October NAC

Div II Men's Foil

Sunday, October 6, 2024 at 1:00 PM

Atlantic City Convention Center - Atlantic City, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 GHEDINI Luca 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 15%
2 LIN Xilong 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 61% 20%
3 SHAPIRO Leon 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 45%
3 BADROEL RIZWAN Uzair Zafran 100% 100% 97% 86% 58% 25% 5%
5 TALASILA Arush 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 47% 12%
6 PARRISH Evan 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 43%
7 CHEN Ethan 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 42% 7%
8 DOELL Ethan 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 42% 10%
9 KONG Luculentus X. 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 27% 5%
10 LYNCH Owen C. 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 54% 16%
11 VADEN Oliver 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 7%
12 DAVIS Christopher M. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 53%
13 SHENG Dalton 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 15%
14 ROZALSKI Eli 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 47% 12%
15 STRINGER David 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 19%
16 ROUNTREE Rob 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 39%
17 GAO Payton 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 47% 12%
17 FINLEY Dylan 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 45%
19 SISINNI Leonardo 100% 100% 93% 66% 30% 7% 1%
20 LIU William 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 53% 16%
21 MILLER Jordan 100% 100% 100% 97% 87% 58% 21%
22 GÉLINAS Jonathan 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 53%
23 LIU Zixian (Aaron) 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 52% 14%
24 LI Ayren 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 16% 2%
25 WANDJI Noah 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 24% 4%
26 ARCE Andrew W. 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 34% 6%
27 YE Gordon 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 38% 8%
28 TANG August L. 100% 100% 99% 90% 56% 16%
29 ANDRIC Borna 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 11%
30 STRAYER Andrew 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 22%
31 HAINES Ethan 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 12%
32 KIM Brian 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 25%
33 GRIFFITH MCALLISTER Thomas 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 35%
34 TANG Terry 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 7%
35 CRALEY Thomas M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 68%
35 KIM Harrison 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 24%
37 POLONI Giovanni 100% 99% 94% 75% 44% 15% 2%
38 SUN Ryan 100% 100% 100% 96% 72% 26%
39 BAE Eugene 100% 100% 98% 83% 48% 11%
40 LOZADA Gabriel G. 100% 100% 98% 82% 46% 13% 1%
41 BAI Brian 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 30% 5%
42 HAMILTON Brock B. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 38%
43 CHUANG Oscar 100% 100% 100% 100% 92% 64% 21%
44 MAO Lucas 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 66% 24%
45 PLASTARAS Trey 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 52% 13%
46 LUM-DEBONO Alex 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 37% 8%
47 BARTEL Jacob L. 100% 100% 99% 92% 61% 18%
48 VISHAWADIA Jaimin 100% 100% 99% 91% 60% 16%
49 ABDELGAWAD Abdelrahman 100% 100% 99% 91% 61% 17%
50 JIMENEZ Naveen 100% 97% 78% 33% 7% 1%
51 SEMAPAKDI-CHANG Kaiden 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 11%
52 TANG Alexander L. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 24%
53 WONG Evan 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 32% 4%
54 HUA Aaron 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 15% 2%
55 MILLER Dillon 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 24% 4%
56 ORLOV Dmitriy 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 46% 10%
57 LI Jett 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 13%
58 ZHANG Jacob 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 43% 11%
59 SMOLICH Marat 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 20% 3%
60 BLACK Zachary 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 36% 8%
61 KAPOOR Aayan 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 46% 13%
62 PINCHENG Yao 100% 100% 99% 89% 62% 26% 5%
63 FOURNET-FAYARD Aldric 100% 100% 99% 93% 66% 27% 4%
64 CHANG Nathan 100% 98% 88% 62% 29% 8% 1%
65 WU Trevor 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 74% 30%
66 LU Nathan 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 24% 4%
67 PARK Steve (Sangmin) 100% 100% 100% 99% 85% 48% 12%
68 SMITH Grant D. 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 42% 7%
69 XU Dinghui Ryan 100% 98% 85% 54% 21% 4% -
70 QIU Zhaocheng 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 24% 4%
71 TSAY Jordan R. 100% 100% 94% 71% 33% 8% 1%
72 CHOI Ethan 100% 100% 100% 95% 68% 23%
73 DA SILVA Jamie 100% 75% 30% 6% 1% -
74 RAJ Jay 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 14%
75 LIM Charlie 100% 98% 84% 51% 17% 3% -
76 KETTELLE John 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 15%
77 MARTIRE Luca 100% 94% 70% 34% 10% 1% -
78 VANOYEN Dominick 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 37% 7%
79 MATTOS Luis Felipe 100% 100% 95% 75% 40% 12% 2%
80 CHEZ Nolan 100% 100% 98% 84% 51% 18% 3%
81 MARTIN Darius 100% 100% 100% 95% 78% 44% 11%
82 POLEPALLI Vinil 100% 89% 58% 23% 5% 1% -
83 SCHIENEMAN Valentine 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 31% 6%
84 CHO Xzander 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 39% 8%
85 LANGEN Carter M. 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 41% 10%
85 WANG Brian 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 21%
85 EDISON Ansel 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 7%
88 MARTIN Mason 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 16% 2%
89 MAK Collin Chun Shing 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 42% 10%
90 SEIB-LEVINSON Conrad 100% 100% 94% 70% 34% 9% 1%
91 GIOTIS Nico 100% 99% 92% 70% 38% 12% 2%
92 ASCIONED'ELIA Adam I. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 17%
93 YANG Dylan 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 30% 5%
94 TAM Kyle 100% 92% 65% 29% 7% 1% -
95 GNEUHS Sam 100% 97% 77% 31% 5% -
96 TRUBETSKI David 100% 100% 99% 89% 52% 11%
97 METZ Mason 100% 99% 77% 37% 10% 1% -
98 BAI Austin 100% 100% 100% 91% 56% 18% 2%
99 ZAIDI Adil 100% 99% 88% 59% 25% 6% -
100 BELOKON Sammy 100% 99% 93% 71% 37% 10% 1%
101 SENANI Arjun 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 23% 3%
102 BLEIL Tyler 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 25% 4%
103 LARGAESPADA LUIS V. 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 49% 13%
104 DAI Christopher 100% 100% 88% 49% 13% 1% -
105 WHEELOCK Bryan M. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 17%
106 CHA James 100% 91% 63% 27% 6% 1% -
107 RAJPAL Alastair 100% 98% 82% 50% 18% 3% -
108 KIM Teo 100% 95% 73% 38% 11% 2% -
109 WIDOFF-WOODSON Jackson Leroi 100% 95% 66% 25% 5% - -
110 ONIK Ari N. 100% 81% 41% 12% 2% - -
111 ABRAMSOHN Seth 100% 96% 75% 38% 11% 2% -
112 CHOI Benjamin 100% 100% 99% 88% 48% 11%
113 JIANG Bowang 100% 100% 97% 79% 34% 5%
114 GAO Andrew Gao 100% 66% 23% 4% - - -
115 SHANNON Jack 100% 99% 88% 60% 26% 6% 1%
116 VOLLMER Quintin 100% 100% 96% 79% 47% 16% 2%
117 YU William 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 17% 2%
117 MCKEE Calvin 100% 96% 79% 48% 18% 4% -
119 HAN Alexander 100% 96% 75% 37% 10% 2% -
120 DIAZ Gabriel 100% 97% 60% 18% 2% - -
121 MILLER Jonathan 100% 66% 24% 5% - - -
122 KENNEDY christo 100% 98% 85% 50% 15% 2%
123 TJON Calum 100% 100% 90% 57% 17% 2%
124 BERNARD Cohen 100% 99% 84% 45% 11% 1%
125 SORSAIA John 100% 91% 58% 19% 3% -
126 UPENDER West 100% 76% 27% 4% - -
127 BI Ryan 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 25% 4%
128 ZHAO Ryan 100% 86% 49% 16% 3% - -
129 RIPA Joseph K. 100% 94% 71% 35% 10% 1% -
130 BLACK Henry 100% 80% 33% 7% 1% - -
131 PECK Quinn 100% 99% 90% 61% 26% 6% 1%
132 XU Brian 100% 97% 73% 25% 4% -
133 PEDERSEN Charles 100% 99% 91% 62% 21% 2%
134 WEST Nathaniel 100% 93% 54% 16% 2% -
135 YIN Zixin(Gavin) 100% 99% 88% 56% 18% 2%
136 GREENLEAF Paul 100% 96% 76% 40% 12% 2% -
137 SOBON Jason 100% 98% 83% 49% 17% 3% -
138 ZAPPALA Nikolai 100% 89% 56% 21% 5% 1% -
138 XIAO Bowen 100% 100% 98% 89% 60% 21% 2%
140 MUNDAHL Brandon 100% 96% 76% 40% 12% 2% -
141 ZHANG GAVIN J 100% 90% 58% 22% 5% - -
142 GECKELER James 100% 82% 43% 13% 2% - -
143 WEI JR Shan 100% 92% 64% 29% 7% 1% -
144 COSGROVE Jameson 100% 98% 83% 47% 15% 2% -
145 FALCONE Jack 100% 75% 27% 4% - -
146 CHEN Fengyi(James) 100% 59% 15% 2% - -
147 WEISS Mateo 100% 100% 97% 80% 43% 11% 1%
148 SANTIAGO Elias 100% 100% 91% 62% 26% 6% -
149 WONG Jacob W. 100% 96% 76% 40% 12% 2% -
150 DUNLAP Ezra 100% 92% 64% 28% 7% 1% -
151 WITTIG Jonathon T. 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 7% 1%
152 KOVACS Harrison 100% 92% 56% 17% 3% - -
153 STORER Alexander 100% 94% 68% 32% 8% 1% -
153 DHANOA Kian 100% 81% 40% 10% 1% - -
153 GREENE Amit 100% 96% 76% 41% 13% 2% -
156 PEREZ Logan 100% 99% 85% 34% 6% - -
157 SUN Henry 100% 98% 86% 53% 17% 2% -
158 PRUT Anton 100% 97% 82% 50% 19% 3% -
159 GALLER Dave 100% 99% 86% 49% 16% 3% -
160 LEVY Jacob 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 46% 12%
161 O'LEARY Colin 100% 98% 78% 40% 12% 2% -
161 ABRAMKIN Tim 100% 100% 86% 51% 18% 3% -
161 THOMAS Liam 100% 96% 76% 42% 14% 2% -
164 HERNANDEZ BERRON Salvador 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 19% 3%
165 ZHANG Julian 100% 76% 32% 7% 1% - -
166 KIM Aiden 100% 79% 39% 10% 1% - -
167 NIECHWADOWICZ Michael 100% 96% 74% 38% 12% 2% -
168 MATHEWS Rocco J. 100% 100% 99% 92% 61% 19%
169 POLLIO Benjamin 100% 90% 55% 17% 2% -
170 ROJAS Elijah 100% 33% 4% - - -
171 CRUZ ZURITA Leonardo 100% 65% 22% 3% - -
172 BHANOT Arjun 100% 59% 14% 1% - -
173 FRIEDMAN Marcus 100% 41% 6% - - -
174 WASDEN Elisha 100% 78% 37% 10% 2% - -
175 SHEA William 100% 87% 52% 19% 4% - -
176 FOGELSON Hugh 100% 89% 56% 19% 3% - -
177 WU Clarence C. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 61% 19%
178 GODIN Willis 100% 49% 10% 1% - - -
178 THOPPAY Pradnesh 100% 47% 9% 1% - - -
180 POWELL Sean 100% 94% 55% 17% 3% - -
180 TANG xianchi 100% 99% 88% 51% 14% 2% -
180 ALLEN DJ 100% 99% 80% 40% 11% 2% -
183 AMRANI David 100% 97% 78% 43% 14% 2% -
184 ARANA Massimo 100% 99% 92% 71% 38% 12% 2%
185 BUNDUS Luca 100% 46% 5% - - - -
186 LIU Tony 100% 98% 84% 45% 13% 2% -
187 SCHATZLE Jack 100% 27% 3% - - - -
188 CHENG Austyn 100% 74% 32% 8% 1% - -
189 ANGELOS Nico 100% 88% 51% 16% 2% - -
190 GRASSIE James 100% 84% 48% 16% 3% - -
191 OEHLER Mac 100% 14% 1% - - - -
192 BIROAN Chaz 100% 97% 78% 42% 12% 2% -
193 COSSROW Alex 100% 59% 19% 3% - - -
194 GODOVICH David 100% 90% 52% 16% 2% - -
195 LEONG Wilson Hua 100% 19% 2% - - - -
196 EZEKIEL Nathan 100% 86% 36% 6% - -
197 POLEBOYINA Amrit 100% 75% 34% 9% 1% - -
197 BLAM Aaron 100% 88% 56% 22% 5% - -
197 THAN Duc 100% 90% 59% 24% 5% 1% -
200 MASTRONARDI Joseph M. 100% 82% 46% 16% 3% - -
201 CHAN Geoffrey 100% 76% 34% 8% 1% -
202 GRODMAN Carlos 100% 88% 53% 18% 3% - -
203 HERTZEL Lucas 100% 74% 30% 7% 1% - -
203 DENG Jake 100% 97% 73% 34% 8% 1% -
205 CANDELARIA Armando 100% 90% 60% 24% 5% 1% -
206 RUPP Keegan E. 100% 70% 14% 1% - - -
206 STRAYER Cody 100% 81% 41% 12% 2% - -
208 SCHIAVONE Oreste 100% 58% 14% 1% - - -
208 SEETOO David 100% 4% - - - - -
210 SINCAVAGE Louis 100% 12% - - - - -
211 GLADNICK Michael J. 100% 98% 83% 51% 19% 3% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.