Motor City RYC/RJCC and Y8 Foil

Y-12 Men's Foil

Sunday, September 29, 2024 at 1:00 PM

Elite Sportsplex - Waterford, MI, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 GE Felix Fei 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 74%
2 TAN Charlie 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 56%
3 ZHENG Lerui 100% 100% 99% 90% 59% 17%
3 PAN Howard Haoran 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 37%
5 FAN Ze Lin 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 61%
6 WANG Freyr 100% 87% 49% 16% 3% < 1%
7 XU Jason 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 29% 2%
8 WANG Caleb 100% 100% 100% 96% 74% 30%
9 SYMMANK Callen 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 26%
10 LI Andy 100% 100% 96% 74% 33% 6%
11 LIU Bradley 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 15% 1%
12 PAYNE Lynas 100% 99% 92% 65% 28% 5%
13 LIN Wilson 100% 100% 98% 84% 46% 8%
14 MCCOOL Henry 100% 99% 89% 58% 18% 2%
15 ZHAO Jason 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 11%
16 CHEN Kyler 100% 98% 79% 37% 8% 1%
17 YU Oliver 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 34% 5%
18 SU Aiden 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 15%
19 MORALES Tycho 100% 96% 78% 44% 15% 2% -
20 WANG William 100% 99% 88% 57% 21% 3%
21 PU Yikun 100% 99% 90% 63% 27% 5%
22 DIFRANK Avery 100% 100% 97% 81% 45% 12%
23 TAGORE Ayansh 100% 89% 52% 15% 2% - -
24 BROWN Rhys 100% 91% 60% 24% 5% 1% -
25 BUCHNER Roland 100% 99% 88% 58% 23% 4%
26 MADDES Gage 100% 92% 64% 27% 5% -
27 KRESS Elias 100% 82% 41% 11% 1% -
28 HARDWICK Alex 100% 92% 64% 27% 6% -
29 WANG Jaaziel 100% 95% 73% 38% 11% 2% -
30 SIN TaeHwan 100% 91% 60% 24% 5% - -
31 XUE Lucas 100% 93% 55% 16% 2% -
32 JIAO Daniel 100% 98% 83% 50% 16% 2% -
33 WILLIAMS Thomas 100% 89% 57% 21% 4% -
34 CAO Jeremy 100% 99% 93% 69% 33% 7%
35 KOSCIK-AQUINO Nicholas 100% 94% 67% 26% 4% -
36 LI Eric 100% 97% 75% 38% 10% 1%
37 LUND Jonah 100% 33% 4% - - -
38 ZUIDEMA Harrison 100% 77% 33% 7% 1% -
39 KOVALEV Maxim 100% 100% 95% 71% 34% 8% 1%
40 DENG Albert 100% 67% 24% 4% - -
41 HYUN Francis 100% 91% 61% 24% 4% -
42 YU Ryan 100% 51% 13% 2% - -
43 DURAI Dheeraj 100% 83% 45% 13% 2% - -
44 CHANG Oliver 100% 99% 88% 55% 19% 2% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.