Neil Lazar Div1/Div2/Veteran ROC

Div I-A Men's Foil

Saturday, September 28, 2024 at 12:00 PM

NYA Sports and Fitness Center - Newtown, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 TOLBA Abdelrahman 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 56%
2 NUNNINK Phillip W. 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 19%
3 TAHOUN Mostafa 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 34% 7%
3 LIN James G. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 38%
5 DOBBINS Evan W. 100% 100% 100% 94% 59%
6 LIU Derek 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 51% 13%
7 MARTIN Darius 100% 100% 97% 79% 40% 9% 1%
8 TAN Aidan 100% 100% 98% 87% 53% 11%
9 TEMPLE Jackson 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 22%
10 HAN Changhee 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 43% 10%
11 PO Oliver 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 27%
12 CHO Jadon Yushin 100% 100% 99% 94% 68% 25%
13 LIN Michael 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 40%
14 SULLIVAN Jackson R. 100% 100% 100% 100% 92% 56%
15 JIANG Owen 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 59% 13%
16 YAO Bradley 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 31% 5%
17 LI Matthew 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 32%
17 LI Aaron 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 51% 12%
19 KAO Castor T. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 68%
20 PARRA Fabian 100% 100% 100% 96% 67% 17%
21 CHENG Ethan 100% 100% 92% 63% 23% 3%
21 KLOTZ Isaiah 100% 100% 98% 87% 53% 13%
23 BELLUOMO David C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 25%
24 MILLER Jordan 100% 98% 86% 51% 15% 1%
25 LEE Brendan 100% 100% 99% 90% 56% 12%
26 ZHEN Ethan 100% 100% 92% 58% 12%
27 LEE Jonah 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 34% 7%
28 GULCHIN Mark (Yerma) 100% 100% 94% 61% 18% 2%
29 WANG Rory 100% 100% 94% 67% 27% 5% -
30 CHEN Kyle P. 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 20% 2%
31 GHEDINI Luca 100% 99% 91% 61% 21% 3%
32 MONTALBINE Aidan 100% 99% 81% 40% 10% 1% -
33 WU Dawei 100% 100% 99% 88% 55% 17% 2%
34 TRAUGOT Owen G. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 45%
35 HOLMES Stuart S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 68%
36 SHAPIRO Leon 100% 100% 97% 78% 40% 9% 1%
37 TANG August L. 100% 100% 99% 91% 61% 23% 4%
38 LIGOS alex M. 100% 100% 91% 54% 14% 1%
39 XU Ethan 100% 100% 92% 50% 3% -
40 COSTELLO Chaissen F. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 51%
41 BARTEL Jacob L. 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 40% 5%
42 SMITH Grant D. 100% 100% 97% 83% 48% 14% 1%
43 CHO Xzander 100% 96% 74% 36% 8% 1% -
43 TANG Terry 100% 98% 80% 43% 13% 2% -
45 LYNCH Owen C. 100% 95% 65% 21% 2%
46 JURMAN Therin 100% 99% 86% 45% 12% 1% -
47 ORLOV Dmitriy 100% 99% 89% 55% 18% 2% -
48 PLASTARAS Trey 100% 100% 99% 88% 54% 17% 2%
49 SHAO Eric 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 15% 2%
50 KAPOOR Aayan 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 8% 1%
51 ZENG Rick 100% 98% 78% 33% 7% 1% -
52 LI Ayren 100% 96% 74% 34% 7% -
53 GE Daniel 100% 100% 86% 43% 9% -
54 FENG Michael 100% 98% 83% 45% 12% 1%
55 SHANNON Jack 100% 87% 49% 14% 2% -
56 LIM Charlie 100% 95% 60% 20% 3% - -
57 CHUA Kirby 100% 86% 49% 15% 2% - -
58 NIECHWADOWICZ Michael 100% 89% 56% 19% 3% - -
59 LAWRENCE John W. 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 47% 11%
60 ARCE Andrew W. 100% 89% 48% 10% 1%
61 ZAIDI Adil 100% 100% 56% 13% 1% -
62 BAI Brian 100% 96% 64% 23% 4% -
63 BAI Austin 100% 93% 40% 7% - -
64 SEIB-LEVINSON Conrad 100% 87% 47% 14% 2% - -
65 ABDELGAWAD Abdelrahman 100% 99% 83% 45% 12% 1%
66 HOLLIS Sean 100% 93% 63% 24% 4% - -
67 TANG xianchi 100% 78% 31% 6% - - -
68 DJONOUMA Toyohm 100% 79% 34% 7% 1% -
69 ZHANG GAVIN J 100% 68% 24% 4% - -
70 LAO Kevin 100% 68% 23% 4% - -
71 AMEND Jake 100% 30% 3% - - - -
72 JEFF Ariff 100% 26% 2% - - - -
73 GRANADOS Luis 100% 75% 31% 6% 1% - -
74 TIBBETTS Justin 100% 92% 43% 9% 1% - -
75 WEST Nathaniel 100% 82% 40% 10% 1% - -
76 CHA James 100% 58% 14% 2% - - -
77 STAFFORD Gareth 100% 46% 8% 1% -
78 TAM Kyle 100% 33% 5% - - -
79 VO Jonathan 100% 62% 19% 3% - - -
80 MCENTEE Owen 100% 18% 1% - - -
81 SANTIAGO Elias 100% 93% 49% 12% 1% - -
82 HOWARD Mekai 100% 1% - - - -
83 MASTROPAOLO Jonah W. 100% 88% 53% 17% 2% - -
84 BRENNAN Connor 100% 24% 2% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.