October NAC

Div II Men's Foil

Sunday, October 6, 2024 at 1:00 PM

Atlantic City Convention Center - Atlantic City, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 GHEDINI Luca - - 2% 13% 33% 36% 15%
2 LIN Xilong - - 1% 9% 29% 41% 20%
3 SHAPIRO Leon - - 1% 12% 42% 45%
3 BADROEL RIZWAN Uzair Zafran - 2% 12% 28% 33% 20% 5%
5 TALASILA Arush - - 3% 15% 35% 34% 12%
6 PARRISH Evan - - 2% 13% 43% 43%
7 CHEN Ethan - - 2% 15% 41% 35% 7%
8 DOELL Ethan - - 4% 18% 35% 32% 10%
9 KONG Luculentus X. - 2% 10% 26% 35% 22% 5%
10 LYNCH Owen C. - - 2% 12% 31% 38% 16%
11 VADEN Oliver - 1% 7% 23% 37% 26% 7%
12 DAVIS Christopher M. - - 1% 8% 38% 53%
13 SHENG Dalton - - 3% 14% 33% 36% 15%
14 ROZALSKI Eli - - 3% 15% 34% 34% 12%
15 STRINGER David - - 1% 10% 30% 40% 19%
16 ROUNTREE Rob - - 3% 16% 43% 39%
17 GAO Payton - - 3% 15% 34% 34% 12%
17 FINLEY Dylan - - - 2% 13% 40% 45%
19 SISINNI Leonardo - 7% 27% 36% 23% 6% 1%
20 LIU William - - 2% 13% 32% 37% 16%
21 MILLER Jordan - - 2% 11% 28% 38% 21%
22 GÉLINAS Jonathan - - - 1% 9% 38% 53%
23 LIU Zixian (Aaron) - - 1% 12% 35% 38% 14%
24 LI Ayren - 3% 15% 33% 33% 14% 2%
25 WANDJI Noah - 2% 11% 28% 35% 19% 4%
26 ARCE Andrew W. - - 5% 21% 39% 29% 6%
27 YE Gordon - - 4% 19% 38% 30% 8%
28 TANG August L. - 1% 10% 34% 40% 16%
29 ANDRIC Borna - - 4% 16% 35% 33% 11%
30 STRAYER Andrew - - 1% 8% 27% 42% 22%
31 HAINES Ethan - - 4% 16% 34% 34% 12%
32 KIM Brian - - 1% 7% 25% 41% 25%
33 GRIFFITH MCALLISTER Thomas - - - 4% 19% 42% 35%
34 TANG Terry - 1% 6% 22% 37% 28% 7%
35 CRALEY Thomas M. - - - - 4% 28% 68%
35 KIM Harrison - - 1% 6% 25% 43% 24%
37 POLONI Giovanni 1% 5% 18% 32% 29% 13% 2%
38 SUN Ryan - - 4% 24% 46% 26%
39 BAE Eugene - 2% 14% 35% 36% 11%
40 LOZADA Gabriel G. - 2% 15% 37% 33% 12% 1%
41 BAI Brian - 1% 7% 25% 38% 24% 5%
42 HAMILTON Brock B. - - - 3% 17% 42% 38%
43 CHUANG Oscar - - - 7% 29% 43% 21%
44 MAO Lucas - - 1% 7% 26% 43% 24%
45 PLASTARAS Trey - - 2% 11% 35% 39% 13%
46 LUM-DEBONO Alex - 1% 6% 21% 36% 28% 8%
47 BARTEL Jacob L. - 1% 8% 31% 42% 18%
48 VISHAWADIA Jaimin - 1% 8% 31% 44% 16%
49 ABDELGAWAD Abdelrahman - 1% 8% 31% 44% 17%
50 JIMENEZ Naveen 3% 20% 44% 27% 6% 1%
51 SEMAPAKDI-CHANG Kaiden - - 4% 17% 35% 33% 11%
52 TANG Alexander L. - - 1% 7% 26% 42% 24%
53 WONG Evan - 1% 6% 22% 40% 28% 4%
54 HUA Aaron - 4% 17% 34% 31% 13% 2%
55 MILLER Dillon - 2% 11% 28% 36% 20% 4%
56 ORLOV Dmitriy - - 2% 14% 37% 35% 10%
57 LI Jett - - 3% 14% 33% 36% 13%
58 ZHANG Jacob - - 4% 18% 35% 32% 11%
59 SMOLICH Marat - 3% 14% 31% 33% 17% 3%
60 BLACK Zachary - 1% 6% 21% 35% 28% 8%
61 KAPOOR Aayan - - 4% 16% 34% 33% 13%
62 PINCHENG Yao - 1% 9% 27% 36% 22% 5%
63 FOURNET-FAYARD Aldric - 1% 7% 26% 39% 23% 4%
64 CHANG Nathan 2% 10% 26% 33% 21% 7% 1%
65 WU Trevor - - - 4% 22% 44% 30%
66 LU Nathan - 2% 11% 29% 35% 20% 4%
67 PARK Steve (Sangmin) - - 1% 14% 37% 36% 12%
68 SMITH Grant D. - - 2% 15% 41% 35% 7%
69 XU Dinghui Ryan 2% 13% 31% 33% 17% 4% -
70 QIU Zhaocheng - 2% 10% 28% 36% 20% 4%
71 TSAY Jordan R. - 5% 23% 38% 25% 7% 1%
72 CHOI Ethan - - 5% 27% 45% 23%
73 DA SILVA Jamie 25% 45% 24% 5% < 1% -
74 RAJ Jay - - 2% 13% 33% 37% 14%
75 LIM Charlie 2% 14% 33% 34% 15% 2% -
76 KETTELLE John - - 2% 13% 32% 37% 15%
77 MARTIRE Luca 6% 24% 35% 24% 8% 1% -
78 VANOYEN Dominick - 1% 6% 20% 36% 29% 7%
79 MATTOS Luis Felipe - 5% 20% 34% 28% 11% 2%
80 CHEZ Nolan - 2% 14% 33% 34% 15% 3%
81 MARTIN Darius - - 4% 17% 34% 32% 11%
82 POLEPALLI Vinil 11% 31% 35% 18% 4% - -
83 SCHIENEMAN Valentine - 1% 6% 23% 39% 25% 6%
84 CHO Xzander - 1% 5% 19% 36% 31% 8%
85 LANGEN Carter M. - 1% 5% 19% 35% 31% 10%
85 WANG Brian - - 1% 9% 28% 40% 21%
85 EDISON Ansel - 1% 7% 23% 37% 27% 7%
88 MARTIN Mason - 4% 16% 32% 31% 14% 2%
89 MAK Collin Chun Shing - - 4% 18% 36% 32% 10%
90 SEIB-LEVINSON Conrad - 6% 24% 35% 25% 8% 1%
91 GIOTIS Nico 1% 7% 22% 32% 26% 10% 2%
92 ASCIONED'ELIA Adam I. - - 2% 11% 31% 38% 17%
93 YANG Dylan - 1% 6% 24% 40% 25% 5%
94 TAM Kyle 8% 27% 36% 22% 6% 1% -
95 GNEUHS Sam 3% 21% 45% 26% 5% -
96 TRUBETSKI David - 1% 10% 37% 41% 11%
97 METZ Mason 1% 22% 40% 27% 8% 1% -
98 BAI Austin - - 8% 35% 38% 16% 2%
99 ZAIDI Adil 1% 11% 29% 35% 19% 5% -
100 BELOKON Sammy 1% 6% 22% 35% 27% 9% 1%
101 SENANI Arjun - 2% 11% 28% 36% 19% 3%
102 BLEIL Tyler - 2% 11% 28% 35% 20% 4%
103 LARGAESPADA LUIS V. - - 3% 15% 33% 35% 13%
104 DAI Christopher - 12% 38% 37% 11% 1% -
105 WHEELOCK Bryan M. - - 2% 12% 31% 38% 17%
106 CHA James 9% 29% 36% 21% 6% 1% -
107 RAJPAL Alastair 2% 15% 33% 32% 15% 3% -
108 KIM Teo 5% 22% 35% 26% 10% 2% -
109 WIDOFF-WOODSON Jackson Leroi 5% 29% 41% 20% 4% - -
110 ONIK Ari N. 19% 40% 29% 10% 2% - -
111 ABRAMSOHN Seth 4% 21% 36% 27% 10% 2% -
112 CHOI Benjamin - 1% 11% 39% 38% 11%
113 JIANG Bowang - 3% 19% 44% 30% 5%
114 GAO Andrew Gao 34% 43% 19% 4% - - -
115 SHANNON Jack 1% 11% 28% 34% 20% 6% 1%
116 VOLLMER Quintin - 4% 17% 32% 30% 14% 2%
117 YU William - 3% 15% 32% 33% 15% 2%
117 MCKEE Calvin 4% 17% 32% 29% 14% 4% -
119 HAN Alexander 4% 22% 38% 27% 9% 1% -
120 DIAZ Gabriel 3% 37% 42% 16% 2% - -
121 MILLER Jonathan 34% 42% 19% 4% - - -
122 KENNEDY christo 2% 13% 35% 35% 13% 2%
123 TJON Calum - 9% 34% 39% 15% 2%
124 BERNARD Cohen 1% 15% 39% 34% 10% 1%
125 SORSAIA John 9% 33% 39% 17% 3% -
126 UPENDER West 24% 49% 23% 4% - -
127 BI Ryan - 2% 10% 28% 35% 21% 4%
128 ZHAO Ryan 14% 37% 33% 13% 2% - -
129 RIPA Joseph K. 6% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1% -
130 BLACK Henry 20% 47% 27% 6% 1% - -
131 PECK Quinn 1% 9% 29% 35% 20% 5% 1%
132 XU Brian 3% 24% 48% 21% 3% -
133 PEDERSEN Charles 1% 8% 29% 41% 19% 2%
134 WEST Nathaniel 7% 39% 39% 14% 2% -
135 YIN Zixin(Gavin) 1% 11% 32% 37% 16% 2%
136 GREENLEAF Paul 4% 20% 35% 28% 10% 2% -
137 SOBON Jason 2% 15% 33% 32% 14% 3% -
138 ZAPPALA Nikolai 11% 33% 35% 17% 4% - -
138 XIAO Bowen - 1% 10% 29% 39% 19% 2%
140 MUNDAHL Brandon 4% 20% 36% 28% 10% 2% -
141 ZHANG GAVIN J 10% 32% 36% 18% 4% - -
142 GECKELER James 18% 39% 30% 11% 2% - -
143 WEI JR Shan 8% 28% 36% 21% 6% 1% -
144 COSGROVE Jameson 2% 15% 36% 32% 12% 2% -
145 FALCONE Jack 25% 49% 23% 4% - -
146 CHEN Fengyi(James) 41% 44% 13% 2% - -
147 WEISS Mateo - 3% 17% 37% 31% 10% 1%
148 SANTIAGO Elias - 9% 29% 36% 21% 5% -
149 WONG Jacob W. 4% 20% 36% 28% 10% 2% -
150 DUNLAP Ezra 8% 28% 36% 21% 6% 1% -
151 WITTIG Jonathon T. 1% 8% 25% 36% 23% 7% 1%
152 KOVACS Harrison 8% 36% 39% 15% 2% - -
153 STORER Alexander 6% 25% 37% 24% 7% 1% -
153 DHANOA Kian 19% 41% 30% 9% 1% - -
153 GREENE Amit 4% 20% 35% 28% 11% 2% -
156 PEREZ Logan 1% 14% 51% 28% 6% - -
157 SUN Henry 2% 12% 33% 36% 15% 2% -
158 PRUT Anton 3% 15% 32% 32% 15% 3% -
159 GALLER Dave 1% 13% 37% 33% 13% 2% -
160 LEVY Jacob - - 3% 15% 34% 34% 12%
161 O'LEARY Colin 2% 21% 37% 28% 10% 2% -
161 ABRAMKIN Tim - 14% 35% 33% 15% 3% -
161 THOMAS Liam 4% 20% 34% 28% 11% 2% -
164 HERNANDEZ BERRON Salvador - 2% 12% 32% 35% 16% 3%
165 ZHANG Julian 24% 44% 25% 7% 1% - -
166 KIM Aiden 21% 41% 29% 9% 1% - -
167 NIECHWADOWICZ Michael 4% 22% 35% 26% 10% 2% -
168 MATHEWS Rocco J. - 1% 7% 31% 43% 19%
169 POLLIO Benjamin 10% 36% 38% 15% 2% -
170 ROJAS Elijah 67% 29% 4% - - -
171 CRUZ ZURITA Leonardo 35% 43% 19% 3% - -
172 BHANOT Arjun 41% 45% 13% 1% - -
173 FRIEDMAN Marcus 59% 35% 6% - - -
174 WASDEN Elisha 22% 40% 27% 9% 1% - -
175 SHEA William 13% 35% 33% 15% 3% - -
176 FOGELSON Hugh 11% 34% 37% 16% 3% - -
177 WU Clarence C. - < 1% 1% 8% 30% 42% 19%
178 GODIN Willis 51% 38% 9% 1% - - -
178 THOPPAY Pradnesh 53% 37% 9% 1% - - -
180 POWELL Sean 6% 39% 38% 14% 2% - -
180 TANG xianchi 1% 11% 37% 37% 13% 2% -
180 ALLEN DJ 1% 20% 39% 29% 10% 2% -
183 AMRANI David 3% 19% 35% 29% 11% 2% -
184 ARANA Massimo 1% 7% 21% 33% 26% 10% 2%
185 BUNDUS Luca 54% 41% 5% - - - -
186 LIU Tony 2% 15% 38% 32% 11% 2% -
187 SCHATZLE Jack 73% 24% 3% - - - -
188 CHENG Austyn 26% 41% 25% 7% 1% - -
189 ANGELOS Nico 12% 36% 35% 14% 2% - -
190 GRASSIE James 16% 37% 32% 13% 3% - -
191 OEHLER Mac 86% 14% 1% - - - -
192 BIROAN Chaz 3% 19% 36% 30% 11% 2% -
193 COSSROW Alex 41% 40% 15% 3% - - -
194 GODOVICH David 10% 39% 36% 13% 2% - -
195 LEONG Wilson Hua 81% 18% 1% - - - -
196 EZEKIEL Nathan 14% 50% 31% 5% - -
197 POLEBOYINA Amrit 25% 41% 25% 7% 1% - -
197 BLAM Aaron 12% 32% 34% 17% 4% - -
197 THAN Duc 10% 31% 35% 18% 5% 1% -
200 MASTRONARDI Joseph M. 18% 36% 30% 13% 3% - -
201 CHAN Geoffrey 24% 43% 26% 7% 1% -
202 GRODMAN Carlos 12% 35% 35% 15% 3% - -
203 HERTZEL Lucas 26% 44% 24% 6% 1% - -
203 DENG Jake 3% 23% 39% 26% 7% 1% -
205 CANDELARIA Armando 10% 30% 35% 19% 5% 1% -
206 RUPP Keegan E. 30% 56% 13% 1% - - -
206 STRAYER Cody 19% 40% 29% 10% 2% - -
208 SCHIAVONE Oreste 42% 44% 12% 1% - - -
208 SEETOO David 96% 4% - - - - -
210 SINCAVAGE Louis 88% 11% - - - - -
211 GLADNICK Michael J. 2% 15% 32% 32% 15% 3% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.