October NAC

Junior Women's Saber

Saturday, October 5, 2024 at 11:00 AM

Atlantic City Convention Center - Atlantic City, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 XIAO julie - - 1% 7% 25% 42% 26%
2 POSSICK Lola P. - - - - 1% 15% 84%
3 SULLIVAN Siobhan R. - - - - 1% 19% 80%
3 LIU Sophie - - - - 4% 29% 67%
5 HILD Nisha - - - 1% 8% 35% 56%
6 FESTA Carina - - - 4% 19% 43% 33%
7 JOHNSON Dagny L. - - 2% 10% 28% 38% 20%
8 SHI Julia - - 5% 23% 44% 29%
9 PAUL Lila - - - 1% 9% 38% 52%
10 HWANG Gabriela M. - - - 1% 10% 38% 51%
10 ANDRES Charmaine G. - - - - 3% 27% 69%
12 LEE Hannah - - 1% 6% 26% 44% 24%
13 FREEDMAN Janna N. - - - 3% 28% 69%
14 CHEN Ashley - - 1% 11% 31% 39% 18%
15 SANZ Madeline A. - - - 1% 8% 35% 56%
16 LAURI Keira 1% 7% 26% 39% 23% 4%
17 SHEARER Natalie E. - - - 2% 13% 40% 45%
18 JOHNSON Lydia - - 3% 14% 33% 36% 13%
19 LIN Nicole - 1% 6% 21% 37% 28% 7%
20 NATH Trisha - - - 3% 17% 42% 37%
21 BEVACQUA Aria F. - - - 2% 15% 40% 42%
22 DAVIS Jayna M. - 4% 18% 37% 30% 10% 1%
23 VADASZ Ibla P. - - - 4% 19% 45% 32%
24 ATTIA Jasmine - 2% 10% 29% 38% 20% 1%
25 SHTREVENSKY Maria - - 1% 7% 32% 53% 8%
26 MANN Sophia J. - 1% 7% 25% 37% 24% 5%
27 LEE Alexandra B. - - - - 1% 16% 83%
28 TSUI Natalie - - 1% 5% 21% 43% 30%
29 MANKOVA Varvara - 1% 7% 27% 42% 21% 1%
30 JEON Yuju - - 2% 12% 32% 39% 14%
31 SCHMIDT Isabel - 1% 6% 21% 38% 28% 7%
32 WANG Callie - 1% 7% 25% 39% 24% 5%
33 JUNG Irene - - - 4% 20% 43% 33%
34 BLUM Leah I. - - - 2% 13% 42% 43%
35 YANG Angelina LeLe - - - 1% 10% 38% 51%
36 CALLAHAN Chase J. - - 4% 20% 44% 32%
37 WU Helen - - 1% 8% 26% 41% 24%
38 XIONG Haojiao - 1% 8% 29% 41% 20%
39 ZHANG XUANYI - - - 2% 14% 41% 42%
40 LEOU Korina 1% 9% 27% 36% 21% 5% -
41 KER Grace - - - 3% 17% 42% 38%
42 FAVO Isabella - 1% 10% 28% 37% 20% 3%
43 HU Anna - 1% 9% 27% 37% 22% 4%
44 GUVEN Coco - 4% 20% 37% 29% 9% 1%
45 BOYNTON Ainsley - - 4% 17% 35% 33% 10%
46 BUHAY Kirsten M. - 11% 40% 34% 12% 2% -
47 LIN Audrey J. - - - 3% 28% 69%
48 RAMIREZ Mirka A. 1% 12% 35% 35% 15% 2%
49 DAI Olivia - 4% 19% 36% 30% 9% 1%
50 YOUNG Charlotte G. - 1% 8% 25% 38% 24% 4%
51 ANDRES Katherine A. - - - 3% 17% 43% 36%
51 HUCHWAJDA Pola - 5% 19% 34% 29% 11% 2%
53 CHRISTOTHOULOU Olympia C. - - 4% 19% 36% 31% 9%
54 NATHANSON Sammy E. - - 4% 20% 39% 29% 7%
55 DIECK Miranda P. 1% 12% 34% 35% 15% 3% -
56 LI Jiaying - 2% 14% 35% 36% 12% 1%
57 MCKEE Brynnley - - - 2% 14% 41% 43%
58 YANG Lea - 1% 10% 30% 38% 19% 2%
59 GRULICH Rayaana - 4% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2%
60 JEONG Katie - 1% 10% 31% 40% 17%
61 WEI JoyAnn - 1% 10% 28% 37% 21% 3%
62 MUND Ruth - 1% 9% 28% 37% 21% 4%
63 AWAD Royce - 7% 24% 36% 25% 7% 1%
64 KIM Marley I. - - 1% 6% 28% 47% 19%
65 ANTHONY Alexia B. - - - 3% 17% 42% 38%
66 FEIG Sela - - 3% 14% 33% 36% 14%
67 GOLDIN Nina - 1% 7% 25% 39% 24% 5%
68 HUAI Delilah - - 1% 7% 26% 44% 21%
69 WU Yuwei - 4% 20% 36% 29% 10% 1%
70 MARYASH Samantha - - 4% 16% 36% 34% 9%
71 ALFARACHE Gabriella C. - - 2% 11% 34% 42% 12%
71 DANG Kelia - 1% 9% 29% 38% 20% 3%
73 KRASTEV Minna - - - 2% 14% 43% 41%
74 CHEN Xiaohan - - - 1% 7% 34% 59%
75 LIU Sydney - - 3% 16% 37% 34% 10%
76 HSU Leah - 1% 8% 27% 38% 22% 4%
77 HENRY Soraya S. 1% 7% 23% 35% 25% 8% 1%
78 BIRNSTILL Reese 1% 13% 34% 34% 15% 3% -
79 KNOBEL Sophia 3% 18% 36% 30% 11% 2% -
80 PANTALEON-MAZOLA Amari - 3% 17% 39% 32% 8%
81 CHAVAN Arya - 2% 15% 34% 33% 14% 2%
82 SO Catelyn - - 1% 8% 31% 44% 16%
83 SCOTT Eve - 1% 8% 25% 37% 23% 5%
84 ZOLLER Noelle - 3% 17% 35% 32% 11% 1%
85 LIU Yifei - - 5% 22% 39% 28% 6%
86 KANG Ellie - 2% 14% 34% 35% 13% 1%
87 LU Elaine - - - 4% 20% 44% 32%
87 KINKADE Ellie 1% 9% 28% 36% 21% 5% -
89 LITTLE Avery - 1% 8% 30% 40% 18% 2%
90 ZENG Sarah - 4% 23% 42% 26% 5% -
91 CARTER Keely - 5% 22% 39% 26% 6% -
92 MAKLIN Sofia - 1% 10% 29% 38% 20% 3%
93 VINOGOROVA Sofiia - - 5% 19% 37% 32% 8%
94 LU Amy - - 1% 9% 27% 41% 22%
94 KRIVOSHEEV Alexandra - 9% 32% 37% 18% 4% -
96 SHI Cathleen - - - 4% 20% 43% 34%
97 MERMEGAS Olivia 13% 34% 33% 16% 4% - -
98 PAPAPETROPOULOU ALEXANDRA - 3% 14% 31% 34% 16% 2%
99 WANG Jiayi 5% 23% 37% 26% 9% 1% -
100 MACKAY Katherine 3% 25% 39% 25% 7% 1% -
101 TSE Angelina - 1% 8% 32% 49% 10%
102 CAO Sophie 2% 21% 42% 27% 7% 1%
103 MEDVINSKY Alexandra - 3% 16% 34% 32% 13% 2%
104 GAY Sasha - 3% 17% 35% 32% 11% 1%
105 GUGALA Hanna - 1% 11% 33% 36% 16% 3%
106 LUKER Sophia - - 2% 13% 36% 41% 7%
107 FERNANDEZ Martina - 3% 14% 33% 34% 13% 2%
108 LIU Hannah - 7% 26% 37% 23% 6% -
109 SCHIMINOVICH Sophia I. - - - 2% 12% 39% 47%
110 GAUTAM Sahana - 1% 11% 32% 38% 16% 2%
111 KONDEV Elizabeth - - 5% 21% 38% 29% 7%
111 LEI Zitong (Meya) 3% 16% 32% 31% 15% 3% -
113 LIU kai yin aria 1% 12% 35% 35% 15% 3% -
114 DONG Angel - 4% 19% 37% 30% 8% -
115 YUAN Greta - - 4% 19% 38% 31% 9%
116 TENG EMMA 2% 12% 31% 34% 18% 4% -
117 BUSH Bethany 2% 15% 34% 32% 14% 3% -
117 MUNGUIA Mila 2% 16% 35% 32% 13% 2% -
119 MCAFEE Jada 5% 23% 38% 26% 7% 1% -
119 OCA Merci 7% 28% 38% 22% 5% - -
121 KHAN Alissa - 5% 24% 39% 25% 6%
122 PRIEUR Lauren - 2% 12% 34% 39% 14%
123 DHAR Layla - 2% 14% 34% 35% 14% 2%
124 STONE Coral 5% 21% 34% 27% 11% 2% -
125 BARBOSA Katia 3% 19% 37% 30% 11% 2% -
126 CHIARELLI Valentina - - 2% 12% 34% 38% 13%
127 TA-ZHOU Emma - 10% 33% 37% 17% 3% -
128 HANLON Lucy 23% 41% 27% 8% 1% - -
129 HUANG MADELINE - - 4% 18% 38% 33% 7%
130 PADANILAM Lily 4% 19% 34% 29% 12% 2% -
131 CHUNG Hailey - - 4% 20% 42% 30% 2%
132 HAMMERSTROM Aria 1% 12% 35% 39% 12% 1%
133 DANTULURI Shivani 39% 43% 16% 2% < 1% -
134 LIGH Erenei J. - 1% 7% 32% 49% 10%
135 BERMAN greta - 2% 14% 33% 35% 14% 2%
136 BERNARD Kathryn 1% 11% 30% 35% 19% 4% -
137 MALEK Zolie 1% 11% 31% 35% 17% 3% -
138 GOLOVITSER Maya - 4% 20% 36% 28% 10% 1%
139 ZHANG Chenfei - 1% 7% 25% 40% 25% 3%
140 LI Amanda C. - - 2% 14% 35% 36% 12%
141 LIM Jaslene - - 4% 18% 38% 33% 6%
142 GHAYALOD reya - - - 2% 15% 41% 41%
142 LIU Kelly - 15% 43% 32% 9% 1% -
144 ELLIS-FURLONG Ava 1% 11% 31% 35% 18% 3% -
145 LO Chloe 4% 21% 35% 27% 11% 2% -
146 FLATT Sophia 6% 30% 41% 19% 4% - -
147 YUEN Nicole 1% 10% 30% 36% 18% 4% -
148 WANG Gloria Ruoyan - 1% 12% 35% 39% 13%
149 GRAJALES Hannah E. - 1% 8% 27% 38% 22% 4%
150 SCHAIBLE Sofia L. - 6% 22% 36% 27% 8% 1%
150 MAO anna 8% 42% 36% 12% 2% - -
152 WANG yining - 4% 16% 32% 32% 14% 2%
153 SPEARS Mya B 2% 13% 32% 34% 16% 3% -
154 SAYSON Andrea - 2% 13% 33% 35% 15% 2%
155 DANTULURI Shalini - 3% 15% 36% 36% 9% -
156 CHI Claire 2% 19% 37% 29% 10% 2% -
156 DAMBAL Sasha - 3% 19% 40% 29% 8% 1%
158 DAVIDOVA Kira 2% 13% 32% 34% 16% 3% -
158 WILSON Eva 2% 12% 33% 36% 15% 2% -
160 LEE Sophia - - 5% 21% 39% 30% 6%
160 HAN Emma 6% 29% 40% 21% 4% - -
162 LIU Zhi Jun - - 1% 10% 31% 41% 16%
163 TABANGAY Heartlyn - - 4% 19% 37% 31% 8%
164 ZHENG Valentina 1% 18% 38% 30% 11% 2% -
165 GENTILE Vittoria - 13% 35% 35% 14% 2% -
166 LATYSHAVA Stephanie 2% 22% 40% 27% 8% 1% -
167 CHEN Elaine - 27% 45% 23% 5% - -
167 NAMBIAR GEETA MAHESH - - - 2% 17% 47% 33%
169 BARROSO Isabela 1% 11% 32% 36% 17% 3% -
170 DUDNICK Morgan 1% 10% 31% 36% 18% 4% -
171 CHANG Norah 23% 42% 26% 7% 1% - -
171 REAVIS Isabel 4% 24% 39% 25% 7% 1% -
173 LOO Kaitlyn - 5% 20% 36% 29% 9% 1%
174 LUKER Hannah 4% 23% 40% 25% 7% 1% -
175 MYAT Chloe 2% 13% 31% 34% 17% 3% -
176 SHEARER Alena 3% 19% 37% 30% 11% 2% -
177 NAYAK Esha 1% 11% 32% 36% 17% 3% -
178 TONG Jessie - 1% 10% 31% 37% 18% 2%
179 MEYERSON Michelle 6% 31% 39% 20% 4% - -
180 WALLER London 17% 44% 29% 8% 1% -
181 MERCHANT Aishwarya 5% 24% 39% 25% 6% 1%
182 HALPERIN Elizabeth H. 1% 13% 37% 37% 11% 1%
183 TURIANO Nadelle 24% 43% 26% 6% 1% -
184 CROOKS Riley - 20% 42% 29% 8% 1% -
185 SHMULER Fiona 1% 14% 36% 34% 13% 2% -
186 ZHANG Sophie 2% 13% 30% 32% 18% 5% -
187 NADKARNI Marisa 5% 23% 37% 26% 8% 1% -
187 YU Holly - 2% 11% 30% 35% 18% 3%
189 JEFFORDS Sophia 14% 37% 33% 13% 3% - -
190 XU Emily T. - 3% 16% 33% 32% 13% 2%
191 XIE Nora 1% 8% 26% 37% 23% 5% -
192 GOEL Lineysha 46% 39% 13% 2% - - -
193 STADNIK Emilia 1% 15% 34% 33% 14% 3% -
194 HUANG Rachael - 2% 14% 35% 34% 13% 2%
195 KRASOWITZ Lucy 3% 20% 38% 29% 10% 1% -
195 LEE Alyson 1% 7% 25% 36% 24% 7% 1%
197 HUANG Doris 1% 5% 21% 36% 28% 9% 1%
198 BROWN Aria 1% 11% 32% 36% 17% 3% -
199 CHOI Charlotte 4% 23% 38% 26% 8% 1% -
200 BROWNER June 26% 42% 24% 7% 1% - -
201 GONZALEZ Veronika 3% 19% 36% 29% 11% 2% -
202 COOVADIA Malina 18% 40% 31% 10% 1% - -
203 KHOST Maeve 1% 21% 41% 28% 8% 1% -
204 AKULA Roszlynn 35% 42% 19% 4% - - -
205 BARNES Sarah 49% 38% 11% 1% - - -
206 BROCK Sydney - 4% 18% 35% 30% 11% 1%
207 REN Katherine 15% 38% 32% 12% 2% - -
208 KIM isabel 30% 43% 21% 5% - - -
208 SHELLEY Scarlett 19% 45% 28% 8% 1% - -
208 LI Yitong 2% 16% 35% 32% 12% 2% -
211 BUTMAN Chloe Alexandra 28% 42% 23% 6% 1% - -
212 MCGRAW Sadie 6% 31% 40% 19% 4% - -
213 YAM Danika - 4% 18% 35% 31% 11% -
214 HUANG Neila 9% 34% 37% 17% 3% - -
215 KWON Ava 9% 33% 39% 17% 2% -
216 HARRISON Allie 70% 27% 3% - - -
217 OU Yixuan 19% 42% 30% 8% 1% -
218 COLBY Mercer 5% 26% 42% 24% 4% -
219 MAK Kaitlin 21% 43% 29% 7% 1% -
220 PABIAN Emilia - 1% 10% 29% 38% 19% 2%
221 WONG Charlene 39% 41% 17% 3% - - -
222 QIU Katherine 2% 15% 35% 33% 13% 2% -
223 CASTELO Soleil 4% 21% 38% 28% 8% 1% -
224 KIRBY Skye 53% 37% 9% 1% - - -
224 KIM Grace 72% 24% 3% - - - -
226 BALAKUMARAN Maya - 1% 4% 18% 35% 32% 10%
227 CRAINE Alexandra E. 4% 20% 36% 28% 10% 2% -
228 PRESANTH Nandana 7% 27% 38% 23% 5% - -
229 UEMOTO Lynn 8% 33% 38% 17% 3% - -
230 QUINN Anna - 5% 22% 36% 27% 9% 1%
231 RANDALL-COLLINS Shea M. 2% 52% 37% 9% 1% - -
232 WOO Catherine 3% 15% 33% 32% 14% 2% -
233 PARK Haylie 31% 42% 21% 5% 1% - -
234 BAIK Sarah 18% 38% 31% 11% 2% - -
235 ALAMI Amira 23% 42% 26% 8% 1% - -
235 LEE Kaitlin 32% 44% 20% 4% - - -
235 ZHAN Sophie - 8% 28% 37% 21% 5% -
235 KANG Soeun 47% 40% 12% 1% - - -
239 BAINS Nandini 16% 43% 31% 9% 1% - -
240 VATS Ishita 32% 45% 19% 3% - - -
241 PROBASCO Leila 1% 15% 35% 32% 14% 2% -
242 BARBORIAK Emily 39% 42% 16% 2% - - -
243 VINOKUR Anita 2% 13% 31% 33% 16% 4% -
244 ILAGAN Ava 19% 39% 30% 10% 1% - -
244 ALFONSO-VALLEJO Cecilia 61% 33% 6% - - - -
246 HOLMES Sabrina - 34% 42% 19% 4% - -
247 ALDORT Amanda 2% 42% 41% 13% 2% - -
248 LI Sonia 14% 38% 33% 13% 2% - -
248 MAO Elsa 10% 42% 34% 11% 2% - -
250 LOURENCO Alexandra 12% 39% 36% 12% 1% -
251 NAIR Supriya 17% 40% 31% 10% 1% -
252 NEUMAN Ella 3% 20% 37% 28% 10% 1% -
253 DESAUTELS Alexandra 40% 43% 15% 2% - -
254 NGUYEN Madeleine 22% 42% 27% 7% 1% - -
255 BERRIOS Catalina 16% 41% 31% 10% 1% - -
256 NAYAK Antara 5% 36% 40% 16% 3% -
257 SAINT-PIERRE-MENARD Elora 8% 32% 40% 18% 2% - -
258 REDA Sophie 40% 42% 16% 3% - - -
258 LAGOON Miriam 13% 37% 34% 13% 2% - -
258 NASER Sarah 80% 19% 2% - - - -
261 KALISHMAN Anna 59% 33% 7% 1% - - -
261 NEWMARK Ellie 39% 43% 15% 2% - - -
261 KIM Audrey 20% 42% 29% 8% 1% - -
261 LAI Evelyn 93% 7% - - - - -
265 NAYAK Anika 11% 34% 35% 16% 4% - -
265 RIFKIN Lielle 56% 35% 8% 1% - - -
265 LAI Kaitlyn 81% 17% 1% - - - -
268 PATEL Sia Patel 95% 5% - - - - -
268 LECHALLIER Naya 16% 37% 32% 13% 3% - -
268 THOMAS Grace 11% 36% 35% 15% 3% - -
271 MCCAWLEY Madeleine 99% 1% - - - - -
271 LEUNG Ella 91% 8% - - - - -
273 LOPEZ-ONA Mia 9% 32% 37% 18% 4% - -
273 BHARDWAJ Riya 69% 27% 3% - - - -
275 MANGAT Alexis 98% 2% - - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.