The 9-State Fencing Cup

Junior Men's Épée

Sunday, October 20, 2024 at 8:00 AM

Chelsea Piers Athletic Club - Stamford, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MACARTY Jordan T. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 68%
2 CHEN Leonardo 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 61%
3 TSE Maxwell 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 27%
3 KUGLER Luke 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 50%
5 CHEN Allen 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 40% 6%
6 XIE Brandon 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 42% 10%
7 AKYAMAC Bora 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 70%
8 WONG King-Yee 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 22%
9 NORMILE Nicholas 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 33%
10 TRULL A.J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 93% 59%
11 WONG Maximus 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 50% 9%
12 AHMED Mohsen 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 26%
13 DURKIN Brian 100% 99% 89% 56% 17% 1%
14 RIM Eugene 100% 100% 95% 79% 46% 16% 2%
15 SIYANKO Joshua 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 53% 16%
16 WHITE Aidan 100% 90% 61% 26% 6% 1%
17 SONG Changze 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 20% 2%
18 SPRINGER Elijah 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 7% 1%
19 BELLIVEAU Emmett S. 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 11%
20 LIU Jeremiah W. 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 29% 4%
21 RVACHEV Michael 100% 100% 97% 85% 56% 21% 3%
22 LIU Adam 100% 100% 97% 81% 42% 6%
23 SUBRAMANIAM Sahil 100% 90% 60% 25% 6% -
24 YU Samuel 100% 100% 95% 75% 38% 8%
25 CHEN Edward 100% 89% 56% 21% 5% - -
26 SINGLETON Aman 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 24% 2%
26 LYCHKO Maksym 100% 100% 96% 78% 44% 13% 1%
28 SUN Lucas 100% 92% 60% 21% 3% -
29 ZHAO Pierce 100% 98% 84% 50% 17% 2%
30 TESFAYE Elias 100% 99% 92% 65% 28% 5%
31 LI Jade 100% 99% 89% 63% 27% 5%
32 NILSEN Mark 100% 98% 83% 49% 16% 2% -
33 PETERSEN Zachary 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 24% 4%
34 SHAPIRO Natan 100% 95% 70% 32% 7% 1% -
35 PESSIN Nadav 100% 98% 86% 56% 23% 5% -
36 GARCIA-CABRERA Jeffrey 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 34% 6%
37 GUMEDELLI Mohnish 100% 99% 89% 60% 24% 5% -
38 RADZIKOWSKI Sam 100% 99% 89% 61% 26% 6% -
39 YIN Chujun 100% 100% 95% 77% 45% 15% 2%
40 BRASSARD Calvin 100% 97% 82% 50% 19% 4% -
41 RATUSHNYI Georgii 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 38% 9%
42 STEIN Philip 100% 99% 92% 68% 33% 8% 1%
43 STAUDINGER Enzo 100% 99% 89% 58% 21% 3% -
44 HU Robert J. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 32%
45 SIALA Omar 100% 99% 89% 63% 27% 5%
46 LEE Henry 100% 83% 43% 12% 2% -
47 HELMY Richard 100% 93% 67% 30% 7% 1%
48 MORI Seneca 100% 87% 53% 19% 3% -
49 MILLER Quinlan 100% 98% 84% 52% 18% 2%
50 MARIN Ayan N. 100% 77% 35% 8% 1% -
51 LI Ray 100% 98% 83% 48% 16% 3% -
52 ROSIELLO Francesco 100% 94% 66% 28% 6% 1% -
53 MASTAKOURIS Petros-Stone 100% 100% 95% 76% 44% 14% 2%
54 CRESPO Nathaniel Justus 100% 96% 78% 44% 15% 3% -
55 ACAR Devin 100% 99% 94% 71% 34% 7% -
56 NALLICHERI Ayaan 100% 86% 51% 18% 3% -
57 WU Chi Kuan 100% 91% 58% 19% 3% -
58 PAN Anthony 100% 94% 70% 33% 8% 1%
59 SUH Aiden 100% 71% 28% 6% 1% - -
60 KIM Nathan 100% 100% 94% 72% 35% 7% -
60 OTTAVIANO Aaron 100% 96% 75% 40% 13% 2% -
62 KAPLAN Maddox 100% 92% 60% 22% 4% - -
63 REGINA Julian 100% 60% 18% 2% - - -
64 KLINKENBERG Patrick 100% 86% 48% 15% 2% - -
65 KIM Samuel 100% 75% 33% 8% 1% - -
66 BUIKEVICH Ihnat 100% 95% 69% 30% 6% 1% -
67 PTASZEK Al 100% 62% 21% 4% - - -
68 HSIEN Hong-yu 100% 95% 68% 30% 8% 1% -
69 LAW Oliver 100% 64% 22% 4% - - -
69 LIANG Haojia 100% 69% 28% 6% 1% - -
71 CARMAN Elliot 100% 89% 57% 23% 5% 1% -
72 ZHANG Jonathan 100% 84% 48% 16% 3% - -
73 SONG Ryan 100% 68% 25% 4% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.