The 9-State Fencing Cup

Junior Men's Épée

Sunday, October 20, 2024 at 8:00 AM

Chelsea Piers Athletic Club - Stamford, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MACARTY Jordan T. - - - - 4% 27% 68%
2 CHEN Leonardo - - - - 6% 33% 61%
3 TSE Maxwell - 1% 6% 24% 42% 27%
3 KUGLER Luke - - - 2% 11% 37% 50%
5 CHEN Allen - - 3% 17% 40% 34% 6%
6 XIE Brandon - 1% 4% 18% 35% 32% 10%
7 AKYAMAC Bora - - - 3% 27% 70%
8 WONG King-Yee - 1% 9% 28% 40% 22%
9 NORMILE Nicholas - - 1% 5% 20% 41% 33%
10 TRULL A.J. - - - - 6% 34% 59%
11 WONG Maximus - - 2% 13% 36% 41% 9%
12 AHMED Mohsen - 1% 7% 25% 42% 26%
13 DURKIN Brian 1% 10% 32% 39% 16% 1%
14 RIM Eugene - 4% 17% 32% 31% 14% 2%
15 SIYANKO Joshua - - 3% 13% 32% 37% 16%
16 WHITE Aidan 10% 30% 35% 20% 5% 1%
17 SONG Changze - 2% 11% 30% 38% 19% 2%
18 SPRINGER Elijah 1% 8% 25% 36% 23% 6% 1%
19 BELLIVEAU Emmett S. - 4% 17% 35% 33% 11%
20 LIU Jeremiah W. - 1% 6% 23% 41% 26% 4%
21 RVACHEV Michael - 2% 12% 30% 35% 18% 3%
22 LIU Adam - 3% 16% 39% 36% 6%
23 SUBRAMANIAM Sahil 10% 30% 35% 20% 5% -
24 YU Samuel - 5% 20% 37% 30% 8%
25 CHEN Edward 11% 33% 34% 17% 4% - -
26 SINGLETON Aman - 1% 9% 27% 39% 22% 2%
26 LYCHKO Maksym - 4% 18% 34% 31% 12% 1%
28 SUN Lucas 8% 32% 39% 18% 3% -
29 ZHAO Pierce 2% 14% 33% 33% 15% 2%
30 TESFAYE Elias 1% 8% 26% 37% 23% 5%
31 LI Jade 1% 9% 27% 36% 22% 5%
32 NILSEN Mark 2% 15% 34% 32% 14% 2% -
33 PETERSEN Zachary - 2% 10% 28% 36% 21% 4%
34 SHAPIRO Natan 5% 25% 38% 24% 7% 1% -
35 PESSIN Nadav 2% 12% 30% 33% 18% 5% -
36 GARCIA-CABRERA Jeffrey - 1% 6% 22% 37% 27% 6%
37 GUMEDELLI Mohnish 1% 10% 29% 36% 20% 4% -
38 RADZIKOWSKI Sam 1% 10% 28% 35% 21% 5% -
39 YIN Chujun - 5% 18% 32% 30% 13% 2%
40 BRASSARD Calvin 3% 15% 32% 31% 15% 3% -
41 RATUSHNYI Georgii - 1% 6% 20% 36% 29% 9%
42 STEIN Philip 1% 7% 24% 35% 25% 7% 1%
43 STAUDINGER Enzo 1% 10% 31% 37% 18% 3% -
44 HU Robert J. - - 1% 5% 21% 42% 32%
45 SIALA Omar 1% 9% 27% 35% 22% 5%
46 LEE Henry 17% 40% 31% 10% 2% -
47 HELMY Richard 7% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1%
48 MORI Seneca 13% 35% 34% 15% 3% -
49 MILLER Quinlan 2% 14% 32% 34% 15% 2%
50 MARIN Ayan N. 23% 42% 26% 7% 1% -
51 LI Ray 2% 15% 34% 32% 14% 3% -
52 ROSIELLO Francesco 6% 28% 39% 22% 5% 1% -
53 MASTAKOURIS Petros-Stone - 5% 18% 33% 29% 12% 2%
54 CRESPO Nathaniel Justus 4% 18% 34% 29% 12% 2% -
55 ACAR Devin 1% 6% 22% 37% 27% 7% -
56 NALLICHERI Ayaan 14% 35% 34% 15% 3% -
57 WU Chi Kuan 9% 33% 38% 17% 3% -
58 PAN Anthony 6% 24% 37% 25% 7% 1%
59 SUH Aiden 29% 43% 22% 5% 1% - -
60 KIM Nathan - 5% 22% 38% 27% 7% -
60 OTTAVIANO Aaron 4% 21% 35% 27% 11% 2% -
62 KAPLAN Maddox 8% 32% 39% 18% 3% - -
63 REGINA Julian 40% 42% 15% 2% - - -
64 KLINKENBERG Patrick 14% 38% 33% 13% 2% - -
65 KIM Samuel 25% 42% 25% 7% 1% - -
66 BUIKEVICH Ihnat 5% 26% 39% 23% 6% 1% -
67 PTASZEK Al 38% 41% 17% 4% - - -
68 HSIEN Hong-yu 5% 27% 38% 23% 7% 1% -
69 LAW Oliver 36% 42% 18% 4% - - -
69 LIANG Haojia 31% 41% 21% 6% 1% - -
71 CARMAN Elliot 11% 32% 35% 18% 4% 1% -
72 ZHANG Jonathan 16% 36% 32% 13% 3% - -
73 SONG Ryan 32% 43% 20% 4% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.