October NAC

Junior Women's Saber

Saturday, October 5, 2024 at 11:00 AM

Atlantic City Convention Center - Atlantic City, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 XIAO julie 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 26%
2 POSSICK Lola P. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 84%
3 SULLIVAN Siobhan R. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 80%
3 LIU Sophie 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 67%
5 HILD Nisha 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 56%
6 FESTA Carina 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 33%
7 JOHNSON Dagny L. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 20%
8 SHI Julia 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 29%
9 PAUL Lila 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 52%
10 HWANG Gabriela M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 51%
10 ANDRES Charmaine G. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 69%
12 LEE Hannah 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 24%
13 FREEDMAN Janna N. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 69%
14 CHEN Ashley 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 57% 18%
15 SANZ Madeline A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 56%
16 LAURI Keira 100% 99% 92% 66% 27% 4%
17 SHEARER Natalie E. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 45%
18 JOHNSON Lydia 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 13%
19 LIN Nicole 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 35% 7%
20 NATH Trisha 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 37%
21 BEVACQUA Aria F. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 42%
22 DAVIS Jayna M. 100% 100% 96% 78% 40% 11% 1%
23 VADASZ Ibla P. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 32%
24 ATTIA Jasmine 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 21% 1%
25 SHTREVENSKY Maria 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 61% 8%
26 MANN Sophia J. 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 29% 5%
27 LEE Alexandra B. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 83%
28 TSUI Natalie 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 30%
29 MANKOVA Varvara 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 22% 1%
30 JEON Yuju 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 14%
31 SCHMIDT Isabel 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 34% 7%
32 WANG Callie 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 29% 5%
33 JUNG Irene 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 33%
34 BLUM Leah I. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 43%
35 YANG Angelina LeLe 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 51%
36 CALLAHAN Chase J. 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 32%
37 WU Helen 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 24%
38 XIONG Haojiao 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 20%
39 ZHANG XUANYI 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 42%
40 LEOU Korina 100% 99% 90% 63% 27% 6% -
41 KER Grace 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 38%
42 FAVO Isabella 100% 100% 99% 89% 61% 24% 3%
43 HU Anna 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 25% 4%
44 GUVEN Coco 100% 100% 96% 76% 39% 10% 1%
45 BOYNTON Ainsley 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 10%
46 BUHAY Kirsten M. 100% 100% 89% 48% 14% 2% -
47 LIN Audrey J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 69%
48 RAMIREZ Mirka A. 100% 99% 87% 52% 17% 2%
49 DAI Olivia 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 10% 1%
50 YOUNG Charlotte G. 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 28% 4%
51 ANDRES Katherine A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 36%
51 HUCHWAJDA Pola 100% 100% 95% 76% 42% 13% 2%
53 CHRISTOTHOULOU Olympia C. 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 41% 9%
54 NATHANSON Sammy E. 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 36% 7%
55 DIECK Miranda P. 100% 99% 87% 53% 18% 3% -
56 LI Jiaying 100% 100% 98% 84% 49% 13% 1%
57 MCKEE Brynnley 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 43%
58 YANG Lea 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 22% 2%
59 GRULICH Rayaana 100% 100% 95% 77% 43% 13% 2%
60 JEONG Katie 100% 100% 99% 88% 57% 17%
61 WEI JoyAnn 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 24% 3%
62 MUND Ruth 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 25% 4%
63 AWAD Royce 100% 100% 93% 69% 32% 8% 1%
64 KIM Marley I. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 65% 19%
65 ANTHONY Alexia B. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 38%
66 FEIG Sela 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 14%
67 GOLDIN Nina 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 29% 5%
68 HUAI Delilah 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 21%
69 WU Yuwei 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 11% 1%
70 MARYASH Samantha 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 44% 9%
71 ALFARACHE Gabriella C. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 54% 12%
71 DANG Kelia 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 22% 3%
73 KRASTEV Minna 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 41%
74 CHEN Xiaohan 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 59%
75 LIU Sydney 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 44% 10%
76 HSU Leah 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 26% 4%
77 HENRY Soraya S. 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 9% 1%
78 BIRNSTILL Reese 100% 99% 86% 52% 18% 3% -
79 KNOBEL Sophia 100% 97% 78% 42% 13% 2% -
80 PANTALEON-MAZOLA Amari 100% 100% 97% 80% 41% 8%
81 CHAVAN Arya 100% 100% 98% 83% 49% 16% 2%
82 SO Catelyn 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 60% 16%
83 SCOTT Eve 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 29% 5%
84 ZOLLER Noelle 100% 100% 96% 80% 44% 13% 1%
85 LIU Yifei 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 34% 6%
86 KANG Ellie 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 14% 1%
87 LU Elaine 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 32%
87 KINKADE Ellie 100% 99% 90% 62% 26% 5% -
89 LITTLE Avery 100% 100% 99% 91% 61% 21% 2%
90 ZENG Sarah 100% 100% 96% 73% 31% 5% -
91 CARTER Keely 100% 100% 95% 73% 33% 7% -
92 MAKLIN Sofia 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 22% 3%
93 VINOGOROVA Sofiia 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 39% 8%
94 LU Amy 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 22%
94 KRIVOSHEEV Alexandra 100% 100% 91% 59% 23% 4% -
96 SHI Cathleen 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 34%
97 MERMEGAS Olivia 100% 87% 53% 20% 4% - -
98 PAPAPETROPOULOU ALEXANDRA 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 18% 2%
99 WANG Jiayi 100% 95% 73% 36% 10% 1% -
100 MACKAY Katherine 100% 97% 72% 33% 8% 1% -
101 TSE Angelina 100% 100% 99% 91% 59% 10%
102 CAO Sophie 100% 98% 77% 34% 7% 1%
103 MEDVINSKY Alexandra 100% 100% 97% 80% 46% 14% 2%
104 GAY Sasha 100% 100% 96% 80% 44% 13% 1%
105 GUGALA Hanna 100% 100% 99% 88% 55% 19% 3%
106 LUKER Sophia 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 49% 7%
107 FERNANDEZ Martina 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 15% 2%
108 LIU Hannah 100% 100% 93% 67% 29% 6% -
109 SCHIMINOVICH Sophia I. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 47%
110 GAUTAM Sahana 100% 100% 99% 88% 56% 18% 2%
111 KONDEV Elizabeth 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 36% 7%
111 LEI Zitong (Meya) 100% 97% 81% 50% 18% 3% -
113 LIU kai yin aria 100% 99% 87% 53% 18% 3% -
114 DONG Angel 100% 100% 95% 76% 39% 9% -
115 YUAN Greta 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 39% 9%
116 TENG EMMA 100% 98% 87% 56% 22% 4% -
117 BUSH Bethany 100% 98% 83% 49% 17% 3% -
117 MUNGUIA Mila 100% 98% 81% 47% 15% 2% -
119 MCAFEE Jada 100% 95% 71% 34% 8% 1% -
119 OCA Merci 100% 93% 65% 27% 5% - -
121 KHAN Alissa 100% 100% 94% 70% 31% 6%
122 PRIEUR Lauren 100% 100% 98% 86% 52% 14%
123 DHAR Layla 100% 100% 98% 84% 50% 15% 2%
124 STONE Coral 100% 95% 74% 40% 13% 2% -
125 BARBOSA Katia 100% 97% 79% 42% 12% 2% -
126 CHIARELLI Valentina 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 52% 13%
127 TA-ZHOU Emma 100% 100% 89% 56% 20% 3% -
128 HANLON Lucy 100% 77% 36% 9% 1% - -
129 HUANG MADELINE 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 40% 7%
130 PADANILAM Lily 100% 96% 77% 43% 14% 2% -
131 CHUNG Hailey 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 33% 2%
132 HAMMERSTROM Aria 100% 99% 87% 52% 13% 1%
133 DANTULURI Shivani 100% 61% 18% 2% < 1% -
134 LIGH Erenei J. 100% 100% 99% 92% 60% 10%
135 BERMAN greta 100% 100% 98% 84% 51% 16% 2%
136 BERNARD Kathryn 100% 99% 88% 58% 23% 4% -
137 MALEK Zolie 100% 99% 87% 56% 21% 4% -
138 GOLOVITSER Maya 100% 100% 95% 75% 39% 11% 1%
139 ZHANG Chenfei 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 28% 3%
140 LI Amanda C. 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 48% 12%
141 LIM Jaslene 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 39% 6%
142 GHAYALOD reya 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 41%
142 LIU Kelly 100% 100% 84% 42% 10% 1% -
144 ELLIS-FURLONG Ava 100% 99% 87% 57% 21% 4% -
145 LO Chloe 100% 96% 75% 40% 13% 2% -
146 FLATT Sophia 100% 94% 64% 24% 4% - -
147 YUEN Nicole 100% 99% 89% 58% 22% 4% -
148 WANG Gloria Ruoyan 100% 100% 99% 87% 52% 13%
149 GRAJALES Hannah E. 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 26% 4%
150 SCHAIBLE Sofia L. 100% 100% 94% 72% 36% 9% 1%
150 MAO anna 100% 92% 51% 14% 2% - -
152 WANG yining 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 16% 2%
153 SPEARS Mya B 100% 98% 85% 53% 20% 3% -
154 SAYSON Andrea 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 18% 2%
155 DANTULURI Shalini 100% 100% 97% 81% 45% 9% -
156 CHI Claire 100% 98% 78% 41% 12% 2% -
156 DAMBAL Sasha 100% 100% 97% 78% 38% 8% 1%
158 DAVIDOVA Kira 100% 98% 86% 54% 20% 4% -
158 WILSON Eva 100% 98% 86% 53% 18% 2% -
160 LEE Sophia 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 35% 6%
160 HAN Emma 100% 94% 65% 25% 5% - -
162 LIU Zhi Jun 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 58% 16%
163 TABANGAY Heartlyn 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 39% 8%
164 ZHENG Valentina 100% 99% 80% 43% 12% 2% -
165 GENTILE Vittoria 100% 100% 87% 52% 17% 3% -
166 LATYSHAVA Stephanie 100% 98% 76% 36% 9% 1% -
167 CHEN Elaine 100% 100% 73% 28% 5% - -
167 NAMBIAR GEETA MAHESH 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 81% 33%
169 BARROSO Isabela 100% 99% 87% 55% 19% 3% -
170 DUDNICK Morgan 100% 99% 89% 58% 22% 4% -
171 CHANG Norah 100% 77% 34% 8% 1% - -
171 REAVIS Isabel 100% 96% 72% 33% 8% 1% -
173 LOO Kaitlyn 100% 100% 95% 75% 39% 10% 1%
174 LUKER Hannah 100% 96% 72% 33% 8% 1% -
175 MYAT Chloe 100% 98% 86% 55% 21% 4% -
176 SHEARER Alena 100% 97% 79% 42% 13% 2% -
177 NAYAK Esha 100% 99% 87% 56% 20% 3% -
178 TONG Jessie 100% 100% 99% 88% 57% 20% 2%
179 MEYERSON Michelle 100% 94% 63% 24% 5% - -
180 WALLER London 100% 83% 38% 9% 1% -
181 MERCHANT Aishwarya 100% 95% 71% 31% 7% 1%
182 HALPERIN Elizabeth H. 100% 99% 85% 49% 12% 1%
183 TURIANO Nadelle 100% 76% 33% 7% 1% -
184 CROOKS Riley 100% 100% 80% 38% 9% 1% -
185 SHMULER Fiona 100% 99% 86% 49% 15% 2% -
186 ZHANG Sophie 100% 98% 84% 55% 23% 5% -
187 NADKARNI Marisa 100% 95% 72% 36% 10% 1% -
187 YU Holly 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 22% 3%
189 JEFFORDS Sophia 100% 86% 49% 16% 3% - -
190 XU Emily T. 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 15% 2%
191 XIE Nora 100% 99% 92% 65% 28% 6% -
192 GOEL Lineysha 100% 54% 15% 2% - - -
193 STADNIK Emilia 100% 99% 84% 50% 17% 3% -
194 HUANG Rachael 100% 100% 98% 84% 49% 15% 2%
195 KRASOWITZ Lucy 100% 97% 77% 40% 11% 1% -
195 LEE Alyson 100% 99% 92% 67% 31% 7% 1%
197 HUANG Doris 100% 99% 94% 73% 38% 10% 1%
198 BROWN Aria 100% 99% 88% 56% 20% 3% -
199 CHOI Charlotte 100% 96% 73% 35% 9% 1% -
200 BROWNER June 100% 74% 32% 7% 1% - -
201 GONZALEZ Veronika 100% 97% 78% 42% 13% 2% -
202 COOVADIA Malina 100% 82% 42% 11% 1% - -
203 KHOST Maeve 100% 99% 78% 37% 9% 1% -
204 AKULA Roszlynn 100% 65% 24% 5% - - -
205 BARNES Sarah 100% 51% 13% 2% - - -
206 BROCK Sydney 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 12% 1%
207 REN Katherine 100% 85% 46% 15% 2% - -
208 KIM isabel 100% 70% 27% 5% - - -
208 SHELLEY Scarlett 100% 81% 36% 9% 1% - -
208 LI Yitong 100% 98% 82% 46% 14% 2% -
211 BUTMAN Chloe Alexandra 100% 72% 30% 7% 1% - -
212 MCGRAW Sadie 100% 94% 63% 23% 4% - -
213 YAM Danika 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 11% -
214 HUANG Neila 100% 91% 57% 20% 4% - -
215 KWON Ava 100% 91% 58% 19% 2% -
216 HARRISON Allie 100% 30% 4% - - -
217 OU Yixuan 100% 81% 39% 9% 1% -
218 COLBY Mercer 100% 95% 70% 28% 4% -
219 MAK Kaitlin 100% 79% 36% 7% 1% -
220 PABIAN Emilia 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 22% 2%
221 WONG Charlene 100% 61% 20% 3% - - -
222 QIU Katherine 100% 98% 84% 49% 16% 2% -
223 CASTELO Soleil 100% 96% 74% 36% 9% 1% -
224 KIRBY Skye 100% 47% 10% 1% - - -
224 KIM Grace 100% 28% 3% - - - -
226 BALAKUMARAN Maya 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 43% 10%
227 CRAINE Alexandra E. 100% 96% 76% 40% 12% 2% -
228 PRESANTH Nandana 100% 93% 66% 28% 6% - -
229 UEMOTO Lynn 100% 92% 59% 21% 4% - -
230 QUINN Anna 100% 100% 94% 73% 37% 10% 1%
231 RANDALL-COLLINS Shea M. 100% 98% 46% 10% 1% - -
232 WOO Catherine 100% 97% 82% 49% 16% 2% -
233 PARK Haylie 100% 69% 26% 5% 1% - -
234 BAIK Sarah 100% 82% 44% 13% 2% - -
235 ALAMI Amira 100% 77% 35% 9% 1% - -
235 LEE Kaitlin 100% 68% 24% 4% - - -
235 ZHAN Sophie 100% 100% 92% 64% 27% 6% -
235 KANG Soeun 100% 53% 13% 2% - - -
239 BAINS Nandini 100% 84% 41% 10% 1% - -
240 VATS Ishita 100% 68% 23% 4% - - -
241 PROBASCO Leila 100% 99% 84% 49% 16% 3% -
242 BARBORIAK Emily 100% 61% 18% 3% - - -
243 VINOKUR Anita 100% 98% 85% 53% 20% 4% -
244 ILAGAN Ava 100% 81% 42% 12% 1% - -
244 ALFONSO-VALLEJO Cecilia 100% 39% 6% - - - -
246 HOLMES Sabrina 100% 100% 65% 23% 4% - -
247 ALDORT Amanda 100% 98% 56% 15% 2% - -
248 LI Sonia 100% 86% 48% 15% 2% - -
248 MAO Elsa 100% 90% 48% 13% 2% - -
250 LOURENCO Alexandra 100% 88% 48% 13% 1% -
251 NAIR Supriya 100% 83% 43% 12% 1% -
252 NEUMAN Ella 100% 97% 76% 39% 11% 1% -
253 DESAUTELS Alexandra 100% 60% 17% 2% - -
254 NGUYEN Madeleine 100% 78% 36% 8% 1% - -
255 BERRIOS Catalina 100% 84% 43% 11% 1% - -
256 NAYAK Antara 100% 95% 59% 19% 3% -
257 SAINT-PIERRE-MENARD Elora 100% 92% 60% 20% 2% - -
258 REDA Sophie 100% 60% 19% 3% - - -
258 LAGOON Miriam 100% 87% 50% 16% 2% - -
258 NASER Sarah 100% 20% 2% - - - -
261 KALISHMAN Anna 100% 41% 8% 1% - - -
261 NEWMARK Ellie 100% 61% 17% 3% - - -
261 KIM Audrey 100% 80% 38% 10% 1% - -
261 LAI Evelyn 100% 7% - - - - -
265 NAYAK Anika 100% 89% 55% 20% 4% - -
265 RIFKIN Lielle 100% 44% 9% 1% - - -
265 LAI Kaitlyn 100% 19% 1% - - - -
268 PATEL Sia Patel 100% 5% - - - - -
268 LECHALLIER Naya 100% 84% 47% 15% 3% - -
268 THOMAS Grace 100% 89% 53% 18% 3% - -
271 MCCAWLEY Madeleine 100% 1% - - - - -
271 LEUNG Ella 100% 9% - - - - -
273 LOPEZ-ONA Mia 100% 91% 59% 23% 4% - -
273 BHARDWAJ Riya 100% 31% 3% - - - -
275 MANGAT Alexis 100% 2% - - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.