Neil Lazar Div1/Div2/Veteran ROC

Div I-A Men's Foil

Saturday, September 28, 2024 at 12:00 PM

NYA Sports and Fitness Center - Newtown, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 TOLBA Abdelrahman - - - 1% 7% 36% 56%
2 NUNNINK Phillip W. - 1% 9% 30% 41% 19%
3 TAHOUN Mostafa - - 4% 22% 39% 27% 7%
3 LIN James G. - - - 3% 16% 43% 38%
5 DOBBINS Evan W. - - 6% 35% 59%
6 LIU Derek - - 2% 12% 34% 39% 13%
7 MARTIN Darius - 3% 18% 39% 31% 8% 1%
8 TAN Aidan - 1% 11% 34% 41% 11%
9 TEMPLE Jackson - - 1% 8% 28% 42% 22%
10 HAN Changhee - - 3% 17% 36% 33% 10%
11 PO Oliver - - 1% 6% 24% 43% 27%
12 CHO Jadon Yushin - 1% 6% 25% 44% 25%
13 LIN Michael - - 2% 15% 43% 40%
14 SULLIVAN Jackson R. - - - 7% 36% 56%
15 JIANG Owen - - 1% 9% 32% 45% 13%
16 YAO Bradley - - 4% 21% 43% 27% 5%
17 LI Matthew - - - 3% 19% 46% 32%
17 LI Aaron - - 2% 12% 35% 39% 12%
19 KAO Castor T. - - - - 4% 28% 68%
20 PARRA Fabian - - 4% 29% 50% 17%
21 CHENG Ethan - 8% 29% 39% 20% 3%
21 KLOTZ Isaiah - 1% 11% 34% 40% 13%
23 BELLUOMO David C. - - - 4% 24% 46% 25%
24 MILLER Jordan 2% 13% 34% 36% 14% 1%
25 LEE Brendan - 1% 9% 34% 44% 12%
26 ZHEN Ethan - 8% 33% 46% 12%
27 LEE Jonah - 1% 6% 22% 38% 27% 7%
28 GULCHIN Mark (Yerma) - 6% 32% 43% 17% 2%
29 WANG Rory - 6% 26% 40% 23% 5% -
30 CHEN Kyle P. - 1% 9% 30% 40% 18% 2%
31 GHEDINI Luca 1% 8% 30% 40% 19% 3%
32 MONTALBINE Aidan 1% 18% 41% 30% 9% 1% -
33 WU Dawei - 1% 11% 34% 38% 15% 2%
34 TRAUGOT Owen G. - - - 2% 12% 41% 45%
35 HOLMES Stuart S. - - - 1% 31% 68%
36 SHAPIRO Leon - 3% 18% 39% 31% 8% 1%
37 TANG August L. - 1% 8% 30% 38% 20% 4%
38 LIGOS alex M. - 9% 37% 40% 13% 1%
39 XU Ethan - 8% 41% 47% 3% -
40 COSTELLO Chaissen F. - - 1% 9% 38% 51%
41 BARTEL Jacob L. - - 3% 17% 40% 34% 5%
42 SMITH Grant D. - 2% 14% 35% 34% 12% 1%
43 CHO Xzander 4% 21% 38% 28% 7% 1% -
43 TANG Terry 2% 17% 37% 31% 11% 2% -
45 LYNCH Owen C. 5% 30% 45% 19% 2%
46 JURMAN Therin 1% 13% 41% 33% 11% 1% -
47 ORLOV Dmitriy 1% 10% 34% 37% 15% 2% -
48 PLASTARAS Trey - 1% 11% 33% 37% 15% 2%
49 SHAO Eric - 2% 13% 35% 35% 14% 2%
50 KAPOOR Aayan 1% 6% 24% 37% 25% 7% 1%
51 ZENG Rick 2% 21% 45% 26% 6% 1% -
52 LI Ayren 4% 22% 40% 27% 7% -
53 GE Daniel - 14% 42% 35% 9% -
54 FENG Michael 2% 15% 38% 33% 11% 1%
55 SHANNON Jack 13% 38% 35% 12% 2% -
56 LIM Charlie 5% 35% 40% 17% 3% - -
57 CHUA Kirby 14% 37% 34% 13% 2% - -
58 NIECHWADOWICZ Michael 11% 34% 37% 16% 2% - -
59 LAWRENCE John W. - - 2% 15% 36% 35% 11%
60 ARCE Andrew W. 11% 42% 37% 10% 1%
61 ZAIDI Adil - 43% 43% 12% 1% -
62 BAI Brian 4% 32% 41% 19% 4% -
63 BAI Austin 7% 53% 33% 7% - -
64 SEIB-LEVINSON Conrad 13% 39% 34% 12% 2% - -
65 ABDELGAWAD Abdelrahman 1% 16% 38% 32% 11% 1%
66 HOLLIS Sean 7% 29% 39% 20% 4% - -
67 TANG xianchi 22% 47% 25% 5% - - -
68 DJONOUMA Toyohm 21% 45% 27% 6% 1% -
69 ZHANG GAVIN J 32% 44% 20% 4% - -
70 LAO Kevin 32% 45% 19% 3% - -
71 AMEND Jake 70% 26% 3% - - - -
72 JEFF Ariff 74% 23% 2% - - - -
73 GRANADOS Luis 25% 43% 25% 6% 1% - -
74 TIBBETTS Justin 8% 49% 34% 8% 1% - -
75 WEST Nathaniel 18% 42% 31% 9% 1% - -
76 CHA James 42% 44% 13% 1% - - -
77 STAFFORD Gareth 54% 37% 8% 1% -
78 TAM Kyle 67% 28% 4% - - -
79 VO Jonathan 38% 43% 16% 3% - - -
80 MCENTEE Owen 82% 17% 1% - - -
81 SANTIAGO Elias 7% 44% 37% 10% 1% - -
82 HOWARD Mekai 99% 1% - - - -
83 MASTROPAOLO Jonah W. 12% 35% 36% 15% 2% - -
84 BRENNAN Connor 76% 22% 2% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.