The 9-State Fencing Cup

Y-14 Men's Épée

Sunday, October 20, 2024 at 2:30 PM

Chelsea Piers Athletic Club - Stamford, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LIU Adam - - - 1% 7% 34% 58%
2 SINGLETON Aman - - - 3% 17% 43% 37%
3 ZHANG Jonathan - 3% 14% 34% 34% 13% 1%
3 KABA Elias - - 2% 12% 34% 39% 13%
5 NORMILE Nicholas - - - - 1% 18% 80%
6 CHEN Edward - 1% 6% 24% 40% 25% 5%
7 AHMED Mohsen - - - 2% 14% 40% 43%
8 TSE Maxwell - - - - 6% 33% 61%
9 WANG-SONG Evan - - 2% 10% 29% 39% 20%
10 TESFAYE Elias - - - 2% 14% 40% 43%
11 HELMY Richard - - 4% 16% 35% 34% 11%
12 MORI Seneca - - 5% 21% 39% 30% 5%
13 NG Nico - 3% 14% 30% 32% 16% 3%
14 PARIGIAN Alexander - 3% 13% 31% 34% 16% 2%
15 ARMSTRONG Payson - 2% 10% 27% 36% 21% 4%
16 CHEN Evan 2% 12% 29% 33% 19% 5% -
17 ZHAI Junqi - - - 4% 21% 47% 28%
18 GUMEDELLI Mohnish - - 4% 21% 42% 29% 5%
19 LUO Alexander - - 2% 11% 30% 38% 18%
20 LI Jade - - 1% 5% 21% 42% 31%
21 HE Bronto - - - 3% 20% 46% 30%
22 CRESPO Nathaniel Justus - 1% 7% 23% 36% 27% 6%
23 LEE Harrison - 1% 6% 25% 42% 24% 2%
24 GOVOROV Alexander - 2% 10% 28% 37% 20% 3%
25 NOOL Alexander - - 5% 22% 42% 28% 2%
26 WU Matthew 1% 9% 25% 34% 23% 7% 1%
27 CUELLAR Markus 7% 25% 35% 23% 8% 1% -
28 ZHENG Jason 3% 18% 35% 30% 12% 2% -
29 FRIZZELL Kai 2% 11% 28% 34% 19% 5% 1%
30 BENNETT Nathaniel - 1% 4% 17% 34% 33% 11%
31 WELCH Sebastian 32% 43% 21% 4% - - -
32 ROBINSON Garrett 5% 22% 35% 26% 10% 2% -
33 SZCZAPA Lukas - - 5% 23% 42% 26% 4%
34 WEISELBERG Mark - 2% 12% 29% 35% 18% 3%
35 KATS Brandon - 3% 16% 35% 33% 12% 1%
36 NOOL Aaron - 4% 17% 34% 31% 12% 1%
37 WANG Marcus 5% 22% 37% 27% 8% 1% -
37 SHI Evan 8% 31% 38% 19% 4% - -
39 BOBORIS Dimitrios 11% 32% 35% 18% 4% 1% -
40 CHEN Cameron 10% 36% 38% 13% 2% - -
41 SHAPIRO Samuel - 1% 7% 27% 42% 20% 3%
42 CHEN Daniel 1% 12% 30% 34% 18% 4% -
43 BRESLAV Asher 4% 22% 37% 27% 9% 1% -
44 CIANCHETTA David 4% 22% 38% 27% 8% 1% -
45 DYCKMAN Benjamin - 2% 15% 38% 34% 11% 1%
46 SONG Aidan - - 4% 16% 34% 34% 12%
47 DAI Jason 1% 9% 29% 38% 19% 3% -
48 CAVALLARO Sebastian 16% 36% 32% 13% 3% - -
49 QI Bryan 16% 38% 31% 12% 2% - -
50 MANSFIELD Hunter 1% 9% 25% 34% 23% 7% 1%
51 SMITH Theo 20% 38% 29% 11% 2% - -
52 YU David 6% 22% 35% 26% 10% 2% -
53 ZINCHUK Yuri 3% 19% 36% 29% 11% 2% -
54 KIM Louie 36% 44% 17% 2% - - -
55 CHO Adrian 9% 33% 37% 17% 4% - -
56 LAI Jayden 4% 20% 36% 29% 10% 1% -
57 JAISING Aaditya 29% 43% 23% 5% - - -
58 MCGANN Grant 4% 21% 39% 28% 8% 1% -
59 CHEN Jayden A 9% 34% 37% 17% 3% - -
60 SHAO Mason 4% 21% 35% 27% 10% 2% -
61 ROBINSON Blake 17% 39% 31% 11% 2% - -
62 ZHENG Jasper 8% 31% 38% 19% 4% - -
63 LEE Ryan 42% 40% 15% 2% - - -
64 YOON Jonathan 12% 39% 36% 11% 1% - -
65 BHANDARE Veer 6% 24% 36% 25% 9% 1% -
66 LANE Sawyer 17% 38% 31% 11% 2% - -
67 MALLAKIS Efstathios 30% 43% 22% 5% - - -
68 LAW Oliver 7% 28% 39% 21% 4% - -
69 WITHERELL Logan 8% 27% 35% 22% 7% 1% -
70 HOLBROOK Silas 13% 35% 34% 15% 3% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.