
30 WARD Carrington R. 100% 99% 91% 67% 33% 9% 1%
31 YU Samuel 100% 99% 94% 76% 44% 16% 2%
32 NALLICHERI Ayaan 100% 97% 81% 47% 16% 3% -
33 PAYNE Massimo 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 46% 12%
34 COETZEE Frans M. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 54% 16%
35 ZHANG Roland 100% 100% 98% 88% 63% 29% 6%
36 CHEMEZOV Trent 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 69% 21%
37 LIN George 100% 100% 99% 92% 71% 35% 8%
38 LYCHKO Maksym 100% 99% 89% 61% 27% 7% 1%
39 HOWELL Liam 100% 95% 76% 43% 16% 3% -
40 KABA Elias 100% 100% 96% 74% 37% 8% -
41 YEE Charles E. 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 23% 4%
41 LECUYER-SCHOONMAKER Declan 100% 100% 99% 90% 67% 32% 7%
43 YIN Chujun 100% 99% 89% 64% 31% 9% 1%
44 HOWARD Jackson 100% 99% 94% 77% 46% 16% 3%
45 WOLFORD Benjamin 100% 98% 76% 36% 9% 1% -
46 KIM Nathan 100% 95% 73% 40% 13% 2% -
47 PESSIN Nadav 100% 99% 91% 67% 34% 10% 1%
48 LEE Wyatt 100% 77% 37% 11% 2% - -
49 MCCALL Aidan 100% 99% 92% 66% 29% 7% 1%
50 GU Eric 100% 84% 42% 11% 2% - -
51 SUBRAMANIAM Sahil 100% 96% 75% 39% 12% 2% -
52 HE Bronto 100% 100% 90% 57% 21% 3% -
52 CRESPO Nathaniel Justus 100% 99% 86% 53% 20% 4% -
54 GREEN Logan 100% 94% 68% 32% 9% 1% -
55 LI Ray 100% 95% 71% 34% 10% 1% -
56 HELMY Richard 100% 94% 68% 30% 7% 1% -
57 LIU Jeremiah W. 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 38% 9%
58 MELCHER Charles 100% 99% 91% 68% 36% 11% 1%
59 KELLEY Hayden 100% 99% 91% 63% 27% 6% -
60 PERSINGER Atticus 100% 100% 91% 50% 13% 1% -
61 DAGLI Sai 100% 98% 78% 38% 9% 1% -
62 SEILS Aether 100% 66% 24% 5% 1% - -
63 BUISINE Sebastien 100% 98% 72% 31% 7% 1% -
64 LIU Pan Iok 100% 32% 4% - - - -
65 MAZEL Antonin 100% 31% 4% - - - -
66 WELCH Sebastian 100% 15% 1% - - - -
67 RINALDI Devin 100% 96% 71% 31% 7% 1% -
68 REGINA Julian 100% 41% 7% 1% - - -
69 LAW Oliver 100% 60% 17% 2% - - -
69 WILDMAN Ethan 100% 42% 9% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.