October NAC

Div II Women's Saber

Monday, October 7, 2024 at 11:00 AM

Atlantic City Convention Center - Atlantic City, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 JEON Yuju 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 49%
2 ATTIA Jasmine 100% 100% 97% 83% 48% 10%
3 XIE Nora 100% 100% 97% 81% 48% 16% 2%
3 BARROSO Isabela 100% 100% 100% 94% 70% 32% 6%
5 ZHANG Sophie 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 23% 4%
6 WANG Jiayi 100% 95% 72% 34% 8% 1%
7 LIU Hannah 100% 100% 98% 89% 59% 21% 3%
8 GOLDIN Nina 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 39%
9 HU Anna 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 47% 10%
10 PAPAPETROPOULOU ALEXANDRA 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 33%
11 HENRY Soraya S. 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 16%
12 LITTLE Avery 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 24%
13 SCHAIBLE Sofia L. 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 26% 4%
14 KINKADE Ellie 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 15%
15 ZHANG Ruijia Alexa 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 22% 4%
16 KRASOWITZ Lucy 100% 97% 77% 41% 12% 1%
17 MATSUO Kei 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 50% 14%
18 LUKER Hannah 100% 99% 88% 60% 23% 3%
19 WU Yuwei 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 27% 5%
20 MERMEGAS Olivia 100% 100% 95% 75% 41% 12% 1%
21 MUNGUIA Mila 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 7%
22 SEHIC Cassandra 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 45%
23 BROCK Sydney 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 15%
24 PRIEUR Lauren 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 56%
25 YUEN Nicole 100% 99% 94% 71% 32% 5%
26 BARBOSA Katia 100% 100% 98% 85% 55% 21% 3%
27 GOLOVITSER Maya 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 40% 9%
28 BIRNSTILL Reese 100% 100% 100% 93% 67% 29% 5%
29 LOO Kaitlyn 100% 100% 95% 74% 37% 8%
30 CROOKS Riley 100% 99% 91% 65% 29% 5%
31 ELLIS-FURLONG Ava 100% 99% 90% 65% 31% 7% 1%
32 CHI Claire 100% 99% 88% 60% 24% 4%
33 NAMBIAR GEETA MAHESH 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 53%
34 OU Yixuan 100% 98% 87% 58% 23% 4%
35 ISBERG Natalie 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 29% 5%
36 SHMULER Fiona 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 23% 4%
37 KRIVOSHEEV Alexandra 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 17% 2%
38 CRAINE Alexandra E. 100% 98% 88% 61% 27% 6% -
39 STONE Coral 100% 100% 98% 89% 65% 30% 6%
40 TENG EMMA 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 17%
41 PADANILAM Lily 100% 100% 96% 76% 40% 11% 1%
42 MYAT Chloe 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 12%
43 REAVIS Isabel 100% 95% 74% 39% 11% 1%
44 MCSWEENEY Kylie 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 33% 7%
45 MUELLER Amelia D. 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 29% 5%
46 GRAJALES Hannah E. 100% 100% 100% 97% 86% 56% 19%
47 LI Yitong 100% 98% 83% 49% 16% 2%
48 JEFFORDS Sophia 100% 95% 72% 35% 9% 1%
49 DONDERIS Katherine 100% 99% 88% 57% 20% 2%
50 ALDORT Amanda 100% 85% 50% 17% 3% -
51 NI Sharon 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 69% 26%
52 OCA Merci 100% 94% 72% 37% 11% 2% -
53 NAIR Supriya 100% 99% 91% 67% 31% 6%
54 KWON Ava 100% 93% 65% 27% 5% -
55 HUANG Pierra 100% 85% 50% 18% 3% -
56 UEMOTO Lynn 100% 100% 99% 76% 37% 9% 1%
57 MCGRAW Sadie 100% 99% 91% 65% 30% 7% 1%
58 SHEARER Alena 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 21% 3%
59 HAN Emma 100% 100% 94% 69% 30% 6% -
60 TURIANO Nadelle 100% 88% 55% 19% 3% -
61 HUANG Neila 100% 97% 81% 48% 17% 3% -
62 LECHALLIER Naya 100% 92% 63% 27% 7% 1% -
63 NEUMAN Ella 100% 96% 77% 44% 15% 2% -
64 BUTMAN Chloe Alexandra 100% 88% 56% 22% 4% -
65 HANLON Lucy 100% 100% 90% 59% 24% 5% -
66 CASTAGNOLA maria josefina 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 18% 3%
67 VATS Ishita 100% 81% 43% 14% 3% - -
68 NAYAK Anika 100% 100% 97% 80% 46% 14% 2%
69 MERCHANT Aishwarya 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 31% 6%
70 NAYAK Esha 100% 99% 94% 73% 38% 9%
71 MACE Eliza M. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 30%
72 KANG Soeun 100% 95% 70% 31% 7% 1% -
73 XU Emily T. 100% 100% 99% 90% 66% 30% 5%
74 BARBORIAK Emily 100% 93% 60% 22% 4% - -
75 INSINGA Ava 100% 73% 30% 6% 1% -
76 NADKARNI Marisa 100% 98% 85% 55% 21% 3%
77 MAO anna 100% 90% 56% 19% 3% -
78 BROWNER June 100% 99% 88% 61% 26% 5%
79 NAYAK Antara 100% 91% 63% 28% 7% 1%
80 DANTULURI Shivani 100% 91% 60% 25% 6% 1% -
81 WONG Charlene 100% 89% 53% 18% 3% - -
82 SAINT-PIERRE-MENARD Elora 100% 63% 21% 3% - - -
83 COLBY Mercer 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 8% 1%
84 RANDALL-COLLINS Shea M. 100% 98% 86% 55% 23% 5% -
85 WEBB Ella 100% 99% 91% 69% 35% 10% 1%
86 WEINSTEIN Hannah 100% 67% 25% 5% 1% - -
87 MAO Elsa 100% 90% 56% 20% 4% - -
88 SCHOEW Margot 100% 98% 84% 52% 19% 4% -
89 KIRBY Skye 100% 93% 63% 24% 5% 1% -
90 ANTIL Nikhita 100% 99% 92% 68% 33% 8% -
91 SHELLEY Scarlett 100% 99% 81% 43% 13% 2% -
92 BARNES Sarah 100% 52% 13% 2% - -
93 NAKATA Gwyneth 100% 68% 6% - - - -
94 COOVADIA Malina 100% 94% 68% 30% 7% 1% -
95 DEMARIA Lauren 100% 84% 48% 17% 3% - -
96 LEE Kaitlin 100% 88% 56% 21% 4% -
97 HOLMES Sabrina 100% 95% 73% 34% 8% 1%
98 DSOUZA Shayndel 100% 57% 16% 2% - - -
99 COONEY Alessandra 100% 89% 56% 21% 4% -
100 LOPEZ-ONA Mia 100% 86% 50% 16% 2% -
101 GUTIERREZ Adylia-Rhenee 100% 70% 29% 7% 1% - -
102 SCHOON REBECCA 100% 95% 74% 39% 12% 2% -
103 CRONIN Kayla H. 100% 61% 19% 3% - - -
104 NEWMARK Ellie 100% 62% 20% 3% - - -
105 MCCAWLEY Madeleine 100% 8% - - - - -
106 MANGAT Alexis 100% 38% 1% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.