The 9-State Fencing Cup

Y-12 Women's Épée

Sunday, October 20, 2024 at 8:00 AM

Chelsea Piers Athletic Club - Stamford, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHEN Alina 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 57%
2 ZHU Una 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 29%
3 ZHANG Jane 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 33%
3 KAKANI Aditi 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 21%
5 NING Miranda 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 38%
6 MOKRETSOV Leah 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 26%
7 TIAN Victoria 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 8%
8 GOFMAN Anastasia 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 21%
9 JIANG chenxi 100% 100% 100% 95% 78% 43% 10%
10 CHEN Madeline 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 21%
11 HAN Emma 100% 99% 90% 66% 32% 8% 1%
12 HALL Sophie 100% 91% 63% 28% 7% 1% -
13 XIE ANDREA 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 15%
14 JU Jennifer 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 25% 4%
15 LEE Iona 100% 100% 93% 69% 30% 5% -
16 KIM Abigail 100% 98% 81% 46% 15% 3% -
17 MISHIMA Olivia 100% 96% 73% 36% 10% 1% < 1%
18 XU Mulan 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 12%
19 CHO Josephine 100% 91% 61% 26% 6% 1% -
20 NIKOLLA Vivienne 100% 96% 75% 38% 10% 1%
21 LEE Zoe 100% 95% 74% 39% 13% 2% -
22 CHEN Laila 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 24% 4%
23 LAW Mila 100% 99% 94% 74% 40% 12% 1%
24 KIM Charlotte 100% 90% 55% 18% 3% - -
25 SONKU Mira 100% 100% 92% 67% 32% 8% 1%
26 DING Iris Siyue 100% 99% 94% 75% 42% 12% 1%
27 ZHANG Audrey 100% 100% 97% 81% 45% 11% 1%
28 WARD Imani 100% 96% 75% 40% 12% 2% -
29 CHEN Reina 100% 98% 84% 53% 20% 4% -
30 YOUN Emily 100% 100% 96% 78% 41% 10%
31 ALLIEVI Simone 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 25% 4%
32 ZHAO Rachel 100% 95% 70% 30% 6% 1% -
33 YOUNG Penelope 100% 100% 93% 71% 35% 9% 1%
34 YOON Cora 100% 89% 56% 21% 4% -
35 CHEN Allison 100% 99% 85% 50% 16% 2% -
36 FEESER Alexia 100% 99% 86% 55% 21% 4% -
37 SAJJA Anwita 100% 97% 83% 52% 21% 4% -
38 MAO Faith 100% 99% 89% 63% 28% 6% -
38 KANDHI Aryaa 100% 99% 92% 68% 33% 9% 1%
40 STEWART Emily 100% 79% 39% 11% 2% - -
41 SHEN Zoey 100% 98% 86% 58% 25% 6% 1%
42 YOON Michelle 100% 78% 39% 12% 2% - -
43 ZHU Kaylee 100% 100% 94% 70% 29% 5% -
44 ERATA Selena 100% 35% 5% - - - -
45 SHAVERS Jasmine 100% 69% 24% 4% - -
46 SHI Emma 100% 59% 17% 2% - - -
47 SELASSIE Semara 100% 90% 60% 26% 6% 1% -
47 CHOI Noah 100% 64% 21% 3% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.